Canola falls with rest of crop market on rapid harvest, improved wheat moisture

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Published: October 15, 2015

Crop futures fell across the board on Thursday as the market focused on ideal harvest weather in the U.S. Midwest and forecasts for rain next week in the dry U.S. southern Plains winter wheat region.

Canola futures fell with lower soybeans and soy oil and a stronger loonie, which gained almost a half cent.
Crude oil drifted lower on rising U.S. weekly stocks, adding downward pressure to oilseeds.

Soybeans and corn were under pressure from rapid progress in the U.S. Midwest harvest.

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Photo: JHVEPhoto/Getty Images Plus

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Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures jumped on hopes for U.S. export demand on Wednesday, while corn futures rose for a third day to extend a recovery from contract lows, analysts said.

Farmer deliveries in Canada and the U.S. led to hedging pressure.

November canola closed at $471.50, down $4.60, just a day after it broke above $480 but failed to hold on.

>>>>More Markets News: Currency devaluations cause oversupply.

Wheat was pressure lower by the expected rain next week in the southern Plains where farmers have been seeding winter wheat into dry soil.

The large surplus of global wheat supplies also weighed on wheat.

The decline in soybeans was limited by modest concern about weather in Brazil where there has been too much rain in the south and too little in the top soybean state of Mato Grosso. Brazilian farmers are seeding their soybean crop.

“As long as rainfall returns somewhat closer to normal by early November, which we do expect to occur, the dry weather seen during October should not have a notable impact on crops,” MDA Weather Services said in a note to clients, Reuters reported.

The Canadian dollar rose as the U.S. greenback weakened against major currencies following a report that showed U.S. inflation dipped by 0.2 percent.

That reduced the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike. The Fed is watching inflation and employment data for signals that the U.S. economy is heating up.

Recent data indicates that the U.S. economy is not gathering the momentum that was expected, so the argument for the need to increase rates is diminished.

And to wind up, here is something not a markets story, but an amazing statement on the coming technologies that will change our lives. Google, Apple and Tesla are all testing cars that will drive themselves. But the mainstream auto makers are also in the game.

In Wire Magazine GM CEO Mary Barra said the company plans to introduce perhaps next year a Cadillac equipped with “super cruise,” a semi autonomous feature that will let a car handle itself on the freeway.

The Wired story says Barra said GM would “absolutely” make cars for an age when human driving is defunct. “We are disrupting ourselves,” Barra said.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down 26 cents to US$46.38 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US77.50 cents, up from 77.03 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2904.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 46.36 points, or 0.33 percent, at 13,828.97.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 217.1 points, or 1.28 percent, to 17,141.85, the S&P 500 gained 29.64 points, or 1.49 percent, to 2,023.88 and the Nasdaq Composite added 87.25 points, or 1.82 percent, to 4,870.10.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne
Canola Nov 2015   471.50   -4.60   -0.97%

Canola Jan 2016   474.90   -5.50   -1.14%
Canola Mar 2016   477.80   -5.70   -1.18%
Canola May 2016   478.20   -5.60   -1.16%
Canola Jul 2016   477.80   -5.30   -1.10%

Milling Wheat Dec 2015   232.00   unch   0.00%
Milling Wheat Mar 2016   237.00   unch   0.00%
Milling Wheat May 2016   240.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2015   335.00   unch   0.00%
Durum Wheat Mar 2016   340.00   unch   0.00%
Durum Wheat May 2016   345.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2015   185.00   unch   0.00%
Barley Mar 2016   187.00   unch   0.00%
Barley May 2016   188.00   unch   0.00%

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

Chicago
Soybeans Nov 2015   905.25   -5.25   -0.58%
Soybeans Jan 2016   909   -5.25   -0.57%
Soybeans Mar 2016   912.25   -4.75   -0.52%
Soybeans May 2016   916   -4.5   -0.49%
Soybeans Jul 2016   922   -3.75   -0.41%
Soybeans Aug 2016   921   -3.75   -0.41%

Soybean Meal Dec 2015   314   -1.8   -0.57%
Soybean Meal Jan 2016   312.8   -1.9   -0.60%
Soybean Meal Mar 2016   310.7   -1.5   -0.48%

Soybean Oil Dec 2015   28.58   -0.25   -0.87%

Soybean Oil Jan 2016   28.87   -0.25   -0.86%
Soybean Oil Mar 2016   29.09   -0.24   -0.82%

Corn Dec 2015   375.5   -3.5   -0.92%
Corn Mar 2016   386.5   -3.25   -0.83%
Corn May 2016   392.75   -3.5   -0.88%
Corn Jul 2016   397.75   -3.5   -0.87%
Corn Sep 2016   396   -2.75   -0.69%

Oats Dec 2015   234.5   +2.75   +1.19%
Oats Mar 2016   236.5   +3   +1.28%
Oats May 2016   238.25   +2.25   +0.95%
Oats Jul 2016   241.75   +2.25   +0.94%
Oats Sep 2016   244   +2.25   +0.93%

Wheat Dec 2015   502.5   -5.75   -1.13%
Wheat Mar 2016   510.5   -5.75   -1.11%
Wheat May 2016   515.25   -6   -1.15%
Wheat Jul 2016   518.75   -6.25   -1.19%
Wheat Sep 2016   527   -6.75   -1.26%

Minneapolis
Spring Wheat Dec 2015   523.5   -2   -0.38%
Spring Wheat Mar 2016   537.25   -1.5   -0.28%
Spring Wheat May 2016   547   -1.25   -0.23%
Spring Wheat Jul 2016   556.25   -1.75   -0.31%
Spring Wheat Sep 2016   566.75   -0.75   -0.13%

Kansas City
Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015   496.25   -4.5   -0.90%
Hard Red Wheat Mar 2016   511.25   -4.5   -0.87%
Hard Red Wheat May 2016   521   -4.75   -0.90%
Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   530.75   -5   -0.93%
Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   544.25   -4.75   -0.87%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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