Canola futures trade cautious ahead of Statistics Canada report

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Published: December 2, 2015

Canola futures settled barely changed on Wednesday, as the trade took a cautious approach ahead of Friday’s Statistics Canada report.

January canola settled at $471.40, up 10 cents. March closed at 479.50, down 60 cents.

It was another good day for soy oil futures, which climbed more than 1.5 percent.

Vegetable oil has technical momentum.

Also traders unwound long soymeal/short soyoil spreads following the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s announcement this week that it was raising usage requirements for renewable fuels.

Soybeans rose for a third day on short covering and signs of strong export demand.

Funds had a heavy net short position in soybeans so a short covering rally is a posibility.

Chicago wheat fell for the sixth consecutive session, pressured by a stronger American dollar that makes U.S. wheat less competitive on world markets.

Corn fell on the strong dollar and on ideas that low fuel prices will thwart hopes that the Environmental Protection Agency’s higher blending requirements will boost corn demand for ethanol.

Also, Argentina is about to end export taxes on corn and wheat. The expectation is that this will push more corn onto the world market.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down $1.91 to US$39.94 per barrel. The U.S. Energy Information Administration said US. commercial crude oil inventory rose 1.2 million barrels from the week before. That was more than expected and the 10th straight week of inventory increases.

The price fell below $40 for the first time since August. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries meets this week and there is no expectation that it will decide to reduce production.

Saudi Arabia dominates OPEC and it is determined to pump to maintain market share against competitors such as Russia and the United States.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US74.85 cents, up from 74.78 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3360.

The Bank of Canada held its interest rate steady at its meeting today. U.S. Fed chair Janet Yellen today said she was “looking forward” to a rate hike, seen as confirmation of the American economy’s recovery from resession. The Fed meets Dec. 15-16.

The Toronto Stock Exchange composite fell 172.24 points, or 1.26 percent, to close at 13,463.82.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 158.67 points, or 0.89 percent, to 17,729.68, the S&P 500 lost 23.12 points, or 1.1 percent, to 2,079.51 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 33.08 points, or 0.64 percent, to 5,123.22.

 

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jan 2016   471.40   +0.10   +0.02%

Canola Mar 2016   479.50   -0.60   -0.12%

Canola May 2016   486.80   +0.90   +0.19%

Canola Jul 2016   491.70   +1.70   +0.35%

Canola Nov 2016   476.60   -1.90   -0.40%

 

Milling Wheat Dec 2015   236.00   +1.00   +0.43%

Milling Wheat Mar 2016   238.00   +1.00   +0.42%

Milling Wheat May 2016   241.00   +1.00   +0.42%

 

Durum Wheat Dec 2015   320.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2016   325.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2016   335.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley Dec 2015   189.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Mar 2016   191.00   unch   0.00%

Barley May 2016   197.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 2016   892.25   +3   +0.34%

Soybeans Mar 2016   895   +3.5   +0.39%

Soybeans May 2016   901.25   +3.75   +0.42%

Soybeans Jul 2016   907.5   +4   +0.44%

Soybeans Aug 2016   909.25   +4.25   +0.47%

Soybeans Sep 2016   908.25   +4.25   +0.47%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2015   286.3   +0.6   +0.21%

Soybean Meal Jan 2016   286.7   +0.3   +0.10%

Soybean Meal Mar 2016   288.9   +0.3   +0.10%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2015   30.27   +0.49   +1.65%

Soybean Oil Jan 2016   30.57   +0.49   +1.63%

Soybean Oil Mar 2016  30.81   +0.47   +1.55%

 

Corn Dec 2015   364   -3   -0.82%

Corn Mar 2016   370.25   -3.5   -0.94%

Corn May 2016   376   -3.25   -0.86%

Corn Jul 2016   381.5   -3   -0.78%

Corn Sep 2016   385.5   -2.75   -0.71%

 

Oats Dec 2015   264.25   +6.75   +2.62%

Oats Mar 2016   235.25   -1.5   -0.63%

Oats May 2016   232   -0.75   -0.32%

Oats Jul 2016   232.25   unch   0.00%

Oats Sep 2016   232.5   -1.25   -0.53%

 

Wheat Dec 2015   452.25   -4.25   -0.93%

Wheat Mar 2016   467.25   -4.25   -0.90%

Wheat May 2016   474.25  -5   -1.04%

Wheat Jul 2016   481.75   -5   -1.03%

Wheat Sep 2016   492.5   -5.25   -1.05%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2015   519.75   -6.5   -1.24%

Spring Wheat Mar 2016   508.75   +1.25   +0.25%

Spring Wheat May 2016   515.75   +1.25   +0.24%

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   524.75   +1.5   +0.29%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   534.75   +1.25   +0.23%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015   448.25   -3.25   -0.72%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2016   466   -3   -0.64%

Hard Red Wheat May 2016   476.75   -3.25   -0.68%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   487.25   -3.75   -0.76%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   501.5   -3.5   -0.69%

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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