Weaker loonie lifts canola again as US buck jumps

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Published: December 15, 2016

The Canadian dollar fell again on Thursday, helping to lift canola futures by about a half percent.

The loonie rose as the American currency gained against most of its competitors following the Federal Reserve announcement Wednesday of a quarter percentage point increase in interest rates and a slightly more aggressive timeline for further increases in 2017. The U.S. dollar index, a measurement against a basket of currencies is the strongest since 20

The stronger American dollar weighed down Chicago wheat and corn as it will make U.S. grain appear more expensive on the world market.

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But soybeans and soy meal were up a little. Soy oil slipped.

Soybeans were supported by strong weekly exports and mixed signs for rain in dry areas of Argentina.

The USDA reported export sales of U.S. 2016-17 soybeans in the latest week at just over two million tonnes, above a range of trade forecasts for 1.1 million to 1.5 million tonnes.

The seven day forecast for Argentina shows rain on the country’s border with Uruguay but none farther south where it is experiencing record dryness for this time of year. Brazil is getting adequate rainfall.

U.S. corn export sales were 1.516 tonnes for 2016-17, which exceeded trade estimates.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down 14 cents to US$50.90 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US74.64 cents, down from 76.20 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3397.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jan 2017   518.60   +2.40   +0.46%

Canola Mar 2017   525.60   +3.00   +0.57%

Canola May 2017   530.10   +3.00   +0.57%

Canola Jul 2017   532.40   +3.00   +0.57%

Canola Nov 2017   503.20   +2.80   +0.56%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2017   236.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat May 2017   238.00   -1.00   -0.42%

Milling Wheat Jul 2017   238.00   -1.00   -0.42%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2017   319.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2017   322.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2017   327.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2017   142.00   unch   0.00%

Barley May 2017   144.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2017   145.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 2017   1029.00   +5.25   +0.51%

Soybeans Mar 2017   1039.25   +4.75   +0.46%

Soybeans May 2017   1046.50   +4.00   +0.38%

Soybeans Jul 2017   1051.50   +3.50   +0.33%

Soybeans Aug 2017   1048.50   +3.00   +0.29%

Soybeans Sep 2017   1031.25   +2.00   +0.19%

 

Soybean Meal Jan 2017   314.00   +1.20   +0.38%

Soybean Meal Mar 2017   318.40   +1.20   +0.38%

Soybean Meal May 2017   321.00   +1.30   +0.41%

 

Soybean Oil Jan 2017   36.74   -0.18   -0.49%

Soybean Oil Mar 2017   37.01   -0.16   -0.43%

Soybean Oil May 2017   37.18   -0.16   -0.43%

 

Corn Mar 2017   356.50   -5.50   -1.52%

Corn May 2017   363.25   -5.25   -1.42%

Corn Jul 2017   370.75   -4.75   -1.26%

Corn Sep 2017   377.50   -4.50   -1.18%

Corn Dec 2017   386.00   -4.00   -1.03%

 

Oats Mar 2017   225.25   -4.50   -1.96%

Oats May 2017   225.75   -6.00   -2.59%

Oats Jul 2017   228.25   -6.25   -2.67%

Oats Sep 2017   233.50   -6.25   -2.61%

Oats Dec 2017   233.00   -1.00   -0.43%

 

Wheat Mar 2017   409.25   -8.75   -2.09%

Wheat May 2017   421.25   -7.75   -1.81%

Wheat Jul 2017   433.75   -7.25   -1.64%

Wheat Sep 2017   446.50   -7.50   -1.65%

Wheat Dec 2017   462.25   -8.00   -1.70%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   538.00   -3.25   -0.60%

Spring Wheat May 2017   534.25   -6.50   -1.20%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017   537.75   -6.00   -1.10%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017   543.50   -5.75   -1.05%

Spring Wheat Dec 2017   550.25   -5.50   -0.99%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   412.75   -7.25   -1.73%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   424.25   -7.00   -1.62%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017   436.25   -6.75   -1.52%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017   451.00   -6.25   -1.37%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2017   469.25   -6.50   -1.37%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Dec 2016   110.72   -0.38   -0.34%

Live Cattle (P) Feb 2017   113.28   -0.42   -0.37%

Live Cattle (P) Apr 2017   112.35   -0.40   -0.35%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Jan 2017   127.70   unch   0.00%

Feeder Cattle (P) Mar 2017   124.75   +0.13   +0.10%

Feeder Cattle (P) Apr 2017   124.22   unch   0.00%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Feb 2017   62.40   +0.63   +1.02%

Lean Hogs (P) Apr 2017   67.48   +0.53   +0.79%

Lean Hogs (P) May 2017   73.20   +0.50   +0.69%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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