U.S. crop markets lower on lingering pressure from USDA report

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Published: July 1, 2014

The ICE Futures Canada canola market was closed Tuesday for Canada Day but American markets were open and crop futures fell, still depressed by Monday’s bearish USDA report.

However, the decline was not as sharp as on Monday.

The report showed that American farmers seeded more soybeans than expected and that continued to weigh on new crop soybeans, with November falling to $11.46 1/2 per bushel, down 10 3/4 cents or 0.93 percent. July was down only a half cent as old crop is still supported by tight supply.

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U.S. livestock: Cattle hit fresh highs, hogs inch upward

Chicago cattle futures hit fresh highs on Monday while hogs made small gains.

Midwest weather is most good for crop grow, although there were some concern about flooding in western growing areas.

Soyoil futures edged higher on bargain buying after falling for four days in a row.
Follow through selling after then USDA report pressured U.S. corn futures lower as the market expects a near record crop.

July contract has fallen 4.5 percent during the past two days.

USDA’s weekly crop condition report Monday pegged the crop at rated 75 percent good to excellent as of June 29, up one percentage point from a week earlier and above market expectations.

Wheat futures also well, with the Kansas hard red winter contract leading the market down. July KC HRW fell below $7 a bushel for the first time since March 4.
Funds are still net long in the Kansas and Minneapolis markets so they are vulnerable to bouts of long liquidation,but Chicago wheat is in a net short position.
Egypt bought 240,000 tonnes of wheat from Romania and Russia, reminding the market that U.S. is still pricey relative to other originations.
The U.S. winter wheat harvest was 43 percent complete, behind the five-year average of 48 percent. Farmers in the southern plains are having a tough time harvesting in muddy fields with short crops and heavy weed growth.

USDA rated 70 percent of the U.S. spring wheat crop as
good to excellent, down one percentage point from a week earlier, but there are concerns after he heavy rains in North Dakota and the eastern Prairies.

 

The ICE Futures Canada market was closed because of the July 1 holiday

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2014        1400        -0.5        -0.04%

Soybeans Aug 2014        1327.75        -2        -0.15%

Soybeans Sep 2014        1183.75        -10        -0.84%

Soybeans Nov 2014        1147.5        -9.75        -0.84%

Soybeans Jan 2015        1155.5        -8.5        -0.73%

Soybeans Mar 2015        1163.25        -7.25        -0.62%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2014        456.1        -2.2        -0.48%

Soybean Meal Aug 2014        430        -0.7        -0.16%

Soybean Meal Sep 2014        390.1        -2.5        -0.64%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2014        38.87        +0.02        +0.05%

Soybean Oil Aug 2014        38.97        +0.02        +0.05%

Soybean Oil Sep 2014        39.08        +0.04        +0.10%

 

Corn Jul 2014        422.75        -1.5        -0.35%

Corn Sep 2014        416        -2.75        -0.66%

Corn Dec 2014        422.75        -2.5        -0.59%

Corn Mar 2015        434.25        -2        -0.46%

Corn May 2015        441.5        -2        -0.45%

 

Oats Jul 2014        346        +8        +2.37%

Oats Sep 2014        336.75        +13.5        +4.18%

Oats Dec 2014        332        +8        +2.47%

Oats Mar 2015        325.75        +4.25        +1.32%

Oats May 2015        320.75        +3.25        +1.02%

 

Wheat Jul 2014        559.75        -5        -0.89%

Wheat Sep 2014        572.5        -5        -0.87%

Wheat Dec 2014        595        -3.25        -0.54%

Wheat Mar 2015        617.75        -1.5        -0.24%

Wheat May 2015        631.75        -0.5        -0.08%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2014        657.25        -10        -1.50%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014        670.25        -6.75        -1.00%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014        680.25        -6.75        -0.98%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015        692.75        -5        -0.72%

Spring Wheat May 2015        700.25        -5.5        -0.78%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2014        700        -10.5        -1.48%

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014        688.75        -11.5        -1.64%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014        696        -10.5        -1.49%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015        702.25        -9        -1.27%

KC HRW Wheat May 2015        701.5        -7.75        -1.09%

 

In early tallies —

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 129.25 points or 0.77 percent, to end at 16,956.85.

The S&P 500 gained 13.07 points or 0.67 percent, to finish at 1,973.30.

The Nasdaq Composite jumped 50.47 points or 1.14 percent, to close at 4,458.65.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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