Stronger veg oil, slower farmer deliveries lift canola

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Published: October 10, 2013

Canola and other oilseeds were supported on Thursday by reports from Malaysia showing smaller than expected monthly stocks and better than expected exports.

Stocks of Malaysian palm oil ended September at 1.78 million tonnes, well below the expected 1.91 million.

In Canada, exporter short covering and a slow down in farmer deliveries also helped lift canola.

Canola futures were near a three week high, but a widening basis is lessening the benefit on the cash market.

Harvest in south eastern Saskatchewan and south western Manitoba will be delayed by expected heavy rain Friday.

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Detail from the front of the CBOT building in Chicago. (Vito Palmisano/iStock/Getty Images)

U.S. grains: Soybean futures set two-week high on US weather worry, soyoil rally

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures touched a two-week high on Friday on worries that heat may threaten U.S. crops and expectations that the country’s biofuel policy would boost demand for soyoil, analysts said.

While the stronger vegetable oil market helped lift soybeans, gains were limited by talk of favourable Midwest yields, particularly in corn. U.S. farmers are holding back from selling though and that is supporting the cash market.

Corn was pressured lower by talk that the U.S. Environmental Protection Administration could cut the U.S. ethanol mandate by six to 10 percent for the next two years. That might lessen the ethanol industry’s demand for corn.

Wheat futures were mostly down with Chicago soft wheat down the most. However, Minneapolis hard wheat July and September 2014 edged higher.

The lower values were mostly the result of Egypt, traditionally the world’s largest wheat buyer, rejecting bids on its latest tender saying they were all too high.

Losses in wheat were limited by concerns about quality in the just harvested wheat crop in the Former Soviet Union and about delayed seeding of next year’s FSU crop.

Also dry weather and frosts have trimmed Argentina’s wheat crop. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange estimates the harvest there will total 10.5 million. That is up from last year when bad weather reduced the crop to just eight million tonnes. However, the forecast is down from the USDA’s forecast for this year’s crop at 12 million tonnes.

Saskatchewan Agriculture said today that 89 percent of all crops in the province have been combined, ahead of the five year average of 85 percent but behind the last two years when more than 90 percent was complete.

 

Yields vary from region to region, but on average spring wheat average yields are reported as 47 bushels per acre, durum 44 bu., barley 69 bu., canola 38 bu. and peas 43 bu., Saskatchewan Agriculture said.

 

Grades for spring wheat are estimated as 59 percent No. 1, 31 percent No. 2, nine percent No. 3 and one percent CW feed. That is better than normal.

 

Stock markets rose on signs of an easing of the deadlock between Republicans and Democrats in Washington over the budget and debt limit.

 

ICE Futures Canada, dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2013       487.00       +4.80       +1.00%

Canola Jan 2014       496.90       +5.10       +1.04%

Canola Mar 2014       504.40       +5.50       +1.10%

Canola May 2014       510.70       +5.90       +1.17%

Canola Jul 2014       515.80       +6.20       +1.22%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       235.00       -2.00       -0.84%

Milling Wheat Dec 2013       239.00       -2.00       -0.83%

Milling Wheat Mar 2014       245.00       -2.00       -0.81%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       243.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2013       247.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2014       253.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Oct 2013       149.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2013       152.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2014       154.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 2013       1288       +0.25       +0.02%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1285.5       +1.5       +0.12%

Soybeans Mar 2014       1272.5       +3.5       +0.28%

Soybeans May 2014       1255       +4.5       +0.36%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1251.5       +4       +0.32%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1239.25       +2.75       +0.22%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 2013       424.4       -0.8       -0.19%

Soybean Meal Dec 2013       409.6       -2.1       -0.51%

Soybean Meal Jan 2014       405.9       -1.2       -0.29%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 2013       41.04       +0.49       +1.21%

Soybean Oil Dec 2013       41.22       +0.55       +1.35%

Soybean Oil Jan 2014       41.53       +0.55       +1.34%

 

Corn Dec 2013       438.25       -5.25       -1.18%

Corn Mar 2014       451       -5.25       -1.15%

Corn May 2014       459.5       -5.25       -1.13%

Corn Jul 2014       467       -5.25       -1.11%

Corn Sep 2014       473       -5       -1.05%

 

Oats Dec 2013       320.25       +2.25       +0.71%

Oats Mar 2014       307.5       +3.75       +1.23%

Oats May 2014       306.75       +5.75       +1.91%

Oats Jul 2014       300.5       +5.75       +1.95%

Oats Sep 2014       301       +5.75       +1.95%

 

Wheat Dec 2013       685.5       -5       -0.72%

Wheat Mar 2014       695.25       -5.25       -0.75%

Wheat May 2014       698.75       -6.25       -0.89%

Wheat Jul 2014       690.75       -7.5       -1.07%

Wheat Sep 2014       696.25       -6.75       -0.96%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       751       -2       -0.27%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       760.75       -1.25       -0.16%

Spring Wheat May 2014       765.25       -1       -0.13%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       767.5       +0.25       +0.03%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       769       +1.25       +0.16%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       755.5       -3.5       -0.46%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       755       -3       -0.40%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       754       -3.75       -0.49%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014       738.5       -4       -0.54%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2014       746       -3.25       -0.43%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped $1.88 at $101.61 US per barrel.

The Bank of Canada noon rate for the loonie was 96.31 cents US, up from 96.18 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0383 Cdn.

In early tallies —

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 1.3 percent, or 164.08 points, at 12,894.41

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 323.09 points or 2.18 percent, to 15,126.07, the S&P 500 gained 36.16 points or 2.18 percent, to 1,692.56 and the Nasdaq Composite added 82.971 points or 2.26 percent, to 3,760.747.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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