Short covering, palm problems lift most crops Tuesday

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Published: October 29, 2013

Most crop markets rose Tuesday on bargain buying after yesterday’s losses and oilseeds got an extra boost from rising palm oil.

Slow farmer selling also supported crop markets as did short covering.

Worries that severe thunderstorms in Malaysia would disrupt palm supply lifted palm futures which in turn helped lift soy oil about 1.5 percent.

November canola closed at $484.50 per tonne, up $3.70 or 0.77 percent.

November soybeans rose 0.6 percent on the palm oil news and on strong U.S. exports. However, signs of a bigger than expected U.S. soybean harvest kept a lid on gains.

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Corn was up only about a penny on short covering after hitting a three year low on Monday. Private analysts are hiking their forecasts of the size of the U.S. crop.

Oats drifted lower.

Progressive Ag says its models put the U.S. soybean yield at 44.3 bushels per acre, up from USDA’s September estimate of 41.2 bu.

The company sees corn yield at 163 bu. per acre or more, up from USDA’s 158 bu. per acre.

Chicago wheat edged higher on short covering but nearby Minneapolis wheat was steady.

Several of the weather problems that had pushed wheat higher in recent weeks have become less of an issue. A warm end to October is helping newly seeded winter wheat in the Black Sea region and recent rain in Argentina is helping to fill heads in that crop.

The U.S. winter wheat crop is being seeded into generally good conditions.

However, it is becoming clear that recent frosts have caused significant damage in several wheat growing areas of eastern Australia.

In outside markets, the U.S. dollar was up and U.S. stock markets rose on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will maintain its stimulus program when it meets

The U.S. dollar had been falling recently on thoughts that an improving economy would cause the Fed to “taper” its stimulus program. It had hit a nine month low against a basket of major currencies. But recent lackluster economic and job creation data, and flagging consumer and busines confidence after the budget battle in Washington, indicate that stimulus is still needed and that is  now lifting the buck.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2013       484.50       +3.70       +0.77%

Canola Jan 2014       495.00       +3.80       +0.77%

Canola Mar 2014       503.30       +4.20       +0.84%

Canola May 2014       509.90       +4.00       +0.79%

Canola Jul 2014       515.70       +4.10       +0.80%

 

Milling Wheat Dec 2013       231.00       +1.00       +0.43%

Milling Wheat Mar 2014       239.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat May 2014       246.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Dec 2013       247.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2014       253.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2014       257.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Dec 2013       152.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2014       154.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2014       155.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 2013       1279       +7.75       +0.61%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1270.75       +2.75       +0.22%

Soybeans Mar 2014       1254.75       +4       +0.32%

Soybeans May 2014       1241.75       +4.75       +0.38%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1237       +6       +0.49%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1226.75       +7       +0.57%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2013       410.8       -3.9       -0.94%

Soybean Meal Jan 2014       401.9       -3       -0.74%

Soybean Meal Mar 2014       391.3       -1.5       -0.38%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2013       40.97       +0.61       +1.51%

Soybean Oil Jan 2014       41.26       +0.61       +1.50%

Soybean Oil Mar 2014       41.64       +0.6       +1.46%

 

Corn Dec 2013       432       +1.25       +0.29%

Corn Mar 2014       444.25       +1       +0.23%

Corn May 2014       452.75       +0.75       +0.17%

Corn Jul 2014       460       +0.25       +0.05%

Corn Sep 2014       466.5       -0.25       -0.05%

 

Oats Dec 2013       325.75       -2.5       -0.76%

Oats Mar 2014       307.75       -1.25       -0.40%

Oats May 2014       306.75       -1.75       -0.57%

Oats Jul 2014       306.75       -2.25       -0.73%

Oats Sep 2014       308.25       -2.25       -0.72%

 

Wheat Dec 2013       681.25       +0.25       +0.04%

Wheat Mar 2014       692.5       +0.5       +0.07%

Wheat May 2014       697       -0.5       -0.07%

Wheat Jul 2014       689.5       -0.5       -0.07%

Wheat Sep 2014       697       -1.25       -0.18%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       736.5       unch       0.00%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       747.5       +0.25       +0.03%

Spring Wheat May 2014       753.5       +0.25       +0.03%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       757       +1.25       +0.17%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       756.25       +0.25       +0.03%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       751.75       +1       +0.13%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       752.75       +1.25       +0.17%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       748       +1       +0.13%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014       728.25       -1.25       -0.17%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2014       733.75       -2.5       -0.34%

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped 48 cents at $98.20 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 95.74 cents US, unchanged from the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0445 Cdn.

In early tallies —

The Toronto Stock Exchange composite closed up 68.77 points or 0.51 percent at 13,440.61.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 111.42 points, or 0.72 percent, to end at a record 15,680.35.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was up 9.84 points, or 0.56 percent, to finish at a record 1,771.95.

The Nasdaq Composite Index was up 12.21 points, or 0.31 percent, to close at 3,952.34.

The Dow and S&P were both at record closing highs.

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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