March canola climbed $3.40 on week; wheat jumps higher

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Published: February 28, 2014

Wheat posted strong gains Friday while canola edged a little higher as currency exchange rates became a big factor in the markets.

The U.S. dollar fell against most currencies Friday on a downward revision to its fourth quarter gross domestic product and on news that inflation in the European Union held steady this month, a sign the European Central Bank might not have to ease monetary policy soon.

The weaker buck supported all U.S. crop prices. The loonie rose a half cent, limiting the rally in canola.

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U.S. grains: Soy futures top one-week high, US crop outlook limits gains

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures hit their highest level in more than a week on Thursday as technical buying helped the market recover from a three-month low reached on Monday, analysts said.

March canola closed at $418.00 per tonne, down $1.20 while new crop November rose $1.40 to $456.20.

Over the week March climbed $3.40 and November climbed $4.40.

March spring wheat jumped more than three percent higher while new crop December rose about two percent. Chicago and Kansas City were also up.

The cold weather, reaching deep into the U.S., presents a small risk to the winter wheat crop. Snow is expected to accompany the cold and that should provide insulation.

The unrest in Ukraine, a major wheat producer and exporter, also supported wheat.

Over the month Chicago rose 7.8 percent, Kansas climbed 7.6 percent and Minneapolis jumped 11.1 percent.

The stronger wheat price supported corn, which was also lifted by estimates of Brazilian analysts for a smaller corn crop there.

Safras and Mercado cut its corn crop estimate to 71.2 million tonnes from 75.6 million previously.

Corn posted its sixth straight week of gains, rising 0.8 percent over the five days and rising 5.2 percent in February.

Soybeans rose on Friday on the currency support and reductions to the Brazilian soybean crop due to the dry weather there his growing season.

Safras and Mercado pegged the crop at 86.1 million tonnes, down 6.2 percent from its previous estimate.

Funds stepped in for some buying on a technical signal and on month end buying.

March soybeans rose 3.2 percent on the week and for February climbed 10.3 percent.

Soy oil edged higher today.

 

ICE Futures Canada, dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2014       418.00       -1.20       -0.29%

Canola May 2014       429.90       +0.10       +0.02%

Canola Jul 2014       439.70       +0.40       +0.09%

Canola Nov 2014       456.20       +1.40       +0.31%

Canola Jan 2015       463.60       +1.60       +0.35%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2014       193.00       +5.00       +2.66%

Milling Wheat May 2014       194.00       +5.00       +2.65%

Milling Wheat Jul 2014       194.00       +4.00       +2.11%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2014       245.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2014       249.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2014       250.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2014       126.50       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

 

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2014       1414.25       +20.75       +1.49%

Soybeans May 2014       1414       +24       +1.73%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1385.25       +18.5       +1.35%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1331       +18       +1.37%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1233.75       +17.5       +1.44%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1169.25       +13.75       +1.19%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2014       467.9       +3.9       +0.84%

Soybean Meal May 2014       457.7       +6.1       +1.35%

Soybean Meal Jul 2014       443.6       +5.4       +1.23%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2014       41.52       +0.62       +1.52%

Soybean Oil May 2014       41.79       +0.64       +1.56%

Soybean Oil Jul 2014       41.87       +0.58       +1.40%

 

Corn Mar 2014       457.5       +9.5       +2.12%

Corn May 2014       463.5       +9       +1.98%

Corn Jul 2014       467.5       +9       +1.96%

Corn Sep 2014       468       +9.5       +2.07%

Corn Dec 2014       471.5       +10.5       +2.28%

 

Oats Mar 2014       510.5       unch       0.00%

Oats May 2014       462.5       -1.5       -0.32%

Oats Jul 2014       403.25       -1.25       -0.31%

Oats Sep 2014       355       +4.75       +1.36%

Oats Dec 2014       347       +4       +1.17%

 

Wheat Mar 2014       599       +16.75       +2.88%

Wheat May 2014       602.25       +13       +2.21%

Wheat Jul 2014       608.25       +12.5       +2.10%

Wheat Sep 2014       616.5       +12.5       +2.07%

Wheat Dec 2014       629       +12.75       +2.07%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       670.75       +15.25       +2.33%

Spring Wheat May 2014       656.25       +13       +2.02%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       654.25       +10.25       +1.59%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       662       +10.25       +1.57%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       673       +10       +1.51%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       677       +14.75       +2.23%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       674       +8.5       +1.28%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014       670.5       +9.25       +1.40%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2014       677.5       +8.75       +1.31%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2014       689       +9.25       +1.36%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 19 cents at $102.59 US per barrel.

The Bank of Canada noon rate for the loonie was 90.29 cents US, up from 89.77 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.1075 Cdn.

The U.S. government said the economy expanded at a 2.4 percent annual rate, down sharply from the 3.2 percent pace it reported last month and the 4.1 percent logged in the third quarter.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 5.15 points, or 0.04 percent, at 14,209.59.

On the week, the TSX was almost unchanged.

The Dow Jones industrial average on Friday rose 49.06 points or 0.3 percent, to 16,321.71.

The S&P 500 gained 5.16 points or 0.28 percent, to 1,859.45

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 10.814 points or 0.25 percent, to 4,308.119.

All three major U.S. indexes posted strong gains for the month

The Dow was up four percent, the S&P up 4.3 percent and the Nasdaq up five percent in February

It was the best month for the Dow in more than a year.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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