Low ending stocks are good support for Prairie feed grains

WINNIPEG – With some of the lowest ending stocks in more than a generation, feed grain prices are doing quite well in Western Canada, said Ed Baldwin of AgChieve Grain Marketing in Winnipeg, Man.

As AgChieve’s Manager of Advisory Services and Grain Marketing Advisor, Baldwin said Canada has its lowest ending stocks for feed grains in the last 35 years. On the world stage, global feed grains stocks are at a 23-year low.

“That’s good for prices. Good underpinning strength to say ‘we need to grow more barley to get that replenished,'” he said.

Feed barley is currently in the C$5.50 per bushel range, according to Baldwin and noted that’s the highest price since 2013.

The story is very similar for feed wheat, with prices between C$5.50 and C$6.00 per bushel.

Around Lethbridge, Alta., where feedlot alley is located, prices are at the higher end, according to Baldwin, noting wheat has been at its best level since 2016.

“If I look at it from a charting perspective…I could draw a pretty good line at that C$5.50. That’s your resistance,” he said.

For the short term, Baldwin does not expect feed grain prices to drop dramatically for the remainder of the 2018-2019 crop year.

While corn imports from the United States are still continuing, he said the Canadian dollar has helped to keep wheat and barley competitive.

“With a 75-cent dollar, for every dollar you spend on corn costs you C$1.30. So US$4 corn is C$5.20 in Canada,” he explained.

As for domestic corn prices, Baldwin said it’s around the C$5 to C$5.50 range in Manitoba.

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