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LIVESTOCK-Cash price hope spikes CME live cattle to 4-month high

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Published: March 11, 2016

CHICAGO, March 11 (Reuters) – Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle futures peaked at a four-month high on Friday, fueled by short-covering in anticipation of strong market-ready, or cash, cattle prices later on Friday, traders said.

April ended 1.500 cents per lb higher at 139.800, and June closed up 0.925 cent per lb to 128.550.

Cash cattle bids in Texas and Kansas held at $136 per cwt against as much as $142 asking prices, said feedlot sources.

The morning’s wholesale choice beef price, or cutout, sagged $1.12 per cwt from Thursday to $224.12. Select cuts rose $1.40 to $215.25, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said.

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Future’s recent rally, much-improved packer margins and relatively solid wholesale beef demand are bullish cash market factors.

“Grilling season possibly arriving early may have kicked up the beef cutout at a time when demand typically weakens this time of year,” said U.S. Commodities analyst Don Roose.

Friday’s average beef packer margin was a negative $3.45 per head, up from a negative $15.55 on Thursday, as calculated by HedgersEdge.com.

The prospect of better cash prices prompted investors to buy April futures and sell deferred months. The move delayed the “roll” by funds out of the April contract.

Friday was the last official day that funds in CME’s livestock markets that track the Standard & Poor’s Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (S&PGSCI) could sell, or “roll,” April long positions mainly into June.

Live cattle future’s upswing also sent CME feeder cattle to its highest level in two months. March closed 0.850 cent per lb higher at 162.400 cents.

MOSTLY WEAK HOG FUTURES CLOSE

CME lean hog futures’ premiums to the exchange’s hog index for March 9 at 66.56 pressured contracts, said traders.

“April is carrying a bigger premium to the index than maybe it should. June is about right considering tighter hog numbers at that time,” said Roose.

Cash price uncertainty following the setback in wholesale pork values also weighed on April futures.

The morning wholesale pork price on Friday fell $1.52 per cwt from Thursday to $75.13, mainly hit by the $5.51 plunge in pork belly costs, based on government data.

And, fund rolling further pressured the nearby CME lean hog contracts but propped up deferred months.

April closed 0.350 cent per lb to 71.825 cents, and May ended 0.100 cent to 79.250 cents. June finished 0.175 cent higher at 83.075 and July ended up 0.150 cent to 82.200.

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