Good growing conditions weight on new crop canola Wednesday

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Published: June 26, 2013

Good growing conditions weight on new crop canola Wednesday

New crop canola fell on Wednesday, pressured by mostly favourable growing weather on the Prairies and U.S. Midwest.

Statistics Canada seeded acreage report yesterday pegged canola area at 19.74 million acres, up from the 19.13 forecast in the spring seeding intentions report released in April.

Wheat area is up from last year but not as high as was expected in the spring seeding intentions report.

StatsCan said lentil area would be down 2.4 percent from last year but that was less of a decline than had been expected in the seeding intentions report, which saw a 13 percent decline.

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U.S. grains: Soy futures top one-week high, US crop outlook limits gains

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures hit their highest level in more than a week on Thursday as technical buying helped the market recover from a three-month low reached on Monday, analysts said.

Canola was also under pressure from an uptick in crop deliveries and from a generally weak vegetable oil market, pressured by surplus current stocks of soy oil and palm oil.

Old crop canola, soybeans and corn all closed higher on extremely tight grain stocks.

Traders were adjusting positions ahead of the USDA acreage and stocks report due Friday.

Landworth, a company that tracks crops with satellite technology, today estimated the U.S. soybean crop area at 78 million acres, up 850,000 acres from the current USDA forecast.

In a Reuters poll of 21 analysts, the average estimate for corn acreage was 95.3 million (USDA 97.3 million), while soybean acreage was seen at 77.9 million (USDA 77.1 million). The poll estimated spring wheat acreage at 12.1 million.

The average forecast for corn stocks was 2.845 billion bushels. The average soybean forecast was 442 million bu.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2013       613.10       +5.10       +0.84%

Canola Nov 2013       543.90       -10.50       -1.89%

Canola Jan 2014       548.50       -10.50       -1.88%

Canola Mar 2014       548.20       -9.50       -1.70%

Canola May 2014       545.90       -9.10       -1.64%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2013       301.90       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       294.90       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2013       299.40       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2013       244.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2013       194.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2013       199.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2013       1534.25       +9       +0.59%

Soybeans Aug 2013       1425.25       -4       -0.28%

Soybeans Sep 2013       1317       -6.5       -0.49%

Soybeans Nov 2013       1276       -2.5       -0.20%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1279       -2.75       -0.21%

Soybeans Mar 2014       1274.75       -4       -0.31%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2013       463.3       +4.5       +0.98%

Soybean Meal Aug 2013       430.8       +2.7       +0.63%

Soybean Meal Sep 2013       404.3       -0.2       -0.05%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2013       46.63       -0.51       -1.08%

Soybean Oil Aug 2013       46.62       -0.51       -1.08%

Soybean Oil Sep 2013       46.25       -0.53       -1.13%

 

Corn Jul 2013       664.5       +7.75       +1.18%

Corn Sep 2013       574       -2.5       -0.43%

Corn Dec 2013       544       -0.5       -0.09%

Corn Mar 2014       554.25       -0.75       -0.14%

Corn May 2014       561.25       -0.75       -0.13%

 

Oats Jul 2013       383.75       -3.5       -0.90%

Oats Sep 2013       374.75       -0.75       -0.20%

Oats Dec 2013       370.5       -1.25       -0.34%

Oats Mar 2014       373.75       -1       -0.27%

Oats May 2014       376       -1       -0.27%

 

Wheat Jul 2013       667       -8.75       -1.29%

Wheat Sep 2013       677       -8       -1.17%

Wheat Dec 2013       692.25       -7.25       -1.04%

Wheat Mar 2014       706.5       -7.25       -1.02%

Wheat May 2014       716       -6.75       -0.93%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2013       799       -10.25       -1.27%

Spring Wheat Sep 2013       782.5       +0.25       +0.03%

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       790.25       -0.75       -0.09%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       803.5       -0.75       -0.09%

Spring Wheat May 2014       809       -1.75       -0.22%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2013       694.25       -10       -1.42%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013       706       -7.25       -1.02%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       727       -5       -0.68%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       741.75       -4.5       -0.60%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       750.5       -3.75       -0.50%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 18 cents at $95.50 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 95.52 cents US, up from 95.12 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0469 Cdn.

The TSX composite was trading a little lower going into the close, pressured by word that Verizon, a big U.S. telecom player, is planning to move into the Canadian market by buying Wind Mobile. Also bullion prices fell, pressuring gold miner shares. Bullion is falling as a safe haven as U.S. bond yields and dollar strengthen.

U.S. stocks markets were buoyed today by another installment of the “bad news is good news” phenomena. The U.S. commerce department said the American economy in the first quarter grew at an annualized rate of 1.8 percent, well below expectations of 2.4 percent.

This reduced the likelihood of the Federal Reserve tightening its monetary policy and that helped stocks post strong gains.

Yesterday, stronger than expected readings of U.S. economic activity led stocks to rise.

In early unofficial tallies —

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index fell 41.41 points, or 0.34 percent, at 11,964.01, although six of the 10 main sectors on the index were higher.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 149.83 points or 1.02 percent, to end at 14,910.14.

The S&P 500 gained 15.23 points or 0.96 percent, to finish at 1,603.26.

The Nasdaq Composite climbed 28.34 points or 0.85 percent, to close at 3,376.22.

Click on the table to see the full StatsCan acreage report.

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About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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