Canola rises on soyoil strength, weak loonie, corn falls on ethanol problem

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Published: January 7, 2015

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ICE Canada canola futures rose on Wednesday, supported by stronger soybean oil values and a weaker Canadian dollar, Reuters reported.

Crushers were buying, but funds were on the sidelines.

Most-active March canola tacked on 60 cents to $449.20 per tonne. The gain for March lagged deferred months, as modest farmer deliveries led to commercial hedging, an analyst said.

ICE reported no deliveries of January canola. The contract expires on Jan. 14.

Malaysian February palm oil added 1.8 percent.

NYSE Liffe Paris February rapeseed rose 0.5 percent.

U.S. corn futures fell 2.2 percent on Wednesday, dropping below the key $4 a bushel level on pressure from an industry report that showed demand from the ethanol sector was waning.

Wheat futures also declined on concerns about a strong dollar hitting export demand for U.S. offerings amid an ample global supply base. Soybeans ended close to unchanged after trading in negative territory for most of the day.

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Traders noted investment funds actively selling corn and buying soybeans ahead of the close as part of their January rebalancing. The late moves pushed corn to session lows near the end of trading.

Corn futures have fallen in six of the last seven trading days, shedding 4.5 percent during that time as falling crude oil and gasoline prices have cut into demand for corn-based fuel.

“We have seen the ethanol margins go into the red,” said Mark Schultz, chief analyst at Northstar Commodity Investment Co. “That signals that the (second) biggest user of corn is going to see a slowdown.”

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday that ethanol stockpiles surged 751,000 barrels to 18.85 million barrels in the week to Jan. 2, the largest in nearly two years. The report pushed ethanol futures to their lowest since June 2010.

CBOT March soft red winter wheat futures were 12-1/4 cents lower at $5.79-1/2 a bushel.

“We are priced out of the world market,” said Bill Gentry, broker at Risk Management Commodities.

Stiff competition for U.S. wheat from cheaper suppliers in Europe added to the bearish sentiment hanging over wheat.

Traders also noted that some Midwest growing areas received snow this week that will help protect the dormant U.S. crop from sub-zero temperatures that engulfed the region.

Soybean futures ended close to unchanged on Wednesday, with a late round of buying pulling prices from the negative territory they traded in for much of the session.Traders said they expected some fund buying in soybeans as part of investment rebalancing that is typical for January.Some concerns about dry weather limiting crop production in Argentina lent support to prices, but pressure from profit-taking after two days of gains hung over the market throughout the session.

Soymeal futures weakened, following a crumbling cash market basis.Soyoil firmed as the benchmark CBOT March soyoil futures contract pushed through key resistance at its 100-day moving average.Spread unwinding also contributed to the weakness in soymeal and the strength in soyoil, traders said.

Analysts were expecting a U.S. Department of Agriculture report early on Thursday to show weekly export sales of soybeans in a range from 500,000 to 700,000 tonnes. A week ago, soybean export sales totaled 611,019 tonnes.U.S. farmers plan to boost soybean acreage by 4.9 percent to 88.3 million acres, according to a survey by Farm Futures magazine.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 72 cents to US$48.65 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US84.38 cents, down from 84.72 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.1851.

Stock markets rallied as the rout in crude oil prices stalled and on a report showing stronger than expected U.S. private sector job creation. A government jobs report for December comes out Friday.

Also, minutes from the most recent Federal Reserve meeting reassured investors the bank was in no hurry to start raising interest rates.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index edged up 38.23 points, or 0.27 percent, at 14,285.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 212.88 points, or 1.23 percent, to 17,584.52.

The S&P 500 added 23.29 points, or 1.16 percent, to 2,025.9.

The Nasdaq Composite jumped 57.73 points, or 1.26 percent, to 4,650.47.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jan 2015       463.20       +0.80       +0.17%

Canola Mar 2015       449.20       +0.60       +0.13%

Canola May 2015       445.80       +2.70       +0.61%

Canola Jul 2015       443.70       +2.90       +0.66%

Canola Nov 2015       433.20       +2.10       +0.49%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       224.00       -3.00       -1.32%

Milling Wheat May 2015       227.00       -3.00       -1.30%

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       229.00       -3.00       -1.29%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       365.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2015       355.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       345.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2015       177.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       179.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2015       181.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 2015       1052.75       +1.75       +0.17%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1056.25       +0.5       +0.05%

Soybeans May 2015       1061.5       unch       0.00%

Soybeans Jul 2015       1065.75       -0.25       -0.02%

Soybeans Aug 2015       1062.75       -0.75       -0.07%

Soybeans Sep 2015       1041       -2.5       -0.24%

 

Soybean Meal Jan 2015       368.5       -2.3       -0.62%

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       354       -1.1       -0.31%

Soybean Meal May 2015       348       -0.7       -0.20%

 

Soybean Oil Jan 2015       32.98       +0.29       +0.89%

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       33.16       +0.29       +0.88%

Soybean Oil May 2015       33.32       +0.27       +0.82%

 

Corn Mar 2015       396.25       -8.75       -2.16%

Corn May 2015       404.75       -8.75       -2.12%

Corn Jul 2015       411.5       -8.75       -2.08%

Corn Sep 2015       414.5       -8.25       -1.95%

Corn Dec 2015       420.25       -8       -1.87%

 

Oats Mar 2015       301.75       -2.75       -0.90%

Oats May 2015       304       -2       -0.65%

Oats Jul 2015       307.75       -1.5       -0.49%

Oats Sep 2015       306       -1.5       -0.49%

Oats Dec 2015       306       -0.75       -0.24%

 

Wheat Mar 2015       579.5       -12.25       -2.07%

Wheat May 2015       584       -12       -2.01%

Wheat Jul 2015       587.75       -11       -1.84%

Wheat Sep 2015       594.75       -10.5       -1.73%

Wheat Dec 2015       605       -10.5       -1.71%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       615.75       -9.75       -1.56%

Spring Wheat May 2015       622.25       -9.5       -1.50%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       629.25       -9.5       -1.49%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       634.75       -9.25       -1.44%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       644       -9.25       -1.42%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       620       -11.25       -1.78%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       623.5       -11.75       -1.85%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       625       -12       -1.88%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       635.25       -11.75       -1.82%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       649       -11       -1.67%

 

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