Canola gains with support from soybeans and crude oil

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Published: February 21, 2012

Canola and soybean futures rose Tuesday ignoring a down day in corn and wheat.

March canola settled at $558.30 per tonne, up $3.80. November settled at $531.50, up $4.90.

• The Europeans agreed on a Greek bailout package removing the threat of an imminent default, but there are still concerns that Greece could cause problems in the months ahead.

•  Oil World said it might again scale back its forecast for Brazilian soybean production because of continuing dryness. It warned of a potential global soy production deficit because of the South American shortfall. However, it did rain in Argentina over the weekend.

• Rising crude oil prices also help support vegetable oil values.

• Traders today sold corn and bought soybeans to balance their bets ahead of the USDA outlook conference later this week. Profit taking after last week’s gains was also a feature.

Expectations are that USDA will forecast corn seeding at about 94 million acres, the most since the Second World War and record large production.

• Wheat also fell, pressured by corn and by forecasts for snow across the northern plains this week and next. However, expected snow accumulations are not expected to be large.

• The Canadian Wheat Board will issue its February Pool Return Outlook on Thursday.

• Reuters polled Canadian grain industry watchers on spring seeding expectations. The results are similar to the Agriculture Canada forecast released last week.

The average of the responses sees canola acres rising more than three percent to 19.5 million acres and all-wheat area climbing by 10 percent to 23.6 million acres.

Barley area would rise by 19 percent to 7.7 million acres and oat acres should climb nine percent to 3.4 million acres, according to the survey.

Pea area, on average, was pegged at three million acres and flax at one million acres.

Winnipeg (per tonne)

Canola Mar 12  $558.30, up $3.80 (+0.69%)

Canola May 12  $560.10, up $4.10 (+0.74%)

Canola Jul 12  $562.80, up $4.40 (+0.79%)

Canola Nov 12  $531.50, up $4.90 (+0.93%)

The previous trading day’s best basis in the par region was 90 cents per tonne off the March contract, said the ICE Futures Canada exchange in Winnipeg. Several crushing plants have positive basis.

The 14-day relative strength index was 73.

Western Barley Mar 12  $213.00, unchanged

Western Barley May 12  $217.00, unchanged

Milling Wheat Oct 12  $264.00, unchanged

Milling Wheat Dec 12  $268.50, unchanged

Milling Wheat Mar 13  $273.50, unchanged

Durum Wheat Oct 12  $265.90, unchanged

Durum Wheat Dec 12  $270.40, unchanged

Durum Wheat Mar 13  $276.60, unchanged

Barley Oct 12  $182.40, unchanged

Barley Dec 12  $185.90, unchanged

Barley Mar 13  $187.40, unchanged

 

Chicago (per bushel)

Soybeans Mar 12  $12.71, up 3.5 cents (+0.28%)

Soybeans May 12  $12.77, up 3.25 (+0.26%)

Soybeans Nov 12  $12.6225, up 0.25 (+0.02%)

Corn Mar 12  $6.295, down 12.25  (-1.91%)

Corn May 12  $6.335, down 11.75  (-1.82%)

Corn Dec 12  $5.6375, down 4.5  (-0.79%)

Oats Mar 12  $3.205, down 3.25  (-1.00%)

Oats May 12  $3.1725, down 3.0 (-0.94%)

Oats Dec 12  $3.18, unchanged

 

Minneapolis (per bushel)

Spring Wheat Mar 12  $8.1675, down 5.5 cents (-0.67%)

Spring Wheat May 12  $8.13, down 4.25 (-0.52%)

Spring Wheat Dec 12  $7.88, down 5.5 (-0.69%)

Nearby light crude oil in New York settled at $105.84 a barrel, up $2.60 and supported by the Greek debt deal and rising tensions with Iran.

The Canadian dollar at noon was $1.0045 US, up slightly from $1.0030 the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was 99.55 cents Cdn.

In an early tally, the Toronto Stock Exchange composite rose 165.06 points, or 1.3 percent, to 12,623.36, its biggest one-day gain since Jan. 3 and its highest level since Sept. 8, 2011.

The Dow Jones industrial average was up 16.12 points, or 0.12 percent, at 12,965.99. At one point it topped 13,000, the highest since May 2008, The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was up one point, or 0.07 percent, at 1,362.23. The Nasdaq Composite Index ended down 3.21 points, or 0.11 percent, at 2,948.57.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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