Canola falls on profit taking but gains 4.7 percent on the week

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Published: March 7, 2014

Spring wheat futures rose again Friday but canola, oats, corn and soy oil all fell.

After a strong week of gains, traders took profits going into the weekend and that provided some of the downward pressure.

That profit taking and increased farmer selling weighed on canola but the May contract posted a 4.7 percent gain on the week.

Wheat remained supported by the tensions in Ukraine and concerns about dry soils in the U.S. hard red winter wheat region. The spring wheat contract was supported by strong commercial demand for deliverable supplies.

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The Canadian government announced today it will force railways to up their game in delivering grain to export position.

If the railways actually improve service it should start to the narrow the canola basis.

Minneapolis wheat didn’t react much to the news from Canada.

However that was seen to be a factor in the limit down move in Chicago oats.

Chicago soybeans closed higher on expectation that the USDA on Monday will increase its forecast of U.S. soybean sales and trim its outlook for year end stocks.

The weather problems in South America that have trimmed production and slowed transportation to port also supported soybeans.

On the week, May soybeans rose 3.1 percent.

Palm oil rose again today on concerns about dry weather in Malaysia and Indonesia. Palm traders will closely watch export numbers released next week.

Corn closed lower as investors took profits and farmers sold grain after the benchmark May contract rose above $5 a bushel for the first time since September. The volume of deliveries was among the most since the post harvest rush.

On the week, May corn rose 5.5 percent.

The Canadian Oilseed Processors Association said members crushed 140,792 tonnes of canola in the week ending March 5, an increase of 6.3 percent.

That represented a capacity use of just over 80 percent.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Mar 2014       439.30       -7.00       -1.57%

Canola May 2014       450.20       -7.00       -1.53%

Canola Jul 2014       459.60       -7.20       -1.54%

Canola Nov 2014       476.40       -7.20       -1.49%

Canola Jan 2015       483.10       -7.80       -1.59%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2014       205.00       +3.00       +1.49%

Milling Wheat May 2014       211.00       +4.00       +1.93%

Milling Wheat Jul 2014       210.00       +4.00       +1.94%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2014       245.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2014       249.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2014       250.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2014       126.50       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2014       1457.5       +20       +1.39%

Soybeans May 2014       1457.75       +19.75       +1.37%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1424.75       +15.25       +1.08%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1373       +14.75       +1.09%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1255.5       +4.25       +0.34%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1187.25       +1.25       +0.11%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2014       465       +6.6       +1.44%

Soybean Meal May 2014       457.8       +6.9       +1.53%

Soybean Meal Jul 2014       445       +5.4       +1.23%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2014       44.09       -0.18       -0.41%

Soybean Oil May 2014       44.32       -0.17       -0.38%

Soybean Oil Jul 2014       44.44       -0.12       -0.27%

 

Corn Mar 2014       481       -4.75       -0.98%

Corn May 2014       489       -2       -0.41%

Corn Jul 2014       493       -2.25       -0.45%

Corn Sep 2014       487.5       -3       -0.61%

Corn Dec 2014       484.75       -4.5       -0.92%

 

Oats Mar 2014       490       -25       -4.85%

Oats May 2014       446.25       -20       -4.29%

Oats Jul 2014       376       -20       -5.05%

Oats Sep 2014       331       -19.75       -5.63%

Oats Dec 2014       322.75       -20       -5.84%

 

Wheat Mar 2014       646.25       +4.75       +0.74%

Wheat May 2014       654       +8       +1.24%

Wheat Jul 2014       659       +9.5       +1.46%

Wheat Sep 2014       666.25       +9.25       +1.41%

Wheat Dec 2014       678       +9.25       +1.38%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       752       +10.75       +1.45%

Spring Wheat May 2014       705       +9.75       +1.40%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       701       +11.5       +1.67%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       705       +11.75       +1.69%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       714.25       +12.5       +1.78%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       715.25       +9       +1.27%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       721.25       +8       +1.12%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014       715       +9.25       +1.31%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2014       720.75       +9.5       +1.34%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2014       731.5       +9.5       +1.32%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose $1.02 at $102.58 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 90.18 cents US, almost steady from 91.19 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.1089 Cdn.

The employment picture in the U.S. improved, supporting markets but the Canadian jobs report was a disappointment.

U.S. jobs growth picked up sharply in February despite an unusually cold winter, with 175,000 new jobs created, topping expectations. However, the unemployment rate rose to 6.7 percent, up 0.1 percent, as more Americans re-entered the market searching for employment.

Canada lost 7,000 jobs in February. It was a mixed showing, with a sizeable increase in full-time jobs, offset by the disappearance of even more part-time positions.

The unemployment rate held steady at 7.0 percent.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed 27.16 points, or 0.2 percent higher, to end the session at 14,299.08.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 30.83 points or 0.19 percent, to end at 16,452.72.

The S&P 500 gained 1.01 points or 0.05 percent, to finish at 1,878.04.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 15.903 points or 0.37 percent, to close at 4,336.223.

On the week, the TSX rose 0.7 percent, the Dow was up 0.8 percent, the S&P 500  climbed one percent and the Nasdaq recorded its fifth straight weekly advance, up 0.7 percent.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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