Higher cash price outlook extends CME live cattle gains

Reading Time: 2 minutes

Published: February 18, 2016

CHICAGO, Feb 18 (Reuters) – Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle contracts rose for a third consecutive day on Thursday, with help from fund buying and anticipation of strong cash prices by late Friday, traders said.

February closed 1.050 cents per lb higher at 135.150, and April ended at 134.375 cents, up 0.950 cents.

So far, market-ready, or cash, cattle bids in the southern Plains were at $131 per cwt against offers of $136, according to feedlot sources. Last week, cash cattle fetched mostly $134.

Bullish traders said cash cattle values will benefit from this week’s future’s rally, with some packers short on supplies and beef prices about to bottom out soon.

Read Also

Higher cash price outlook extends CME live cattle gains

Field-by-field mapping could improve yield, productivity predictions

University of Saskatchewan researchers are using field border mapping to collect data on field variability, including problematic weeds, and to predict things like yields.

Market bears believe packers have cut kills to avoid raising bids for cattle, which could realign their margins and generate retail beef buying.

“Steady cash prices are more in line with reality than pushing them higher this week,” said Brock Associates Inc. analyst Doug Houghton.

Packers on Thursday processed 1,000 fewer cattle than last week at 107,000 head, based on U.S. Department of Agriculture estimates.

USDA showed the morning’s wholesale choice beef price sagged 91 cents per cwt from Wednesday to $213.44. Select cuts jumped $2.37 to 210.00.

The average beef packer margin for Thursday was a negative $39.20 per head, up from a negative $42.05 on Wednesday, as calculated by HedgersEdge.com.

Investors await Friday’s government’s monthly Cattle-On-Feed report.

Live cattle futures buying lifted CME feeder cattle contracts. March closed 0.475 cents per lb higher at 156.475.

CME lean hogs felt pressure from the pullback in cash prices and future’s premiums to the exchange’s hog index for Feb. 16 at 66.08 cents, said traders.

April closed 0.325 cent per lb lower at 70.775 cents, and May finished down 0.150 to 76.750 cents.

Thursday morning’s average cash hog price in Iowa/Minnesota was $1.54 lower than on Wednesday in light volume at $64.13, the USDA said.

A few packers reduced cash bids after buying all they need through the weekend, a trader said.

However, Midwest hog dealers said seasonally tight supplies and hefty profits may encouraged some processors to maintain at least steady cash bids in the near term.

Saturday’s forecasted 125,000-head kill, compared to around 200,000 head over the past two weeks, suggests fewer pigs are available as farmers move them to market in a timely fashion, an Indiana dealer said.

explore

Stories from our other publications