Good weather weighs down canola, grains

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Published: July 21, 2014

Canola futures closed sharply lower on Monday pressured by good growing weather in Western Canada and the near ideal condition of crops in the U.S. Midwest.

The November contract fell more than two percent to near its low of $431.50 set February 11-12. It closed at $433.90, down $9.40.

Speculative funds sold canola, increasing their net short positions.

Pressure also came from Europe where the EU’s crop monitoring unit forecast rapeseed yields at 59 bu. per acre, up from last month’s forecast of 57.3 bu.

The latest figure would be 6.9 percent above last year’s and 8.4 percent above the five-year average.

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Soybeans and corn fell on the great weather in the Midwest

November soybeans fell for a third straight session and neared its contract low of $10.65.

December corn fell 1.72 percent

The U.S. Department of Agriculture in its weekly crop progress report released after the close of trading rated the corn crop at 76 percent good to excellent, steady with last week and matching analyst expectations, Reuters reported.

The soy crop was rated 73 percent good to excellent, up one percentage point from last week. Analysts had expected steady soy ratings.

Wheat futures at all three major exchanges fell on the U.S. winter wheat harvest and favourable growing conditions on the Northern Plains. The U.S. spring wheat crop was 70 percent good to excellent, the same as last week.

There might be quality problems in EU-top producer France’s wheat crop after heavy rain fell this weekend. The crop is being harvested.

The fighting in eastern Ukraine had little impact on the wheat market today.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2014       433.90       -9.40       -2.12%

Canola Jan 2015       437.20       -9.60       -2.15%

Canola Mar 2015       437.10       -9.30       -2.08%

Canola May 2015       433.10       -9.30       -2.10%

Canola Jul 2015       428.50       -10.60       -2.41%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2014       186.00       -2.00       -1.06%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       191.00       -2.00       -1.04%

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       203.00       -1.00       -0.49%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2014       250.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       256.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       257.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Oct 2014       137.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2014       139.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2015       140.50       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Aug 2014       1175.75       -1       -0.08%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1091.5       -12.75       -1.15%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1071.5       -13.75       -1.27%

Soybeans Jan 2015       1079.75       -13.75       -1.26%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1087.5       -14       -1.27%

Soybeans May 2015       1095.25       -14       -1.26%

 

Soybean Meal Aug 2014       380.7       +0.4       +0.11%

Soybean Meal Sep 2014       360.1       -3.1       -0.85%

Soybean Meal Oct 2014       349.7       -4.6       -1.30%

 

Soybean Oil Aug 2014       36.14       -0.43       -1.18%

Soybean Oil Sep 2014       36.21       -0.45       -1.23%

Soybean Oil Oct 2014       36.17       -0.46       -1.26%

 

Corn Sep 2014       364       -7.25       -1.95%

Corn Dec 2014       372       -6.5       -1.72%

Corn Mar 2015       383.75       -6.75       -1.73%

Corn May 2015       392.25       -6.75       -1.69%

Corn Jul 2015       399.75       -6.75       -1.66%

 

Oats Sep 2014       331.75       +0.25       +0.08%

Oats Dec 2014       325       -0.25       -0.08%

Oats Mar 2015       319       unch       0.00%

Oats May 2015       311.25       unch       0.00%

Oats Jul 2015       314.5       unch       0.00%

 

Wheat Sep 2014       530       -2.25       -0.42%

Wheat Dec 2014       554.25       -2       -0.36%

Wheat Mar 2015       577.25       -0.5       -0.09%

Wheat May 2015       592.5       -0.25       -0.04%

Wheat Jul 2015       605.75       +0.75       +0.12%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       623.25       -7       -1.11%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       633.75       -6.25       -0.98%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       646.75       -6       -0.92%

Spring Wheat May 2015       655       -6       -0.91%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       663.25       -6       -0.90%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014       628       -5.75       -0.91%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014       639.75       -6       -0.93%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015       647.5       -5       -0.77%

KC HRW Wheat May 2015       653.25       -4.25       -0.65%

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2015       640.75       -3       -0.47%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose $1.46 at $104.59 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 93.14 cents US, unchanged from the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0737 Cdn.

The fighting in Ukraine and the Israel-Gaza conflict kept investors in a defensive mood.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 16.58 points, or 0.11 percent, at 15,249.99.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 48.45 points or 0.28 percent, to end at 17,051.73.

The S&P 500 declined 4.59 points or 0.23 percent, to finish at 1,973.63.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 7.44 points or 0.17 percent, to close at 4,424.70.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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