Russia has been stepping up its attacks on Ukrainian grain ships and ports. It recently shelled the Port of Odesa, killing one person and injuring eight others. | Screencap via x.com/@MamedovGyunduz

Market ignores Russian attacks on grain ships

Some think the market has been quiet due to large Aussie crop and infrequency of attacks; others say prices should rise

SASKATOON — Grain markets should be reinstating a Black Sea war risk premium, say analysts. “I’m very surprised that we haven’t started to push a bigger premium into the wheat market, especially soft wheats, because of what’s happening,” said MarketsFarm analyst Bruce Burnett. Related stories: Russia has been stepping up its attacks on Ukrainian grain […] Read more

The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecast a record 124.9 million tonnes of U.S. soybean production in its latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report, but analysts think it could be even larger than that.  |  Greg Berg photo

Canola flies into soybean headwinds

A large soybean crop in the United States and sluggish exports have not allowed the canola market to make a move

SASKATOON — The soybean market is wrestling with a couple of bearish factors that are preventing the oilseed from rallying, says an analyst, and that is weighing down a canola market desperately attempting to gain some traction as of the end of August. The U.S. Department of Agriculture forecast a record 124.9 million tonnes of […] Read more

The Black Sea region has dryness and geopolitical concerns, the European Union's crop is being slashed due to excessive moisture and ratings for the U.S. winter wheat crop are tumbling. | Reuters photo

All eyes on Russian weather as wheat rebound

Russia is experiencing a rough transition from El Nino to La Nina, which could significantly bite into yields this year

SASKATOON — Wheat futures have gained back much of the ground they lost since the start of the year in the last couple of weeks. And there could be further appreciation on the horizon if World Weather Inc.’s forecast for Russia proves accurate. Related stories: There is a tendency for ridge-building in parts of Russia […] Read more


Significant surface runoff and pooled water in many prairie growing regions gives the impression soils will get a decent recharge this spring. However, Phillip Harder, hydrological scientist and research director at Croptimistic Technology, said the late fall rains and freezing at the soil surface, combined with multiple midwinter melts, will likely restrict the amount of water that makes it into the soil. He said on many fields much of the snowmelt will run off or accumulate in field depressions, which will end up doing the heavy lifting when it comes to crop production if rains are sparse this summer.  |  Phillip Harder photo

Dry summer still indicated

SASKATOON — World Weather Inc. believes much of the United States and portions of the Canadian Prairies will experience drought in the summer of 2024. That forecast is based on an analysis of the 18-year lunar cycle. “I’ve looked at six analog years and all six of them have a drier and warmer bias for […] Read more



An ear of corn on a plant has had its leaves peeled back revealing a yellow cob ready to be harvested.

Corn prices fall as supplies expected to increase

Some believe ending stocks will soar to 67 million tonnes by the end of 2023-24, up from 35.98 million tonnes this year

Arlan Suderman, chief commodities economist with StoneX, believes ending stocks will soar to 67 million tonnes by the end of 2023-24, up from 35.98 million tonnes this year.