NEW YORK, N.Y. (Reuters) — A U.S. weather forecaster pegged the likelihood of the El Nino weather phenomenon occurring during the Northern Hemisphere autumn and winter at 60 to 65 percent in its monthly update.
The Climate Prediction Center, an agency of the U.S. National Weather Service, is dialing back its outlook for the phenomenon since going on El Nino watch earlier this year for the first time since 2012.
The agency had lowered its outlook to 65 percent for an El Nino last month.
“At this time, the consensus of forecasters expects El Nino to emerge during September-October and to peak at weak strength during the late fall and early winter,” CPC said in the report.
A strong winter El Nino on the Canadian Prairies can bring warmer, drier than usual weather, but that is now appearing unlikely.
