ICE Canada Review: Canola Drops Below Nearby Support

By Phil Franz-Warkentin, Commodity News Service Canada
Nov. 5, 2012
Winnipeg – ICE Futures Canada canola contracts  closed at their lowest levels in a month on Monday, seeing some  follow-through declines from Friday’s sell-off as bearish technical  signals weighed on values.

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Losses in the CBOT soy complex were behind some of the spill-over  selling in canola, as US traders squared positions ahead of Tuesday’s  election and Friday’s USDA supply/demand report.
The move below C$600 per tonne in the most active January  contract exaggerating the downward move in canola, with some  sell-stops hit along the way, according to participants.
Relatively favourable South American weather conditions for  soybean crops there were bearish for the oilseeds in general as well,  said traders.
Scale-down end user demand did provide some support for canola.  However, buyers were not very aggressive as they appeared content to  wait out the correction and see just how much lower prices will go,  said a broker.
Farmers were also mostly on the sidelines, and the lack of hedge  pressure tempered the declines somewhat, said traders.
Ongoing concerns over the size of the Canadian canola crop, and  the need to ration demand going forward, also helped limit the losses.
About 16,309 canola contracts were traded on Monday, which  compares with Friday when 13,001 contracts changed hands. Spreading  accounted for about 5,282 of the contracts traded.
Milling wheat, durum, and barley futures were untraded and  unchanged.
Settlement prices are in Canadian dollars per metric ton.

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