CME hog futures may have topped while cattle fall

By Theopolis Waters

CHICAGO, June 13 (Reuters) – Aside from spot-June Chicago Mercantile Exchange hog futures, other contracts on Thursday sagged on profit taking following an 11-day winning streak, traders and analysts said.

Slipping wholesale pork prices and unprofitable packer operating margins suggest CME hogs are close to topping out in the near term, they said.

Thursday afternoon’s mandatory wholesale pork price data, or cutout, calculated on a plant-delivered basis, was at $100.16 per hundredweight, down $1.10 from Wednesday, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Read Also

Global Markets: Carney ‘will not accept a bad deal’

Glacier FarmMedia | MarketsFarm – The following is a glance at the news moving markets in Canada and globally. –…

HedgersEdge.com calculated U.S. pork packer margins on Thursday at a negative $9.45 per head, compared with a negative $7.10 on Wednesday and negative $5.35 a week earlier.

Still, higher cash hog prices lifted spot June CME hogs before it expires on Friday. Tight seasonal hog supplies caused packers to raise cash bids.

Government data showed the average hog price on Thursday afternoon in the most-watched Iowa/Minnesota market at $103.31 per cwt., up $1.21 from Wednesday.

Packers bought hogs to fill out this week’s kill, a trader said. Processors have been cutting slaughter to offset reduced supplies and recoup lost margins, he said.

From Monday to Thursday, packers processed 1.593 million hogs, 24,000 less than a week earlier, based on USDA estimates.

July bore the brunt of the day’s losses as funds sold the  contract and bought deferred months as dictated by the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index roll.

Funds that follow Standard & Poor’s Goldman Sachs Commodity Index shifted their July long positions into August. Thursday was the last official day of that roll.

CME spot-June hogs closed up 0.625 cents at 101.575 cents per pound.

Most-actively traded July ended at 98.650 cents or 0.525 cents lower and August settled down 0.300 cent to 97.300.

CATTLE SLIDE WITH BEEF

Slumping wholesale beef prices pulled down CME live cattle futures, traders and analysts said.

“Lofty choice beef prices last month got to a point where they killed demand,” a trader said.

USDA’s Thursday afternoon data showed the wholesale price of choice beef, or cutout, down $1.16 per cwt. to $200.63, while select cuts rose 6 cents to $184.37.

Eroding beef cutout values and increased cattle supplies this week backed expectations for lower cash cattle prices.

Spotty cash bids stood at $120 per cwt. with no asking prices reported by feedlot sources. A few cattle last week fetched $122 to $124.

June live cattle ended 0.300 cent per lb. lower at 119.850 cents and August dropped 0.450 cent to 119.075 cents.

Profit taking and the lower live cattle market pressured CME feeder cattle.

Spot August settled down 0.450 cent per lb. to 145.475 cents and September was at 147.750 cents, or 0.175 cent lower.

explore

Stories from our other publications