Weather problems lift crop futures

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Published: June 17, 2015

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Excess moisture in the United States and dry conditions in Canada lifted crop futures prices on Wednesday.

July canola closed up $6 at $497 per tonne. July climbed as high as $500 at one point but could not break through that barrier.

Most-active November canola rose $6.80 to $496.20.

A fairly widespread area of the Prairies should get rain Thursday-Friday and again on the weekend although generally, accumulations are not expected to be large.

U.S. soybean futures rose as concerns about rain preventing some farmers planting their full acreage sparked a round of short-covering, traders said.

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Varied precipitation and warm temperatures were generally beneficial for crop development across Alberta during the week ended July 8, according to the latest provincial crop report released July 11.

Corn and wheat futures also closed higher, supported by technical buying as well as some weather-related concerns.

Soybeans, which notched a second straight day of double digit gains, surged to their highest since May 14.

“We are finally starting to run into some bad news for the crop, in the form of field washouts and prevented planting, with rains this week from Tropical Storm Bill unlikely to let farmers into the fields in Arkansas and Missouri,” Charlie Sernatinger, global head of grain futures at ED&F Man Capital said in a note.

“Whether one wants to talk about old crop or new crop, soybeans seem to have the cash market strength, profitable end users, solid demand, wet forecasts, unplanted acres, tightening back end spreads and critical yield-determining plant dates already passing by,” Tregg Cronin, market analyst with Halo Commodities, said.

Traders said that the excessive rains also might be hurting the health of the corn, fostering conditions for disease and washing some fertilizer from the soil.

The rains in the Midwest would likely delay the harvest of the soft red winter wheat crop.

All three commodities received additional support from a slowdown in the movement of grains due to wet weather.

CME Group Inc declared force majeure for all corn and soybean shipping stations because of flooding on the Illinois River. A majority of facilities on the river, which are delivery points for crops traded on CME’s Chicago Board of Trade, are unable to load crops due to high water levels.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down 5 cents to US$59.92 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US81.25 cents, up from 81.10 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2308.

The U.S. Federal Reserve today issued a statement that supported the outlook for an interest rate high later this year and possibly another before the end of the year.

But as always, the bank said it would closely follow the employment and wage situation. Chair Janet Yellen said she wanted “more decisive evidence” that labour markets are improving before making the final decision on interest rates.

Stock markets bounced around before and after the Fed statement and Yellen’s news conference.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index slipped 20.07 points, or 0.14 percent, to close at 14,732.98.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 31.26 points, or 0.17 percent, to 17,935.74, the S&P 500 gained 4.15 points, or 0.2 percent, to 2,100.44 and the Nasdaq Composite added 9.33 points, or 0.18 percent, to 5,064.88.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2015   497.00   +6.00   +1.22%

Canola Nov 2015   496.20   +6.80   +1.39%

Canola Jan 2016   492.00   +6.80   +1.40%

Canola Mar 2016   488.80  +4.90   +1.01%

Canola May 2016   485.10   +4.90   +1.02%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2015   210.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2015   215.00   unch   0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2015   215.00   unch   0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2015   298.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2015   298.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2015   303.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2015   210.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2015   205.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2015   210.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2015   969   +11.5   +1.20%

Soybeans Aug 2015   953.75   +12   +1.27%

Soybeans Sep 2015   941.75   +11.25   +1.21%

Soybeans Nov 2015   939.75   +12.25   +1.32%

Soybeans Jan 2016   945.75   +12.25   +1.31%

Soybeans Mar 2016   948-+11.5-+1.23%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2015   323.7   +2.9   +0.90%

Soybean Meal Aug 2015   315.2   +2.6   +0.83%

Soybean Meal Sep 2015   310   +2.6   +0.85%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2015   32.85   -0.05   -0.15%

Soybean Oil Aug 2015   32.94   -0.03   -0.09%

Soybean Oil Sep 2015   33.02   -0.03   -0.09%

 

Corn Jul 2015   359.25   +5.25   +1.48%

Corn Sep 2015   365.25   +5.5   +1.53%

Corn Dec 2015   375   +5   +1.35%

Corn Mar 2016   386.25   +5.25   +1.38%

Corn May 2016   393.25   +5   +1.29%

 

Oats Jul 2015   255   +2.5   +0.99%

Oats Sep 2015   261.75   +1.75   +0.67%

Oats Dec 2015   267.75   +2.25   +0.85%

Oats Mar 2016   272.75   unch   0.00%

Oats May 2016   279.5   unch   0.00%

 

Wheat Jul 2015   491.25   +2.5   +0.51%

Wheat Sep 2015   497   +2.5   +0.51%

Wheat Dec 2015   510.75   +2.5   +0.49%

Wheat Mar 2016   524   +3   +0.58%

Wheat May 2016   532.25   +3.25   +0.61%

 

Minneapolis Hard Red Spring

Wheat Jul 2015   547.75   +0.25   +0.05%

Wheat Sep 2015   557.25   +0.75   +0.13%

Wheat Dec 2015   570.25   +1.5   +0.26%

Wheat Mar 2016   583.75   +2   +0.34%

Wheat May 2016   592.5   +1.75   +0.30%

 

Kansas City Hard Red Winter

Wheat Jul 2015   505.5   -1   -0.20%

Wheat Sep 2015   514.75   -0.75   -0.15%

Wheat Dec 2015   533.75   +0.25   +0.05%

Wheat Mar 2016   547.25   +0.25   +0.05%

Wheat May 2016   556   unch   0.00%

 

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