Winnipeg (CNS Canada) – Trade uncertainty between China and the United States, along with good U.S. growing conditions are pressuring the soybean market on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT).
During the week ended June 6, the July CBOT soybean contract dropped about 30 cents to US$9.9425 per bushel.
“The trade uncertainty is a major cloud,” said Rich Feltes of RJ O’Brien in Chicago, Ill. Although he added, “That China doesn’t typically buy a lot of beans here, late spring into summer, because this is when Brazil supplies them with most of the beans.”
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The CBOT July corn contract also dropped over the week. The contract lost more than 10 cents to settle at US$3.7825 per bushel on June 6.
The soybean and corn markets have been under pressure from good crop and weather conditions in the U.S. The USDA crop progress report released June 4 rated U.S. corn crop conditions at 61 per cent good and 17 per cent excellent, while the soybean crop was at 61 per cent good and 14 per cent excellent.
“The excellent crop conditions are a cloud. The fact that the weather conditions are, I would describe them as non-threatening, those are all issues which I think are going to keep long specs at bay until we see some kind of turn in the weather,” Feltes said.
The CBOT wheat market rallied June 6, with the July contract rising almost 10 cents to settle at US$5.1975 per bushel. Dryness concerns in Russia and northern Europe lent support to the market, putting some “zest” into it as Feltes said.
“I’m not sure it’s got a lot of legs because we’re just at the cusp on the U.S. wheat harvest picking up and Oklahoma wheat yields have been better than expected,” he said, adding that new crop wheat sales have been way below normal, which could weigh on the market.
