Supply worries drop CME lean hogs to 5-year low; live cattle lower, feeders down sharply

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Published: February 4, 2015

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By Theopolis Waters

CHICAGO, Feb 4 (Reuters) – Chicago Mercantile Exchange lean hogs fell to their lowest level in five years Wednesday as abundant supplies of heavyweight hogs pressured cash prices and hurt wholesale pork demand, traders said.

“We’re simply supply-bearish,” said U.S. Commodities analyst Don Roose.

Market-ready, or cash, hogs in the Midwest sold steady to $1 lower per hundredweight (cwt) early on Wednesday, regional hog dealers said.

The morning’s wholesale pork price was at $76.67 per cwt., a gain of 42 cents from Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said.

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Photo: Geralyn Wichers

U.S. livestock: CME cattle futures hit new contract highs as supplies tighten

Chicago Mercantile Exchange live and feeder cattle futures rallied to fresh contract highs on Wednesday, as tight supplies and strong cash market prices continued to send future contracts surging, market analysts said.

Moderate winter temperatures kept hog weights from declining as they normally would at this time of year, analysts said.

They also said that more hogs are available than expected due to the use of vaccines and enhanced biosecurity measures on farms that reduced the impact of the deadly Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea virus (PEDv).

A combination of U.S. West Coast port gridlock and East Coast residents digging out from a recent severe blizzard stifled overall meat sales, traders said.

February closed 2.100 cents per pound lower at 65.100 cents, and April slumped 2.750 cents to 68.125 cents. June and July futures fell by the 3-cents-per-lb price limit, settling at 79.625 cents and 79.950 cents, respectively.

LIVE CATTLE DROP

CME live cattle futures felt pressure from lean hogs’ selloff and uneasiness about increased cattle supplies ahead, traders said.

Last Friday’s USDA cattle inventory report showed cheaper feed and record-high cattle prices in 2014 encouraged ranchers to expand herds more aggressively than previously expected.

February live cattle futures remained underpriced compared preliminary cash prices, which minimized that contract’s losses.

On Wednesday, some cash cattle moved in Kansas at $160 per cwt., steady to up $1.50 from last week’s mostly $159 to $160.50 sales in the U.S. Plains, said feedlot sources.

They said remaining cash bids stand at $160 per cwt. against feedlots asking up to $162 for their cattle.

Some packers need cattle after not buying enough of them last week, while others might bridle cash spending due to their poor margins and sluggish wholesale beef demand.

February closed 0.750 cent per lb. weaker at 153.000 cents, and April 1.925 cents to 148.650 cents.

CME feeder cattle traded in sympathy with lower live cattle futures.

March closed 2.775 cents per lb. lower at 196.725 cents per lb, and April down 3.050 cents to 196.850 cents.

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