The European Union imposes provisional anti-dumping duties, forcing Chinese producers to look for other markets
SINGAPORE (Reuters) — Chinese biodiesel producers are seeking new outlets in Asia for their exports and exploring producing other types of biofuel as supply to the European Union, their biggest buyer, dries up ahead of anti-dumping tariffs, biofuel executives and analysts said.
The EU has imposed provisional anti-dumping duties of 12.8 to 36.4 per cent on Chinese biodiesel, hitting more than 40 companies in an export business that was worth $$2.3 billion last year.
Some larger producers are eyeing the marine fuel market in China and Singapore, the world’s top marine fuel hub, as they seek to offset already falling biodiesel exports to the EU, biofuel executives said.
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Exports to the bloc have fallen sharply since mid-2023 amid investigations. Volumes in the first six months of this year plunged 51 per cent from a year earlier to 567,440 tons, Chinese customs data showed.
June shipments shrank to slightly more than 50,000 tons, the lowest since mid-2019, according to customs data.
At their peak, exports to the EU reached a record 1.8 million tons in 2023, representing 90 per cent of all Chinese biodiesel exports that year. The Netherlands was the top importer in 2023, soaking in 84 per cent of China’s biodiesel shipments to the EU, followed by Belgium and Spain, Chinese customs figures showed.
Chinese producers of biodiesel have enjoyed fat profits in recent years, making the most of the EU’s green energy policy that grants subsidies to companies that are using biodiesel as a sustainable transport fuel.
Many of China’s biodiesel producers are privately run small plants employing scores of workers processing waste oil collected from millions of Chinese restaurants. Before the biodiesel export boom, they were making lower-value goods such as soaps and processing leather products.
However, the boom was short-lived. Last August, the EU began investigating Indonesian biodiesel that was suspected of circumventing duties by going through China and Britain, followed by a 14-month anti-dumping probe into Chinese biodiesel believed to be priced artificially low and undercutting local producers.
Anticipating the tariffs, traders stocked up on used cooking oil (UCO), lifting prices of the feedstock, while prices of biodiesel sank in view of shrinking demand for the Chinese supply.
“With hefty prices of UCO partly supported by strong U.S. and European demand, and free-falling product prices, companies are having a tough time surviving,” said Gary Shan, chief marketing officer of Henan Junheng.
Prices of hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO), a main type of biodiesel, have halved versus last year’s average to the current $1,200 to $1,300 per tonne and are off a peak of $3,000 in 2022, Shan added.
With low prices, biodiesel plants have cut their operations to an all-time low of less than 20 per cent of existing capacity on average in July, down from a peak of 50 per cent last seen in early 2023, according to Chinese consultancies Sublime China Information and JLC.
Meanwhile, shrinking biodiesel sales are boosting China’s UCO exports, which analysts predict are set to touch a new high this year. UCO exports soared by two-thirds year-on-year in the first half of 2024 to 1.41 million tonnes, with the United States, Singapore and the Netherlands the top destinations.
