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Canola growing season in review

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Published: December 17, 2024

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Canola growing season in review

The 2024 canola growing season was a tale of two distinct seasons.

The April through June period resulted in a dramatic improvement in growing conditions from the past few years. The July through August period was very stressful and caused yield potential in canola to drop dramatically. The rain during the first half of the season was not enough to sustain the crop yield potential through the hot days during August.

Other stories in the Canola Yearbook 2024:

Winter precipitation improved from the previous season, especially in the extremely dry regions of the southwestern and west-central Prairies. These areas received above normal snowfall during the winter, which provided a good start for the 2024 growing season.

Northern and eastern areas of the Prairies were mostly dry during the winter with southern Manitoba, northern Alberta and the Peace River region of Alberta and British Columbia experiencing the driest conditions. These areas received less than 20 per cent of normal precipitation during the winter.

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The northern and eastern areas of the Prairies outside these areas received less than 40 per cent of normal. The subsoil moisture conditions after the 2023 growing season were extremely dry with the only area with adequate moisture located northwest of Edmonton and the southern areas of the Alberta Peace River region.

Spring weather was warm in the last half of April and early May, which got crop planting off to a decent start. Rain during April and early May did slow the pace of planting with less than 20 per cent of the canola in the ground in Saskatchewan and Alberta by the middle of the month. Monthly average temperatures in April were 2 to 3 C below normal, while May temperatures were mostly 0 to 2 C below normal.

The rain in May was well above normal with most of western Saskatchewan and southern Alberta reporting more than 200 per cent of normal precipitation. Western Manitoba and northeastern Saskatchewan received 150 to more than 200 per cent of normal precipitation. Despite the rainfall during the month, canola planting advanced to completion by the end of the first week of June.

The cooler weather prevailed through June with temperatures across the Prairies ranging from 0C to 3 C below normal during the month. The cool temperatures persisted into the middle of July with temperatures hovering just below the long-term average.

The heat turned on in the second half of July, and the stressful conditions persisted through August. Days above the 30 C mark totalled more than 27 days in southeastern Alberta and southwestern and south-central Saskatchewan.

The main canola growing areas in northern regions reported fewer days above 30 with numbers ranging from six to 15 days. Most of the days through the growing season above 30 C were recorded in the last half of July and August. This corresponded with most of the reproductive growth stage (blooming and filling) of canola crops.

The heat during August caused significant heat blast in canola crops, especially in the northern and central growing regions. This reduced the number of pods and decreased the size of the seed inside of the pods. The heat also pushed canola development to maturity with canola harvesting beginning in the last week of August.

Canola harvest began early in the dry regions of the southern Alberta and southwestern Saskatchewan with most farmers starting in mid-August. The Saskatchewan harvest was eight per cent complete by the end of August, while Alberta was less than five per cent complete. The Manitoba harvest was only three per cent complete by the end of August.

Dry weather in September allowed the harvest to advance rapidly during the month with Saskatchewan progress at 82 per cent complete. Alberta was 71 per cent complete at the end of the month and Manitoba ended the month at 78 per cent. The canola harvest wrapped up by Thanksgiving in most areas of the Prairies.

Statistics Canada expects canola crop production to drop by 211,171 tonnes to 18.98 million tonnes this year. Canola yields are forecast to be similar to last year at 2.15 tonnes per hectare. These estimates are based on satellite crop models and are expected to drop when the final yield estimates are released in December.

Canola quality – The Canadian Grain Commission publishes Canadian harvest quality of the canola crop. The data shown in the graphs above is for the 2024 harvest as of Oct. 30. The information for all grades of canola in Western Canada indicates that overall vegetable oil content dropped by 1.2 per cent this year to 42.4 per cent. Canola meal protein content was increased by 1.4 per cent from last year at 23.1 per cent. The meal protein content is significantly higher than the five-year average, while the canola oil content is below the five year average.

Alberta – Statistics Canada projects that yields in Alberta were lower this year by only 0.04 tonnes per hectare to 2.15 tonnes per hectare. Canola production in Alberta is expected to drop to 5.5 million tonnes in 2024. Protein content in Alberta increased dramatically with the provincial average coming in this year at 23.3 per cent. This was up by 1.1 per cent from last year. Oil content decreased by 1.1 per cent from last year to 43.1 per cent. The heat and stressful conditions in August have caused the drop in oil content and increased protein in the meal. This is also a sure sign that the current yield potential is below current estimates.
Saskatchewan – The oil content in Saskatchewan’s canola crop this year was down by 1.3 per cent to 41.9 per cent from the current forecast for the province. Statistics Canada forecasts yields of 2.11 tonnes per hectare in the province, which is up 0.04 tonnes per hectare from last year. Statistics Canada expects Saskatchewan canola production to reach 10.3 million tonnes this year. Meal protein content increased by 1.3 per cent to 23.3 per cent in 2024. The stressful conditions this year have contributed to higher protein content.

Manitoba – Manitoba was also drier and warmer than normal this past growing season. The oil content dropped by one per cent from last year to 42.1 per cent. Soybean meal protein content rose this year by 1.3 per cent to 23.3 per cent. Statistics Canada forecast Manitoba yields at 2.3 tonnes per hectare, which was down by 0.18 tonnes per hectare. This will result in a crop of 3.1 million tonnes, which is down slightly from 2023. The drop in canola oil content and higher protein values are an indicator that yields will likely drop in the final Statistics Canada report. Dry soil moisture levels continue to prevail across the Prairies this year and most regions need above average precipitation this winter. It is needed to help establish crops next spring. The forecasted La Nina this winter is expected to result in above normal precipitation amounts in the central and northern Prairies, which is positive news for the start to the 2025 growing season.

About the author

Bruce Burnett - Analysis

Bruce Burnett is director of weather and markets information for Glacier FarmMedia.

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