Canola falls on improving soybean condition

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Published: August 1, 2017

An improvement in the U.S. soybean crop condition rating pressured soybeans lower Tuesday and that pulled canola lower.

It was generally a down day on crop markets as the slightly lower crop condition ratings for U.S. corn and spring wheat were offset by the generally favourable weather forecast for the Midwest.

November canola dipped below the $500 leve, closing at $498.40, down $10.20 a tonne.

Canola was down two percent while November soybeans were down 3.5 percent.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture late Monday rated 59 percent of the U.S. soy crop in good to excellent condition, up from 57 percent a week earlier.

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Also, long range temperature forecasts show that cooler than normal weather in the U.S. Midwest means there should be little heat stress this month as soybeans go into their reproductive stage.

All three classes of wheat fell even though the spring wheat good to excellent fell to 31 percent from 33.

Wheat is feeling downward pressure from the advancing U.S. winter harvest.

USDA ON AUG. 10

The market could continue on this negative trend, barring surprise changes in the weather forecast.

The USDA monthly supply and demand report due Aug. 10 is expected to trim corn and spring wheat yield forecasts but it has the potential to shake things up if the cuts are larger than expected.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down $1.01 US$49.16 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar was trading in the afternoon around US79.72 cents down .42 cents. The U.S. dollar was $1.2544.

The S&P/TSX Composite Index gained 58.23 points or 0.38 percent to close at 15,202.10.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 72.80 points, or 0.33 percent, to close at 21,963.92, the S&P 500 gained 6.05 points, or 0.24 percent, to 2,476.35 and the Nasdaq Composite added 14.82 points, or 0.23 percent, to 6,362.94.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 17   498.40s   -10.20   -2.01%

Canola Jan 18   503.90s   -9.80   -1.91%

Canola Mar 18   507.80s   -9.90   -1.91%

Canola May 18   510.30s   -9.50   -1.83%

Canola Jul 18   512.90s   -8.80   -1.69%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 17   274.00s   -5.00   -1.79%

Milling Wheat Dec 17   277.00s   -5.00   -1.77%

Milling Wheat Mar 18   282.00s   -4.00   -1.40%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 17   308.00s   unch   unch

Durum Wheat Dec 17   309.00s   unch   unch

Durum Wheat Mar 18   291.00s   unch   unch

 

Barley Oct 17   145.00s   +5.00   +3.57%

Barley Dec 17   141.00s   +1.00   +0.71%

Barley Mar 18   141.00s   +1.00   +0.71%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Aug 17   959-4s   -35-0   -3.52%

Soybeans Sep 17   964-2s   -35-2   -3.53%

Soybeans Nov 17  971-6s   -35-4   -3.52%

Soybeans Jan 18   980-6s   -35-2   -3.47%

Soybeans Mar 18   987-0s   -33-4   -3.28%

 

Soybean Meal Aug 17   308.3s   -10.3   -3.23%

Soybean Meal Sep 17   310.3s   -10.4   -3.24%

Soybean Meal Oct 17   312.0s   -10.6   -3.29%

 

Soybean Oil Aug 17   33.86s   -0.85   -2.45%

Soybean Oil Sep 17   33.97s   -0.84   -2.41%

Soybean Oil Oct 17   34.08s   -0.84   -2.41%

 

Corn Sep 17   362-4s   -8-2   -2.23%

Corn Dec 17   376-4s   -8-2   -2.14%

Corn Mar 18   388-4s   -7-6   -1.96%

Corn May 18   394-0s   -7-6   -1.93%

Corn Jul 18   399-2s   -7-6   -1.90%

 

Oats Sep 17   280-2s   -4-0   -1.41%

Oats Dec 17   281-4s   -4-6   -1.66%

Oats Mar 18   282-2s   -3-2   -1.14%

Oats May 18   281-4s   -3-0   -1.05%

Oats Jul 18   280-2s   -3-0   -1.06%

 

Wheat Sep 17   461-2s   -13-2   -2.79%

Wheat Dec 17   487-6s   -12-0   -2.40%

Wheat Mar 18   509-4s   -11-2   -2.16%

Wheat May 18   522-4s   -10-2   -1.92%

Wheat Jul 18   531-0s   -9-4   -1.76%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Sep 17   718-0s   -13-2   -1.81%

Spring Wheat Dec 17   730-6s   -13-4   -1.81%

Spring Wheat Mar 18   729-6s   -12-2   -1.65%

Spring Wheat May 18   720-4s   -12-0   -1.64%

Spring Wheat Jul 18   707-6s   -12-4   -1.74%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Sep 17   465-2s   -9-4   -2.00%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 17   492-6s   -9-2   -1.84%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 18   510-4s   -9-2   -1.78%

Hard Red Wheat May 18   524-0s   -8-6   -1.64%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 18   538-2s   -8-2   -1.51%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (Pit) Aug 17   112.800s   +0.800   +0.71%

Live Cattle (Pit) Oct 17   112.875s   +0.925   +0.83%

Live Cattle (Pit) Dec 17   114.200s   +1.050   +0.93%

 

Feeder Cattle (Pit) Aug 17   149.175s   +3.000   +2.05%

Feeder Cattle (Pit) Sep 17   149.450s   +2.800   +1.91%

Feeder Cattle (Pit) Oct 17   148.850s   +2.625   +1.80%

 

Lean Hogs (Pit) Aug 17   79.800s   -0.500   -0.62%

Lean Hogs (Pit) Oct 17   64.400s   -1.625   -2.46%

Lean Hogs (Pit) Dec 17   59.400s   -1.100   -1.82%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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