Canola ends Wed. flat with strong loonie offsetting export talk

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Published: September 6, 2017

The loonie jumped about a penny higher but November canola managed to end the day steady.

Reuters reported that there was talk of new canola export business and that helped support the price, as did stronger soybean futures.

The numbers in the Statistics Canada year end stocks report today were not hugely different from trade expectations and so they had little impact on the market.

The loonie jumped higher after the Bank of Canada raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points. The majority in the market had expected that the rate hike would not happen until the bank’s October meeting.

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The seven day outlook continues to show mostly dry weather across the Prairies, with much warmer than normal temperatures until the weekend.

US CROPS

Corn edged higher on short covering. There is some concern that U.S. corn is behind the normal pace of development. Forecasts see cool, mostly dry weather in the Midwest into next week.

Minneapolis spring wheat led the market higher with the biggest percentage gain on bargain buying after several weeks of declines.

The market will be watching the progress of the powerful Hurricane Irma, which might hit Florida this weekend. It would affect the crop market if residual rains from the storm push into the Midwest, but there is no way of knowing that yet.

GLOBAL ISSUES

Dry weather in eastern Australia threatens to reduce wheat yields in that country. Also a strong frost in August and more recently in New South Wales in August was expected to cut Australia’s canola production from previous estimates.

Meanwhile, parts of Argentina are too wet for the wheat crop there.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

The Bank of Canada’s surprise interest rate increase today drove the loonie higher. The Bank of Canada said the hike was warranted given unexpectedly strong economic growth in the second quarter, but said future moves are not predetermined and would be guided by data and market developments, Reuters reported.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US81.79 cents, up almost one cent from 80.76 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2227.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 50 cents at US$49.16 per barrel.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 54.33 points, or 0.25 percent, to 21,807.64, the S&P 500 gained 7.69 points, or 0.31 percent, to 2,465.54 and the Nasdaq Composite added 17.74 points, or 0.28 percent, to 6,393.31.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 17   497.20s   unch   unch

Canola Jan 18   503.90s   -0.10   -0.02%

Canola Mar 18   510.50s   -0.20   -0.04%

Canola May 18   513.60s   +0.10   +0.02%

Canola Jul 18   513.60s   -0.40   -0.08%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 17   235.00s   +3.00   +1.29%

Milling Wheat Dec 17   238.00s   +2.00   +0.85%

Milling Wheat Mar 18   245.00s   +1.00   +0.41%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 17   291.00s   -2.00   -0.68%

Durum Wheat Dec 17   294.00s   -2.00   -0.68%

Durum Wheat Mar 18   298.00s   -2.00   -0.67%

 

Barley Oct 17   145.00s   unch   unch

Barley Dec 17   148.00s   unch   unch

Barley Mar 18   151.00s   unch   unch

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

 

Chicago

Soybeans Sep 17   964-4s   +4-0   +0.42%

Soybeans Nov 17   971-0s   +2-4   +0.26%

Soybeans Jan 18   980-6s   +2-4   +0.26%

Soybeans Mar 18   989-6s   +2-2   +0.23%

Soybeans May 18   998-2s   +2-0   +0.20%

 

Soybean Meal Sep 17   303.6s   +0.8   +0.26%

Soybean Meal Oct 17   305.6s   +0.8   +0.26%

Soybean Meal Dec 17   308.7s   +0.7   +0.23%

 

Soybean Oil Sep 17   35.21s   +0.11   +0.31%

Soybean Oil Oct 17   35.30s   +0.11   +0.31%

Soybean Oil Dec 17   35.56s   +0.12   +0.34%

 

Corn Sep 17   347-0s   +2-6   +0.80%

Corn Dec 17   361-0s   +2-4   +0.70%

Corn Mar 18   373-4s   +2-4   +0.67%

Corn May 18   381-0s   +2-4   +0.66%

Corn Jul 18   387-4s   +2-4   +0.65%

 

Oats Sep 17   235-0s   +16-4   +7.55%

Oats Dec 17   233-6s   +2-4   +1.08%

Oats Mar 18   242-0s   +3-0   +1.26%

Oats May 18   240-4s   +2-6   +1.16%

Oats Jul 18   243-6s   +2-4   +1.04%

 

Wheat Sep 17   421-6s   -8-6   -2.03%

Wheat Dec 17   445-6s   +2-6   +0.62%

Wheat Mar 18   467-0s   +3-6   +0.81%

Wheat May 18   480-2s   +5-0   +1.05%

Wheat Jul 18   493-2s   +6-0   +1.23%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Sep 17   628-4s   +18-6   +3.08%

Spring Wheat Dec 17   644-4s   +15-4   +2.46%

Spring Wheat Mar 18   654-0s   +14-0   +2.19%

Spring Wheat May 18   651-0s   +12-2   +1.92%

Spring Wheat Jul 18   644-0s   +10-2   +1.62%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Sep 17   423-2s   +3-6   +0.89%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 17   448-6s   +3-6   +0.84%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 18   466-2s   +3-6   +0.81%

Hard Red Wheat May 18   480-0s   +3-6   +0.79%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 18   496-6s   +4-0   +0.81%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle Oct 17   104.700s   +0.275   +0.26%

Live Cattle Dec 17   109.800s   +0.425   +0.39%

Live Cattle Feb 18   113.800s   +0.625   +0.55%

 

Feeder Cattle Sep 17   143.300s   +1.250   +0.88%

Feeder Cattle Oct 17   143.700s   +1.200   +0.84%

Feeder Cattle Nov 17   143.750s   +0.800   +0.56%

 

Lean Hogs Oct 17   63.550s   -0.200   -0.31%

Lean Hogs Dec 17   60.275s   +0.100   +0.17%

Lean Hogs Feb 18   64.725s   +0.175   +0.27%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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