Canola futures slips ahead of USDA planting report

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Published: March 30, 2016

Canola futures dipped on Wednesday as traders took profits after a three day rally.

The soy complex and other grain futures on American exchanges were also fell in what was a down day generally in crops.

Traders were adjusting positions ahead of Thursday’s USDA prospective planting survey report. USDA will also release its quarterly grain stocks report. Watch for our coverage at Producer.com on Thursday morning.

The trade generally believes corn acreage will be up about two percent over last year and soybeans will be up about 0.5 percent.

U.S. wheat futures tumbled more than two percent today, as long term forecasts for rain in some dry areas of the southern Plains eased concerns about crop stress.

Although a portion of the HRW wheat belt could remain dry, updated forecasts indicate a better chance for rain in the central and southeast Plains over the next two weeks, the Commodity Weather Group said in a note, Reuters reported

“The 16- to 30-day continues to trend wetter in the southern Plains and could offer some needed moisture, particularly late in the period,” CWG added.

CBOT May corn was down 6 cents, or 1.6 percent, at $3.67 per bushel after touching a two-month high of $3.74 early in the session. The contract fell below its 100-day moving average after closing above the key technical level on Tuesday for the first time since October.

CBOT May soybeans shed 7 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $9.09 a bushel after hitting a 3 ½ month high a day earlier.

Analysts on average expect March 1 soybean stocks at their largest since 2007 and corn stocks at their highest since 1987.

The market is still digesting news that China is scrapping its stockpiling scheme for corn, a move that could reduce Chinese imports of feed grains. Beijing intends to allow markets to set prices for the grain, the State Administration of Grain said in a statement.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up four cents to US$38.32 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US77.15 cents, up from 76.02 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2962.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola May 2016   474.60   -3.50   -0.73%

Canola Jul 2016   479.70   -3.40   -0.70%

Canola Nov 2016   477.20   -4.70   -0.98%

Canola Jan 2017   480.30   -5.10   -1.05%

Canola Mar 2017   481.90   -5.20   -1.07%

 

Milling Wheat May 2016   238.00   -3.00   -1.24%

Milling Wheat Jul 2016   238.00   -3.00   -1.24%

Milling Wheat Oct 2016   235.00   -4.00   -1.67%

Durum Wheat May 2016   297.00   +1.00   +0.34%

Durum Wheat Jul 2016   288.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2016   282.00   -3.00   -1.05%

 

Barley May 2016   176.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2016   178.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2016   178.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2016   909   -7   -0.76%

Soybeans Jul 2016   916.25   -6.5   -0.70%

Soybeans Aug 2016   918.5   -6.25   -0.68%

Soybeans Sep 2016   919   -6   -0.65%

Soybeans Nov 2016   923   -5.5   -0.59%

Soybeans Jan 2017   926.5   -5.25   -0.56%

 

Soybean Meal May 2016   271.9   -1.3   -0.48%

Soybean Meal Jul 2016   274.6   -1.2   -0.44%

Soybean Meal Aug 2016   275.9   -1   -0.36%

 

Soybean Oil May 2016   33.79   -0.26   -0.76%

Soybean Oil Jul 2016   34.01   -0.27   -0.79%

Soybean Oil Aug 2016   34.1   -0.27   -0.79%

 

Corn May 2016   367   -6   -1.61%

Corn Jul 2016   371.5   -5.75   -1.52%

Corn Sep 2016   376   -5.75   -1.51%

Corn Dec 2016   384   -5.5   -1.41%

Corn Mar 2017   392.75   -5.25   -1.32%

 

Oats May 2016   185.25   -4.5   -2.37%

Oats Jul 2016   196.25   -3.5   -1.75%

Oats Sep 2016   205.25   -1.75   -0.85%

Oats Dec 2016   215.25   +0.25   +0.12%

Oats Mar 2017   219.75   +0.25   +0.11%

 

Wheat May 2016   464   -12.75   -2.67%

Wheat Jul 2016   471.5   -12.25   -2.53%

Wheat Sep 2016   481.5   -11.75   -2.38%

Wheat Dec 2016   496   -11   -2.17%

Wheat Mar 2017   509.75   -10.5   -2.02%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 2016   515.25   -7   -1.34%

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   523.25   -7   -1.32%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   533   -7  -1.30%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   546.75   -6.5   -1.17%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   560.5   -5.5   -0.97%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat May 2016   465.75   -16   -3.32%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   477   -15.75   -3.20%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   491.25   -15.5   -3.06%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   511.5   -15.5   -2.94%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   524   -15   -2.78%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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