Photo: Vencavolrab/iStock/Getty Images

Prairie forecast: Looking warm and dry for Canada Day

Forecast issued June 25, covering June 25 to July 2, 2025

A broad but unorganized area of low pressure impacts all three Prairie provinces for at least the first half of this forecast period. Unsettled weather means it will be a difficult forecast to pin down. It also means seasonable temperatures with no big intense heat waves expected—though that doesn’t mean we won’t see a few hot days.

Photo: File

Prairie forecast: Unsettled weather ahead

Forecast issued June 18, covering June 18 to 25, 2025

For this forecast period we start, once again, with no strong systems impacting the Prairies. But, as we head into the weekend a strong area of low pressure is forecasted to develop over the western U.S. This low will impact our region over the weekend, but how and where is a little uncertain.

Photo: Lisa Guenther

Prairie forecast: Where did the summer heat go?

Forecast issued June 11, covering June 11 to 18, 2025

Looking at the big picture we start this forecast period with a generally zonal flow across the Prairies as Arctic high pressure slides across the far northern Prairies and weak low pressure moves by to the south. This will bring sunny to partly cloudy skies and near to slightly below-average temperatures.






Rain pours from beneath a huge storm cloud in the distance, a lush green prairie pasture is in the foreground.

Hot, dry summer expected

Precipitation forecast up in the air; more confidence in temperature prediction

Precipitation is expected to be below normal in the May-June-July period for much of the Prairie region except for eastern Saskatchewan and western Manitoba, where it should be normal.



An Agriculture Canada map of percentage of normal precipitation amounts across the Prairie provinces.

Prairie soil moisture conditions not a concern

Subsoil moisture levels are still dry in some areas, but the forecast for spring and early summer weather is neutral

There are a number of uncertainties going into the 2025 planting season, but soil moisture levels aren’t a concern at the moment. That’s one positive factor for the production outlook in 2025.

In our part of the world, clouds provide the predominant method of precipitation formation, summer or winter. | Getty Images

Most precipitation comes from cold clouds

There are several types of icy precipitation, but it all begins with the process that creates precipitation in cold clouds. In our part of the world, it is the predominant method of precipitation formation, summer or winter. We’ve all experienced freezing rain, which occurs when temperatures fall slightly below freezing. When you drop cold water […] Read more