Aerial view of rapeseed fields in Luoping county, Qujing city, southwest of China's Yunnan province, 6 February 2017.

Short rapeseed crop may put China in a bind

China’s rapeseed crop could be smaller than reported, hastening an early resolution of its canola dispute with Canada

Industry thinks China’s rapeseed crop is way smaller than the official government estimate. The country’s canola imports will also be down, so there will be a lot of unmet demand.











A swathed and dried down canola crop lies awaiting the combine near Mariapolis, Man., on Aug. 30, 2025. Photo: Alexis Stockford

ICE Canada Weekly: Pressure on canola is coming

As canola futures find some ground on the Intercontinental Exchange during the week ended Sept. 24, the Canadian oilseed’s path will soon be a steady decline. That’s the assessment from Tony Tryhuk, trader with RBC Dominion Securities in Winnipeg.