China's pork production in 2022 is forecast decline by 14 percent as fewer hogs come to market and government policies designed to limit price fluctuations inadvertently undermine expansion. | Reuters photo

China pork production to decline by 14 percent in 2022: USDA

Aug 25 (Reuters) – Following are selected highlights from a report issued by the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) post in Beijing: “In 2022, China’s hog production is forecast to decline by 5 percent. Low prices and disease outbreaks in 2021 led to significant slaughter and delayed restocking. Pork production in 2022 […] Read more

Dorab Mistry, director of Godrej International, said the Chinese government is making a

China expected to increase soybean purchases this year

China will be a much larger buyer of soybeans this year than the market is anticipating, says an analyst. “My sense is that all the current estimates of Chinese imports for 2021-22 are understating the figures,” Dorab Mistry, director of Godrej International, told delegates attending a conference organized by the U.S. Soybean Export Council. “In […] Read more

China’s Communist Party declared in May that the government will be allowing all couples to have a third child. It is unclear when the new policy will take effect. | File photo

Ag exporters eye China’s new population plan

Analysts are divided on what impact China’s new three-child policy will have on future feedgrain demand. China’s Communist Party declared in May that the government will allow all couples to have a third child. It is unclear when the new policy will take effect. CoBank, an American farm lender, thinks it will be bullish for […] Read more


China’s hog slaughter recovery bodes well for feedgrains

A major farm lender in the United States is forecasting another strong year of Chinese grain and oilseed demand in the new crop year, and that bodes well for prices. “Predicting with certainty whether China will purchase the same levels of U.S. soybeans, corn and sorghum over the next year as it has done so […] Read more

China suddenly imported 10.5 million tonnes of wheat in 2020-21, doubling the previous year's total. | Reuters photo

China may open up to more wheat

Rumours have surfaced that China may double its tariff rate quota (TRQ) for wheat in 2021-22, which would be extremely bullish for the crop, says an analyst. The current TRQ is set at 9.64 million tonnes. That is the amount of wheat China will allow into the country per year at a one percent duty. […] Read more



Seth Meyer, chief economist with the United States Department of Agriculture, made a strong plea for the WTO to ensure member countries properly disclose what stocks they have on hand of key grains because that is not happening today and it creates confusion and volatility.
  |  Reuters photo

China called out for lack of transparency

Grain exporting nations want the World Trade Organization to ensure there is better transparency in grain markets. Seth Meyer, chief economist with the United States Department of Agriculture, said there is a lack of transparency by some WTO members when it comes to export restrictions, stock holdings and trade positions. Meyer was part of a […] Read more

Groups such as the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization are starting to drastically cut their Chinese corn stock estimates. | Reuters photo

Amount of China’s stockpiled corn in dispute

The U.S. Department of Agriculture thinks the country has 7.8 billion bushels of the crop, but analysts aren’t convinced

Analysts think China’s mountain of corn may be more like a molehill. The United States Department of Agriculture estimates the country is sitting on a stockpile of 198 million tonnes, or 7.8 billion bushels, of the crop. “There is no way they have a 7.8 billion bushel surplus,” said Todd Hultman, lead analyst with DTN. […] Read more


The U.S. Department of Agriculture thinks the country has 7.8 billion bushels of the crop, but analysts aren't convinced. | Reuters/Thomas Peter photo

Amount of China’s stockpiled corn in dispute

Analysts think China’s mountain of corn may be more like a molehill. The United States Department of Agriculture estimates the country is sitting on a stockpile of 198 million tonnes, or 7.8 billion bushels, of the crop. “There is no way they have a 7.8 billion bushel surplus,” said Todd Hultman, lead analyst with DTN. […] Read more

An analyst doesn’t believe that the full recovery the Chinese government is predicting this year for the country’s hog herd will happen or that the herd has already recovered to 80 to 90 percent of the pre-African swine fever number. | File photo

Losses to new ASF wave may be 30 percent

Pig density, poor biosecurity and ineffective control are thought to be behind sustained waves of the disease in China

China’s hog sector is in its third wave of African swine fever primarily due to a mutated strain of the virus, says an international swine management consultant. Todd Thurman, who owns SwineTex Consulting Services and typically spends about half his year in China, said the mutated virus is less deadly but harder to identify. “Most […] Read more