Wheat up; canola falls on stronger loonie, weaker soy

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Published: March 12, 2015

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Wheat was the only crop futures to rise on Thursday.

Canola was weighed down by a stronger loonie, profit taking after recent gains and the weaker soybean complex.

Chicago wheat futures rose for the fifth straight session on technical buying and worries over potential yield losses due to dry weather in parts of the U.S. Plains as the crop comes out of winter dormancy.

The weekly U.S. Drought Monitor showed 70 percent of Oklahoma and 45 percent of Kansas, both top-producing states, were classified as in “moderate drought.”

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U.S. soybean futures fell to a 1-1/2 week low on Tuesday as China continued to shun purchases from the United States and as forecasts for improved rains in the coming days reinforced expectations for a sizeable Midwest harvest.

Funds hold a sizable net short position in CBOT wheat, leaving the market open to short-covering.

Gains in Minneapolis spring wheat were much less than in Chicago.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture reported export sales of U.S. wheat in the latest week at 445,200 tonnes for 2014-15 and 48,000 tonnes for 2015-16, near the high end of trade expectations.

Consultancy Strategie Grains cut its outlook for EU soft wheat exports this season by 2.5 million tonnes to 30 million, citing the impact of lower oil prices on importing countries in North Africa and the Middle East, Reuters reported.

Chicago soybean futures fell, shrugging off talk overnight that China bought two cargoes of U.S. soybeans as the weekly weekly export sales report was disappointing.

It said export sales fo of soybeans were 198,700 tonnes (old-crop and new-crop combined), below forecasts ranging from 300,000 to 600,000 tonnes.

A drop in crude oil weighed on soyoil futures, which closed lower for the sixth time in seven sessions.

Corn was lower on disappointing weekly export sales which were down about 50 percent from the week before.

However, exports to date are enough to keep up with the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s fully year export forecast.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down $1.12 to US$47.05 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US78.80 cents, up from US78.35 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2691.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was up 31.52 points, or 0.21 percent, at 14,770.72.

Dow Jones industrial average rose 258.74 points, or 1.47 percent, to 17,894.13, the S&P 500 gained 25.64 points, or 1.26 percent, to 2,065.88 and the Nasdaq Composite added 43.35 points, or 0.89 percent, to 4,893.29.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2015       458.70       -5.80       -1.25%

Canola May 2015       463.70       -5.80       -1.24%

Canola Jul 2015       459.10       -5.40       -1.16%

Canola Nov 2015       447.10       -4.30       -0.95%

Canola Jan 2016       448.80       -4.30       -0.95%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       229.00       +1.00       +0.44%

Milling Wheat May 2015       236.00       +1.00       +0.43%

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       239.00       +1.00       +0.42%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       333.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2015       323.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       313.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2015       182.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       184.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2015       186.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2015       986.5       -2.5       -0.25%

Soybeans May 2015       990.5       -2.25       -0.23%

Soybeans Jul 2015       994       -3       -0.30%

Soybeans Aug 2015       991.75       -3.5       -0.35%

Soybeans Sep 2015       977       -3.5       -0.36%

Soybeans Nov 2015       967.5       -4       -0.41%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       343.5       -2.2       -0.64%

Soybean Meal May 2015       331.6       -1.7       -0.51%

Soybean Meal Jul 2015       328.6       -1.2       -0.36%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       30.76       -0.21       -0.68%

Soybean Oil May 2015       30.87       -0.23       -0.74%

Soybean Oil Jul 2015       31.05       -0.23       -0.74%

 

Corn Mar 2015       382.25       -1.75       -0.46%

Corn May 2015       388.5       -2.5       -0.64%

Corn Jul 2015       395.75       -2.75       -0.69%

Corn Sep 2015       403       -2.75       -0.68%

Corn Dec 2015       411.75       -2.5       -0.60%

 

Oats Mar 2015       279.75       -0.75       -0.27%

Oats May 2015       281.25       -0.75       -0.27%

Oats Jul 2015       283.25       -1.25       -0.44%

Oats Sep 2015       286.25       -1.75       -0.61%

Oats Dec 2015       283       -2       -0.70%

 

Wheat Mar 2015       513.25       +10.25       +2.04%

Wheat May 2015       507.25       +8.25       +1.65%

Wheat Jul 2015       509.5       +7.75       +1.54%

Wheat Sep 2015       518.5       +7.5       +1.47%

Wheat Dec 2015       531.5       +6.75       +1.29%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       556.75       +2.25       +0.41%

Spring Wheat May 2015       569.5       +2.5       +0.44%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       575       +2.25       +0.39%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       582.75       +2.5       +0.43%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       593       +2.75       +0.47%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       546.5       +8       +1.49%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       546.5       +5.75       +1.06%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       550.5       +5.75       +1.06%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       561.5       +5.75       +1.03%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       577.5       +6.75       +1.18%

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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