Wheat rally stalls, canola drifts lower on rain

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Published: June 14, 2017

Spring wheat futures started Wednesday higher but wound up little changed by the close as traders looked at rainfall amounts in the Dakotas and Canada.

July Minneapolis wheat closed down a half cent per bushel while December was up 1.5 cents.

They remained at the highest point in about two and half years.

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Volume in Minneapolis wheat futures hit a record high of 33,453 traded contracts on Tuesday, topping the previous record from January of 27,095 contracts, the exchange said in a release.

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Wheat rally stalls, canola drifts lower on rain

Saskatchewan crop conditions vary, but good to fair overall

Crop conditions across Saskatchewan were variable in mid-July, but in good to fair condition overall, said the weekly provincial crop report.

Farmers and the trade will be assessing how much good the recent rain has done and whether the dryness to date has caused permanent yield damage, particularly in the U.S. where the crop is further ahead in maturity.

The potential decline in spring wheat production must also be placed in the context of fairly good wheat prospects in other parts of the world.

Canola futures drifted lower again on the improved moisture in the Prairies and the continued strength in the Canadian dollar.

Without the momentum from spring wheat, corn and soybeans also fell a little. Also, areas of the Midwest are expected to get rain over the next five days.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

The U.S. Federal Reserve raise its benchmark interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point today, as expected. It indicated it would lift rates one more time this year.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York fell $1.73 to US$44.73 per barrel. U.S. data showed an unexpectedly large weekly build in U.S. gasoline inventories and International Energy Agency data projected a big increase in non-OPEC output in 2018.

The Canadian dollar in the afternoon was trading at US75.49 cents, little changed from US75.55 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.325.

Falling oil weighed down the Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index. It lost 209.62 points, ending the session down 1.36 percent at 15,170.13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 46.09 points, or 0.22 percent, to 21,374.56, the S&P 500 lost 2.43 points, or 0.10 percent, to 2,437.92 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 25.48 points, or 0.41 percent, to 6,194.89.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2017       509.60       -1.60       -0.31%

Canola Nov 2017        481.80       -2.70       -0.56%

Canola Jan 2018        487.60       -2.60       -0.53%

Canola Mar 2018        493.10       -2.60       -0.52%

Canola May 2018        495.30       unch       0.00%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2017       268.00       -1.00       -0.37%

Milling Wheat Oct 2017       262.00       -1.00       -0.38%

Milling Wheat Dec 2017       265.00       -1.00       -0.38%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2017       278.00       -1.00       -0.36%

Durum Wheat Oct 2017       266.00       -3.00       -1.12%

Durum Wheat Dec 2017       270.00       +1.00       +0.37%

 

Barley Jul 2017       138.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2017       140.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2017       140.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2017       931.75       -0.75       -0.08%

Soybeans Aug 2017       935.25       -1.00       -0.11%

Soybeans Sep 2017       936.25       -0.50       -0.05%

Soybeans Nov 2017       939.00       unch       0.00%

Soybeans Jan 2018       946.50       +0.25       +0.03%

Soybeans Mar 2018       952.00       +1.00       +0.11%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2017       301.80       +0.30       +0.10%

Soybean Meal Aug 2017       303.60       +0.20       +0.07%

Soybean Meal Sep 2017       305.20       +0.20       +0.07%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2017       32.09       unch       0.00%

Soybean Oil Aug 2017       32.21       unch       0.00%

Soybean Oil Sep 2017       32.33       unch       0.00%

 

Corn Jul 2017       377.00       -4.00       -1.05%

Corn Sep 2017       385.00       -3.50       -0.90%

Corn Dec 2017       395.50       -3.50       -0.88%

Corn Mar 2018       404.75       -3.50       -0.86%

Corn May 2018       410.50       -3.50       -0.85%

 

Oats Jul 2017       255.50       +2.25       +0.89%

Oats Sep 2017       245.75       +1.25       +0.51%

Oats Dec 2017       242.75       +2.00       +0.83%

Oats Mar 2018       239.75       +2.00       +0.84%

Oats May 2018       240.25       +2.00       +0.84%

 

Wheat Jul 2017       443.00       -2.00       -0.45%

Wheat Sep 2017       457.25       -2.00       -0.44%

Wheat Dec 2017       479.00       -1.75       -0.36%

Wheat Mar 2018       496.75       -1.50       -0.30%

Wheat May 2018       509.00       -1.75       -0.34%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2017       627.50       -0.50       -0.08%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017       634.50       unch       0.00%

Spring Wheat Dec 2017       630.25       +1.50       +0.24%

Spring Wheat Mar 2018       628.50       +3.25       +0.52%

Spring Wheat May 2018       622.00       +2.75       +0.44%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017       457.50       +0.50       +0.11%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017       475.00       +0.75       +0.16%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2017       499.25       +1.00       +0.20%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2018       511.75       +0.75       +0.15%

Hard Red Wheat May 2018       523.00       +1.25       +0.24%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Jun 2017       124.50       -3.00       -2.35%

Live Cattle (P) Aug 2017       117.88       -3.00       -2.48%

Live Cattle (P) Oct 2017       114.80       -2.58       -2.20%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Aug 2017       146.12       -3.83       -2.55%

Feeder Cattle (P) Sep 2017       145.70       -4.00       -2.67%

Feeder Cattle (P) Oct 2017       144.10       -4.22       -2.85%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Jun 2017       83.00       +0.22       +0.27%

Lean Hogs (P) Jul 2017       82.58       +0.30       +0.36%

Lean Hogs (P) Aug 2017       80.40       +0.18       +0.22%

 

Canadian Dollar Jun 2017       0.7548       -0.0009       -0.12%

Crude Oil Jul 17       44.75       -1.71       -3.68%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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