Weak loonie supports canola against falling soy oil

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: January 29, 2015

,

Another sharp drop in the Canadian dollar offset downward pressure from falling soy oil prices to allow defered canola futures to rise on Thursday.

The Nearby March contract edged 70 cents a tonne lower to $449.10 while May crept up 70 cents to $446.10. July and beyond rose a little more.

The loonie was under pressure as the U.S. buck rose following news from the Federal Reserve that it was upbeat about the U.S. economy. It was wary about slow global growth but still left the door open for a U.S. interest rate increase sometime this year.

Read Also

Weak loonie supports canola against falling soy oil

Field-by-field mapping could improve yield, productivity predictions

University of Saskatchewan researchers are using field border mapping to collect data on field variability, including problematic weeds, and to predict things like yields.

What had been a wide inverse in canola between the March and May contracts is now down to just $3.

Funds that were selling soybeans and buying canola have wound down that trading strategy.

Although commercial demand was steady today it does not appear there is strong immediate demand for canola as the inverse fades away and basis levels for nearby delivery are fairly wide.

Soy oil was still under pressure following an announcement this week by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency that could clear the way for more soyoil-based biodiesel imports from Argentina.

The industry thinks it will result in large imports of Argentine biodiesel, a claim the EPA denies.

March soybeans were down slightly even though weekly U.S. export sales came in higher than expected.

The weakness in soy oil and the prospect of a record large South American soybean crop weighed down soybeans.

Dry areas of Brazil are set to get rain this week.

Corn futures again drifted lower on ample supplies. Weekly U.S. exports were within the range of expectations.

Wheat rose after the USDA reported U.S. export sales at 544,400 tonnes, above a range of trade expectations. The strongest gains were in hard red winter wheat.

News that Saudi Arabia was in the market for 660,000 tonnes of wheat also supported wheat futures.

There was no trade in the ICE Futures durum contract but the exchange lowered the price by $5 a tonne.

Nearby light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose eight cents to US$44.53 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US79.09 cents, down from US80.31 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2644.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 33.08 points, or 0.23 percent, at 14,635.96.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 225.6 points, or 1.31 percent, to 17,416.97, the S&P 500 gained 19.25 points, or 0.96 percent, to 2,021.41 and the Nasdaq Composite added 45.41 points, or 0.98 percent, to 4,683.41.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2015       449.10       -0.70       -0.16%

Canola May 2015       446.10       +0.70       +0.16%

Canola Jul 2015       443.80       +2.30       +0.52%

Canola Nov 2015       431.40       +3.20       +0.75%

Canola Jan 2016       433.60       +3.70       +0.86%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       213.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat May 2015       216.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Jul 2015       219.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       358.00       -5.00       -1.38%

Durum Wheat May 2015       348.00       -5.00       -1.42%

Durum Wheat Jul 2015       338.00       -5.00       -1.46%

 

Barley Mar 2015       195.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       197.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2015       199.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2015       968.25       -2       -0.21%

Soybeans May 2015       974.75       -2.5       -0.26%

Soybeans Jul 2015       979.75       -3.25       -0.33%

Soybeans Aug 2015       978.75       -4.25       -0.43%

Soybeans Sep 2015       963       -6.25       -0.64%

Soybeans Nov 2015       951.25       -7       -0.73%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       337.9       +0.5       +0.15%

Soybean Meal May 2015       330.6       +0.7       +0.21%

Soybean Meal Jul 2015       328       +0.4       +0.12%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       29.54       -0.8       -2.64%

Soybean Oil May 2015       29.78       -0.79       -2.58%

Soybean Oil Jul 2015       30.01       -0.77       -2.50%

 

Corn Mar 2015       371.5       -1.75       -0.47%

Corn May 2015       380       -1.5       -0.39%

Corn Jul 2015       387.75       -1.25       -0.32%

Corn Sep 2015       394.5       -1.25       -0.32%

Corn Dec 2015       402.75       -1.5       -0.37%

 

Oats Mar 2015       282.5       -5       -1.74%

Oats May 2015       286.75       -3.25       -1.12%

Oats Jul 2015       292.5       -2.25       -0.76%

Oats Sep 2015       298.5       -1       -0.33%

Oats Dec 2015       296.25       -1       -0.34%

 

Wheat Mar 2015       507.75       +2.5       +0.49%

Wheat May 2015       512.5       +2.25       +0.44%

Wheat Jul 2015       517       +1       +0.19%

Wheat Sep 2015       525.25       +0.5       +0.10%

Wheat Dec 2015       537.75       +0.5       +0.09%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       559.25       +4.25       +0.77%

Spring Wheat May 2015       565.5       +2.75       +0.49%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       573       +2       +0.35%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       581.5       +1.75       +0.30%

Spring Wheat Dec 2015       592       +1.5       +0.25%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       544       +8.25       +1.54%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       548.75       +7       +1.29%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       553.5       +6.25       +1.14%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       564.75       +5.25       +0.94%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2015       578.5       +4.75       +0.83%

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

Markets at a glance

explore

Stories from our other publications