Weak loonie, strong soy oil lifts canola

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: March 6, 2013

Canola futures bucked the lower trend in other crop prices.

The decline the Canadian dollar over the past few days to the lowest level in about eight months is helping to generate domestic and exports demand for canola.

Canola basis levels have improved in the last few days, attracting new farmer deliveries that triggered grain company hedging.

Soybean oil rose slightly, also lending support to canola. Deferred month soybeans were slightly higher.

Most traded May closed at $634.6, up $6.20. November closed at $570, up $5.50.

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He expects the price to be down about 17 perent by July-August as world oilseed supply is set to increase. However, he expects palm oil prices will not fall more than 25 percent so long as Brent crude oil does not fall below $80 per barrel. It is now trading around $111.

Palm fell 23 percent last year on record supplies

 

Closing prices

Canadian prices in dollars per tonne.

Winnipeg ICE Futures

Canola Mar 13  $644.1       +$8.20       +1.29%

Canola May 13  $634.6       +$6.20       +0.99%

Canola Jul 13  $622.5       +$3.80       +0.61%

Canola Nov 13  $570       +$5.50       +0.97%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 13  $291, unchanged

Milling Wheat May 13  $294, unchanged

Milling Wheat Jul 13  $296, unchanged

Milling Wheat Oct 13  $296, unchanged

 

Durum Wheat Mar 13  $307, unchanged

Durum Wheat May 13  $311, unchanged

Durum Wheat Jul 13  $314, unchanged

Durum Wheat Oct 13  $299.3, unchanged

 

Barley Mar 13  $241.5, unchanged

Barley May 13  $242.5, unchanged

Barley Jul 13  $243, unchanged

Barley Oct 13  $243, unchanged

 

American crop prices are listed in pennies per bushel

Chicago

Soybeans (P) Mar 13  1484.5       -12.0       -0.80%

Soybeans (P) May 13  1466       -0.5       -0.03%

Soybeans (P) Jul 13  1448.75       +1.0       +0.07%

Soybeans (P) Aug 13  1408.5       +2.0       +0.14%

Soybeans (P) Sep 13  1331.5       +0.5       +0.04%

Soybeans (P) Nov 13  1278.75       +2.5       +0.20%

 

Corn (P) Mar 13  708       -24.0       -3.28%

Corn (P) May 13  688.5       -20.5       -2.89%

Corn (P) Jul 13  671.75       -14.25       -2.08%

Corn (P) Sep 13  567.25       -9.75       -1.69%

Corn (P) Dec 13  544.25       -7.75       -1.40%

 

Oats (P) Mar 13  394.75       -2.75       -0.69%

Oats (P) May 13  384.25       -4.5       -1.16%

Oats (P) Jul 13  378.75       -5.0       -1.30%

Oats (P) Sep 13  370       -5.25       -1.40%

Oats (P) Dec 13  363  -5.0       -1.36%

 

Minneapolis (per bushel)

Spring Wheat Mar 13  802              -6.0       -0.74%

Spring Wheat May 13  783.5       -12.25       -1.54%

Spring Wheat Jul 13  782.25       -18.0       -2.25%

Spring Wheat Sep 13  783  -16.0       -2.00%

Spring Wheat Dec 13  789.75       -15.5       -1.92%

 

The Bank of Canada noon rate for the loonie was 96.96 cents US, down from 97.18 on Tuesday. The U.S. buck was $1.0314.

Analysts believe the lagging Canadian economy will cause the loonie to decline further in the near term.

In early tallies —

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index rose 95.92 points, or 0.75 percent, at 12,831.96.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 42.47 points, or 0.30 percent, to finish at 14,296.24.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index rose 1.67 points, or 0.11 percent, to close at 1,541.46.

The Nasdaq Composite Index slid 1.77 points, or 0.05 percent, finishing at 3,222.36

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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