Traders focus on record U.S. crop, drive futures lower

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: November 19, 2014

By D’Arce McMijllan, markets editor

Twitter @ darcemcmillan

Canola and other crop futures fell Wednesday as the U.S. harvest approaches its conclusion and more supplies hit the cash market.

Soybeans, meal and oil all fell, with the down swell washing into the canola market, which had risen the previous three sessions.

There was added technical weakness as the price in various contracts fell below key moving averages.

Analysts expect the U.S. Department of Agriculture tomorrow will show that soybean export sales were in a range from 700,000 to one million tonnes in the latest week. A week ago, soy export sales were 1.074 million tonnes.

Soymeal export sales are expected to be between a negative 100,000 to 100,000 tonnes compared to 21,337 tonnes a week ago.

Corn was pressured lower by the advancing harvest and larger available cash supplies.

That helped to pressure wheat lower.

Crop forecaster Lanworth issued an outlook of the U.S. winter wheat seeded area and production. See the story here.

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Photo: JHVEPhoto/Getty Images Plus

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Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped three cents at US$74.58 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US88.11 cents, down from US88.46 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.1350.

Minutes of the U.S. central bank’s Oct. 28-29 meeting, where policymakers decided to finally end their bond-buying stimulus, indicated a debate among policymakers over the outlook for inflation and the economy. It gave traders few clues as to when interest rate might rise.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 7.18 points, or 0.05 percent, at 14,980.15.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 2.09 points, or 0.01 percent, to 17,685.73, the S&P 500 lost 3.08 points, or 0.15 percent, to 2,048.72 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 26.73 points, or 0.57 percent, to 4,675.71.

 

WATCH FOR MY VIDEO WEEKLY MARKET WRAPUP THURSDAY MORNING AT PRODUCER.COM.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jan 2015       427.90       -5.50       -1.27%

Canola Mar 2015       431.40       -5.00       -1.15%

Canola May 2015       432.70       -4.70       -1.07%

Canola Jul 2015       433.70       -5.20       -1.18%

Canola Nov 2015       430.10       -7.10       -1.62%

 

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       222.00       -3.00       -1.33%

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       230.00       -3.00       -1.29%

Milling Wheat May 2015       233.00       -3.00       -1.27%

 

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       356.50       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       357.50       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2015       357.50       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Dec 2014       160.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2015       163.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       163.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 2015       1004.75       -18.5       -1.81%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1012       -19       -1.84%

Soybeans May 2015       1018.25       -19       -1.83%

Soybeans Jul 2015       1023.25       -19.25       -1.85%

Soybeans Aug 2015       1024.25       -18.5       -1.77%

Soybeans Sep 2015       1005.75       -18       -1.76%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2014       370.4       -7.6       -2.01%

Soybean Meal Jan 2015       356.1       -7.5       -2.06%

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       340.7       -7.7       -2.21%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2014       32.51       -0.14       -0.43%

Soybean Oil Jan 2015       32.64       -0.15       -0.46%

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       32.86       -0.16       -0.48%

 

Corn Dec 2014       363.25       -8.75       -2.35%

Corn Mar 2015       376       -9       -2.34%

Corn May 2015       385       -8.75       -2.22%

Corn Jul 2015       392.25       -8.75       -2.18%

Corn Sep 2015       398       -9.25       -2.27%

 

Oats Dec 2014       326.5       -7.5       -2.25%

Oats Mar 2015       330.25       -2.75       -0.83%

Oats May 2015       329       -1.75       -0.53%

Oats Jul 2015       326       -2.25       -0.69%

Oats Sep 2015       321.75       -7.5       -2.28%

 

Wheat Dec 2014       537.75       -11.25       -2.05%

Wheat Mar 2015       541       -10       -1.81%

Wheat May 2015       547.25       -10.5       -1.88%

Wheat Jul 2015       553.5       -10.5       -1.86%

Wheat Sep 2015       562.25       -10.75       -1.88%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       571.5       -7       -1.21%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       578       -8.75       -1.49%

Spring Wheat May 2015       586.5       -8.75       -1.47%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       594.5       -8.75       -1.45%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       602.75       -9       -1.47%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2014       586.25       -7.25       -1.22%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       589.25       -7.25       -1.22%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       591.75       -8.25       -1.38%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       592.5       -8       -1.33%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       603.75       -8.25       -1.35%

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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