Technical weakness drives canola lower, Sharp decline in wheat

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Published: December 3, 2014

By D’Arce McMillan, Markets editor

Twitter @ darcemcmillan

Canola fell Wednesday for the sixth session as the price fell below technical support, triggering additional selling.

Soybeans were down for most of the day and that weighed on canola, which did not catch the late rally that pushed soy into positive territory at the close.

The January canola contract now has a premium over March indicating that users and exporters want canola.

Statistics Canada releases its final crop report of the year on Thursday morning. The trade expects the estimates will increase from the September report.

Watch for our coverage of the StatsCan report at Producer.com.

Wheat fell hard today, as traders believe the recent rally has made American grain uncompetitive with other sources.

Romania and Ukraine sold wheat to Egypt at prices $25 per tonne below the American price.

Also more people believe that Russia will not trim exports anytime soon.

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Photo: JHVEPhoto/Getty Images Plus

U.S. grains: Soybean futures jump on hopes for US export demand

Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures jumped on hopes for U.S. export demand on Wednesday, while corn futures rose for a third day to extend a recovery from contract lows, analysts said.

Corn edged slightly higher.

Gains in Soybeans and corn were limited by good growing conditions in South America.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 50 cents to US$67.38 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US88.03 cents, up from 87.72 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.1360.

New data showing the U.S. economy gathering strength lifted stock markets.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index was up 133.99 points, or 0.92 percent, at 14,754.06.

The Dow and the S&P 500 hit new record highs.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 33.07 points, or 0.18 percent, to 17,912.62, the S&P 500 gained 7.78 points, or 0.38 percent, to 2,074.33 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.66 points, or 0.39 percent, to 4,774.47.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jan 2015       412.30       -4.60       -1.10%

Canola Mar 2015       410.30       -5.00       -1.20%

Canola May 2015       411.50       -5.40       -1.30%

Canola Jul 2015       412.50       -5.60       -1.34%

Canola Nov 2015       409.00       -6.00       -1.45%

 

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       232.00       -7.00       -2.93%

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       239.00       -8.00       -3.24%

Milling Wheat May 2015       242.00       -8.00       -3.20%

 

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       356.50       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       357.50       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2015       357.50       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Dec 2014       172.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2015       175.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2015       177.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jan 2015       998.25       +2.5       +0.25%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1005.25       +2.25       +0.22%

Soybeans May 2015       1012.25       +2.25       +0.22%

Soybeans Jul 2015       1017.25       +2.5       +0.25%

Soybeans Aug 2015       1016.75       +2.5       +0.25%

Soybeans Sep 2015       996.5       +2.25       +0.23%

 

Soybean Meal Dec 2014       381.1       -2       -0.52%

Soybean Meal Jan 2015       353.8       -4.1       -1.15%

Soybean Meal Mar 2015       340.9       -2.3       -0.67%

 

Soybean Oil Dec 2014       31.86       +0.69       +2.21%

Soybean Oil Jan 2015       31.94       +0.66       +2.11%

Soybean Oil Mar 2015       32.15       +0.62       +1.97%

 

Corn Dec 2014       368.75       +1       +0.27%

Corn Mar 2015       382       +0.75       +0.20%

Corn May 2015       390.5       +0.75       +0.19%

Corn Jul 2015       397.5       +0.75       +0.19%

Corn Sep 2015       402.5       +1       +0.25%

 

Oats Dec 2014       295.25       -0.75       -0.25%

Oats Mar 2015       307.75       -0.75       -0.24%

Oats May 2015       308.5       -2       -0.64%

Oats Jul 2015       308       -5.5       -1.75%

Oats Sep 2015       306.75       -5.25       -1.68%

 

Wheat Dec 2014       597       -8.25       -1.36%

Wheat Mar 2015       589.5       -13.75       -2.28%

Wheat May 2015       595.25       -13.5       -2.22%

Wheat Jul 2015       599       -13.75       -2.24%

Wheat Sep 2015       605.75       -14       -2.26%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       635.5       -20.5       -3.12%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       621.25       -11.25       -1.78%

Spring Wheat May 2015       627       -12.75       -1.99%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       634.25       -13.25       -2.05%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       641.75       -12.75       -1.95%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2014       631.75       -17       -2.62%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       639.75       -12.5       -1.92%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       642.5       -12.5       -1.91%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       642.5       -11.5       -1.76%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       651.5       -12       -1.81%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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