Spring wheat soars again as heatwave approaches

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Published: June 29, 2017

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The spring wheat market shifted from deeply concerned to panic Thursday and old crop canola saw a nice gain.

Most-traded September Minneapolis wheat closed up 4.45 percent at US$7.39 ½. Earlier in the day it traded as high as $7.68.

In Canada PDQInfo.ca said No. 1 CWRS 13.5 percent protein cash ranged C$8.08-$8.23 per bushel in Saskatchewan, $8.35-$8.43 in Alberta and $8.05-$8.46 in Manitoba.

Expectations of a heatwave next week in the Northern Plains and in western Canada, added to the worries about lack of moisture.

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Today Minneapolis also pulled Chicago and Kansas wheat up. They have been lagging behind the spring wheat crop.

Soybeans edged slightly higher and corn was up about one percent.

Old crop July canola jumped $10.50 per tonne or about two percent to $530 a tonne, perhaps indicating some users are worried about supply before the next crop is available. However, the cash to futures basis appears to be widening.

New crop November was up only about a half percent, gaining $2.30 to $484.40 per tonne.

Gains in canola are being limited by the strength of the loonie, now trading close to US77 cents.

STATISTICS CANADA ACREAGE

The Statistics Canada seeded acreage survey was fairly close to what the trade expected so it did little to influence prices today.

CLICK HERE FOR THE DETAILS OF THE REPORT

The USDA releases its planted acreage report on Friday, as well as the quarterly stocks report.

WEATHER

The recent cool weather on the Canadian Prairies is expected to give way to hot weather next week.

Temperatures are forecast in the high 20s and low 30s C.

In North Dakota where drought is already a serious problem temperatures are expected in the mid 30s C and almost no rain is in the 10-day forecast.

The U.S. Midwest is expected to see rain next week.

SASKATCHEWAN CROP REPORT

The weekly crop report from Saskatchewan has a crop condition rating assessment. It said the good-to-excellent percentage for canola was 60 percent (2016-85 percent, 2015-46 percent, 2014-62 percent, 2013-73 percent)

Durum is struggling at 49 percent good to excellent (2016-95%, 2015-29%, 2014-76%, 2013-87%)

Spring wheat is 70 percent good to excellent.

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 19 cents US$44.93 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US76.92 cents, up from 75.74 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.3000.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended down 142.16 points, or 0.93 percent, at 15,213.42.

Technology stocks were sharply lower on U.S. markets.

the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 167.58 points, or 0.78 percent, to 21,287.03, the S&P 500 lost 20.99 points, or 0.86 percent, to 2,419.7 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 90.06 points, or 1.44 percent, to 6,144.35.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Jul 2017   530.00   +10.50   +2.02%

Canola Nov 2017   484.40   +2.30   +0.48%

Canola Jan 2018   490.40   +2.40   +0.49%

Canola Mar 2018   495.80   +2.00   +0.41%

Canola May 2018   499.50   unch   0.00%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2017   306.00   +12.00   +4.08%

Milling Wheat Oct 2017   296.00   +11.00   +3.86%

Milling Wheat Dec 2017   302.00   +14.00   +4.86%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2017   278.00   +1.00   +0.36%

Durum Wheat Oct 2017   270.00   +3.00   +1.12%

Durum Wheat Dec 2017   274.00   +4.00   +1.48%

 

Barley Jul 2017   138.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2017   140.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2017   140.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2017   915.50   +1.50   +0.16%

Soybeans Aug 2017   920.75   +1.75   +0.19%

Soybeans Sep 2017   923.25   +2.50   +0.27%

Soybeans Nov 2017   924.75   +3.00   +0.33%

Soybeans Jan 2018   932.75   +3.25   +0.35%

Soybeans Mar 2018   939.25  +3.25   +0.35%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2017   294.40   -0.20   -0.07%

Soybean Meal Aug 2017   296.40   -0.20   -0.07%

Soybean Meal Sep 2017   298.10   unch   0.00%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2017   32.42   +0.30   +0.93%

Soybean Oil Aug 2017   32.52   +0.27   +0.84%

Soybean Oil Sep 2017   32.63   +0.27   +0.83%

 

Corn Jul 2017   359.75   +3.00   +0.84%

Corn Sep 2017   369.50   +3.25   +0.89%

Corn Dec 2017   380.00   +3.75   +1.00%

Corn Mar 2018   389.50   +3.50   +0.91%

Corn May 2018   395.75   +3.50   +0.89%

 

Oats Jul 2017   265.50   -1.00   -0.38%

Oats Sep 2017   264.75   +3.75   +1.44%

Oats Dec 2017   262.75   +4.00   +1.55%

Oats Mar 2018   265.25   +4.50   +1.73%

Oats May 2018   265.00   +4.75   +1.83%

 

Wheat Jul 2017   480.25   +23.00   +5.03%

Wheat Sep 2017   496.00   +23.00   +4.86%

Wheat Dec 2017   515.50   +20.25   +4.09%

Wheat Mar 2018   529.00   +19.00   +3.73%

Wheat May 2018   538.50   +17.75   +3.41%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2017   741.25   +36.50   +5.18%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017   739.50   +31.50   +4.45%

Spring Wheat Dec 2017   731.25   +30.25   +4.32%

Spring Wheat Mar 2018   721.25   +27.00   +3.89%

Spring Wheat May 2018   711.75   +25.50   +3.72%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017   480.50   +19.00   +4.12%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017   499.50   +19.25   +4.01%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2017   524.75   +19.00   +3.76%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2018   538.75   +18.50   +3.56%

Hard Red Wheat May 2018   547.75   +18.75   +3.54%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Jun 2017   120.20   -0.05   -0.04%

Live Cattle (P) Aug 2017   116.50   +0.88   +0.76%

Live Cattle (P) Oct 2017   114.98   +1.33   +1.17%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Aug 2017   147.17   +0.77   +0.53%

Feeder Cattle (P) Sep 2017   147.20   +0.80   +0.55%

Feeder Cattle (P) Oct 2017   146.08   +1.01   +0.70%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Jul 2017   89.48   +1.56   +1.77%

Lean Hogs (P) Aug 2017   80.75   +1.28   +1.61%

Lean Hogs (P) Oct 2017   68.65   +0.48   +0.70%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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