Scorching Midwest temps ignite crop futures

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Published: August 26, 2013

A heat wave across the U.S. Midwest drove crop futures strongly higher on Monday.

November canola jumped $22.30, or 4.3 percent per tonne on its biggest one-day jump in about 2 ½ years. It has climbed about $66 or 14 percent from the low on Aug. 6 before concerns about drier Midwest weather began to rally crop futures.

Temperatures across the U.S. crop belt are forecast to top 35 C most days this week. Dry conditions are expected to continue over the next two weeks, U.S. weather forecasters said.

December corn closed above $5 a bushel on Monday for the first time since July 19.

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The USDA on Monday said 59 percent of the corn crop was in good-to-excellent shape, down two percentage points from the week before.

The soybean crop was rated 58 percent good-to-excellent, down from 62 percent the week before.

The USDA also said that 42 percent of the U.S. spring wheat crop had been harvested, up from 18 percent the week before.

With soybeans rallying more than corn, Brazilian crop forecaster Agroconsults expects farmers there will increase soybean seeding this year and cut corn acreage.

A frost hit the wheat crop in Argentina but the early assessment is that it did little damage because the crop still immature and can bounce back.

While Chicago wheat followed soybeans and corn substantially higher, Minneapolis wheat’s gain was muted because of the expectation of bumper wheat crops on the Canadian Prairies and in North Dakota.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Nov 2013       538.00       +22.30       +4.32%

Canola Jan 2014       543.50       +22.40       +4.30%

Canola Mar 2014       549.20       +22.20       +4.21%

Canola May 2014       552.30       +21.70       +4.09%

Canola Jul 2014       554.20       +19.90       +3.72%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       257.00       +5.00       +1.98%

Milling Wheat Dec 2013       262.00       +4.00       +1.55%

Milling Wheat Mar 2014       267.00       +4.00       +1.52%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       284.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2013       286.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2014       293.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Oct 2013       189.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2013       194.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2014       194.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Sep 2013       1427.75       +62.5       +4.58%

Soybeans Nov 2013       1389.5       +61.5       +4.63%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1387       +58.5       +4.40%

Soybeans Mar 2014       1353       +47.75       +3.66%

Soybeans May 2014       1318.75       +43       +3.37%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1314.5       +39.75       +3.12%

 

Soybean Meal Sep 2013       458.6       +25.4       +5.86%

Soybean Meal Oct 2013       438.3       +17.3       +4.11%

Soybean Meal Dec 2013       436.7       +17.2       +4.10%

 

Soybean Oil Sep 2013       44.44       +1.8       +4.22%

Soybean Oil Oct 2013       44.56       +1.84       +4.31%

Soybean Oil Dec 2013       44.88       +1.88       +4.37%

 

Corn Sep 2013       515.75       +20.25       +4.09%

Corn Dec 2013       500.5       +30.5       +6.49%

Corn Mar 2014       512.5       +30.25       +6.27%

Corn May 2014       520       +29.75       +6.07%

Corn Jul 2014       525       +29.25       +5.90%

 

Oats Sep 2013       353.75       -9.25       -2.55%

Oats Dec 2013       344.75       +13.25       +4.00%

Oats Mar 2014       348.75       +13       +3.87%

Oats May 2014       350.75       +17.5       +5.25%

Oats Jul 2014       342.25       +17.5       +5.39%

 

Wheat Sep 2013       654.75       +20.25       +3.19%

Wheat Dec 2013       666.75       +20.75       +3.21%

Wheat Mar 2014       678.75       +20.75       +3.15%

Wheat May 2014       685.75       +20.75       +3.12%

Wheat Jul 2014       680.5       +20       +3.03%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Sep 2013       729.25       +13       +1.82%

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       737.75       +12.75       +1.76%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       749.75       +10       +1.35%

Spring Wheat May 2014       756       +11       +1.48%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       762.5       +11       +1.46%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013       708.25       +12.75       +1.83%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       713.25       +16       +2.29%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       722       +17.25       +2.45%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       725.75       +17.5       +2.47%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014       715       +17.5       +2.51%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped 50 cents at $105.92 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 95.11 cents US, up from 95.10 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0514 Cdn.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down two points, or 0.02 percent, at 12,760.30.

The Dow Jones industrial average ended down 64.05 points, or 0.43 percent, at 14,946.46.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 6.72 points, or 0.40 percent, at 1,656.78.

The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 0.22 points, or 0.01 percent, at 3,657.57.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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