Rising soy oil price supports canola futures

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Published: September 15, 2014

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Canola futures edged higher Monday, supported by the stronger soybean complex and concern about the weather damage of the past few weeks.

Frost extended into the U.S. grain belt on the weekend, mainly in the northern and western fringe of the growing area.

But soy prices remained at multi year lows based on the expectation of bumper U.S. soybean and corn harvests.

Soy oil rallied 2.2 percent on an industry report that showed soy oil stocks at their lowest level in almost 10 years. American crushers have been hard pressed to find old crop soy to crush and have reduced operations, leading to the short term soy oil tightness.

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U.S. grains: Corn, soybeans extend losses as Midwest weather looks crop-friendly

Chicago Board of Trade corn futures extended session losses on Tuesday, weighed down by forecasts for crop-friendly rain in U.S. grain belts this week.

Good weather is expected across the Canadian Prairies and U.S. Plains and Midwest this week, allowing harvest pace to pick up.

Corn edged higher on a technical bounce and short covering.

Wheat fell for the sixth session on the expectation of large global supplies and strong competition from the Black Sea region. The Russian ruble has fallen more than nine percent against the U.S. dollar since the start of July, helping make it more competitive for global buyers.

Canadian market advisors are recommending that farmers get their crops tested for grade and protein to help them plan their selling strategy and avoid disputes at elevators.

The Canadian Grain Commission’s harvest sample program provides free grading reports on samples that farmers send in. Learn more about the program at its website.

Weakness in oil and metal prices and worries about the pace of growth in China’s economy weighed on the Toronto Stock Exchange.

ICE Futures Canada, dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2014       416.00       +2.30       +0.56%

Canola Jan 2015       420.40       +2.40       +0.57%

Canola Mar 2015       426.30       +2.80       +0.66%

Canola May 2015       429.90       +2.80       +0.66%

Canola Jul 2015       433.20       +2.80       +0.65%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2014       192.00       +3.00       +1.59%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       199.00       +3.00       +1.53%

Milling Wheat Mar 2015       208.00       +3.00       +1.46%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2014       288.80       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       294.80       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2015       295.80       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Oct 2014       123.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2014       125.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2015       126.50       unch       0.00%

 

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 2014       989.5       +4.25       +0.43%

Soybeans Jan 2015       997.5       +5       +0.50%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1004.25       +5.75       +0.58%

Soybeans May 2015       1011.25       +6       +0.60%

Soybeans Jul 2015       1016.25       +5.25       +0.52%

Soybeans Aug 2015       1018       +5.5       +0.54%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 2014       338.8       +0.3       +0.09%

Soybean Meal Dec 2014       327       -0.9       -0.27%

Soybean Meal Jan 2015       323.5       -1.2       -0.37%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 2014       33.27       +0.72       +2.21%

Soybean Oil Dec 2014       33.47       +0.7       +2.14%

Soybean Oil Jan 2015       33.73       +0.7       +2.12%

 

Corn Dec 2014       343       +4.5       +1.33%

Corn Mar 2015       355       +4       +1.14%

Corn May 2015       363.5       +4       +1.11%

Corn Jul 2015       370.5       +3.75       +1.02%

Corn Sep 2015       378.25       +4       +1.07%

 

Oats Dec 2014       354.5       +6.25       +1.79%

Oats Mar 2015       336.75       +5.5       +1.66%

Oats May 2015       329.5       +6.75       +2.09%

Oats Jul 2015       324       +4.25       +1.33%

Oats Sep 2015       330.5       +3.25       +0.99%

 

Wheat Dec 2014       500.75       -1.75       -0.35%

Wheat Mar 2015       518.25       -1.75       -0.34%

Wheat May 2015       529.25       -1.5       -0.28%

Wheat Jul 2015       538.25       -0.75       -0.14%

Wheat Sep 2015       549.25       -0.75       -0.14%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       568.5       -9.5       -1.64%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       584.5       -9       -1.52%

Spring Wheat May 2015       596       -9.25       -1.53%

Spring Wheat Jul 2015       606.5       -8.75       -1.42%

Spring Wheat Sep 2015       616.5       -9.5       -1.52%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2014       586.25       -7       -1.18%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2015       594.75       -6.5       -1.08%

Hard Red Wheat May 2015       599.5       -6.5       -1.07%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2015       591       -5.25       -0.88%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2015       602       -5.25       -0.86%

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 65 cents at $92.92 US per barrel. However Brent crude slipped to a 26 month low under $97 per barrel.

The Bank of Canada noon rate for the loonie was 90.49 cents US, up from 90.29 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.1051 Cdn.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index fell 49.02 points, or 0.32 percent, at 15,482.56.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 43.63 points, or 0.26 percent, to 17,031.14.

The S&P 500 fell 1.41 points, or 0.07 percent, to 1,984.13.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 48.70 points, or 1.07 percent, to 4,518.90.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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