Oilseeds firm slightly but wheat loses previous gains

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Published: July 26, 2016

Short covering and a new bit of weather risk premium caused nearby soybeans to rise one percent Tuesday and canola hitched a ride.

November canola closed up $3.20 a tonne of 0.72 percent.

Generally good weather in Western Canada kept a lid on gains.

There is little chance for widespread rain in Western Canada this week, although southern Alberta could see a series of thunderstorms over the next few days.

Nearby Chicago wheat fell 3.26 percent and Minneapolis spring wheat fell 2.11 percent, reflecting lower wheat futures on the Euronext exchange. That wiped out the gains of the previous three days.

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Euronext had previously rallied strongly on worse than expected results from the harvest in France.

European traders were waiting for more news about the French harvest and were also reconsidering their bullish bets, noting that crops elsewhere in Europe are in better shape than in France. Also, Russia is expecting a record large wheat harvest.

The Reuters closing report talked of a little weather premium going into soybeans because of some hot August weather, but the medium term forecast is not stressful for Midwest crops.

Temperatures to Aug. 9 look mostly seasonal to slightly cooler than average with the exeption of one hot day Aug. 2.

Soybeans should be able to handle a bit of stress. They are in excellent shape now.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture on Monday pegged the soybean crop at 71 percent good to excellent, ahead of market forecasts of 70 percent.

The extreme heat last week appeared to have no detrimental effect.

It pegged the corn crop at 76 percent good to excellent, beating analysts’ forecasts of 75 percent.

Most of the crop has now gone through its silking phase of pollination ahead of schedule, USDA data showed, giving investors confidence that the crop had escaped unscathed through its most vulnerable development period.

Corn futures slipped on Tuesday, consolidating just above 21-month lows hit on Friday, Reuters noted..

There were few sellers when prices neared the December contract’s lifetime low of $3.33 ¼ per bushel, but any move higher was likely to be met by selling both from speculative traders and farmers, analysts said.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down 21 cents to US$42.92 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US75.71 cents, down from 75.61 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3209.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 51.90 points, or 0.36 percent, at 14,550.00.

The Dow Jones industrial average dipped 0.1 percent to end at 18,473.75 and the S&P 500 edged up 0.03 percent to 2,169.18 after spending much of the day at a loss. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.24 percent to 5,110.05.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2016   447.10   +3.20   +0.72%

Canola Jan 2017   454.60  +3.20   +0.17%

Canola Mar 2017   461.00   +2.80   +0.61%

Canola May 2017   465.00   +2.70   +0.58%

Canola Jul 2017   468.80   +3.00   +0.64%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2016   208.00   -1.00   -0.48%

Milling Wheat Dec 2016   212.00   unch   0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2016   260.00   -1.00   -0.38%

Durum Wheat Dec 2016   263.00   -1.00   -0.38%

 

Barley Oct 2016   150.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2016   150.00   unch   0.00%

 

Soybeans Aug 2016   993.50   +9.75   +0.99%

Soybeans Sep 2016   985.00   +8.25   +0.84%

Soybeans Nov 2016   973.75   +7.50   +0.78%

Soybeans Jan 2017   974.50   +7.50   +0.78%

Soybeans Mar 2017   963.25   +8.50   +0.89%

Soybeans May 2017   959.00   +9.00   +0.95%

 

Soybean Meal Aug 2016   341.40   +2.50   +0.74%

Soybean Meal Sep 2016   341.20   +2.80   +0.83%

Soybean Meal Oct 2016   339.10   +3.30   +0.98%

 

Soybean Oil Aug 2016   29.56   +0.10   +0.34%

Soybean Oil Sep 2016   29.68   +0.11   +0.37%

Soybean Oil Oct 2016   29.80   +0.10   +0.34%

 

Corn Sep 2016   332.50   -2.25   -0.67%

Corn Dec 2016   339.50   -1.75  -0.51%

Corn Mar 2017   349.00   -2.00   -0.57%

Corn May 2017   354.50   -2.25   -0.63%

Corn Jul 2017   359.50   -2.50   -0.69%

 

Oats Sep 2016   200.25   -4.00   -1.96%

Oats Dec 2016   198.75   -0.75   -0.38%

Oats Mar 2017   203.75   -0.50   -0.24%

Oats May 2017   208.25   -0.50   -0.24%

Oats Jul 2017   214.00   -0.50   -0.23%

 

Wheat Sep 2016   415.00   -14.00   -3.26%

Wheat Dec 2016   442.00   -14.25   -3.12%

Wheat Mar 2017   469.25   -14.25   -2.95%

Wheat May 2017   482.25   -13.50   -2.72%

Wheat Jul 2017   489.25   -13.50   -2.69%

 

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   486.50   -10.50   -2.11%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   502.50   -10.50   -2.05%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   518.50   -10.50   -1.98%

Spring Wheat May 2017   528.75   -10.00   -1.86%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017   538.50   -10.00   -1.82%

 

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   412.00   -11.25   -2.66%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   438.50   -11.00   -2.45%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   455.50   -11.00   -2.36%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   466.50   -11.00   -2.30%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017   476.25   -11.00   -2.26%

 

Live Cattle (P) Aug 2016   113.88   +0.93   +0.82%

Live Cattle (P) Oct 2016   112.58   +1.51   +1.36%

Live Cattle (P) Dec 2016   113.35   +1.15   +1.02%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Aug 2016   142.45   +0.75   +0.53%

Feeder Cattle (P) Sep 2016   141.02   +0.70   +0.50%

Feeder Cattle (P) Oct 2016   140.22   +0.92   +0.66%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Aug 2016   74.60   -1.08   -1.43%

Lean Hogs (P) Oct 2016   63.62   -0.73   -1.13%

Lean Hogs (P) Dec 2016   58.50   -0.55   -0.93%

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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