Oilseeds drift lower as South American weather looks favourable

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Published: January 26, 2017

Canola futures dipped Thursday as soybeans also drifted lower.

U.S. wheat futures edged higher on an improvement in weekly U.S. export sales, while corn and oats were lower.

Weekly U.S. wheat export sales hit a high for the year at 853,400 tonnes. Corn weekly sales beat market expectations and soybean sales were within the range of expectations.

The pull back in canola futures comes after the oilseed independantly rallied against soybeans in the last couple of weeks. That rally caused the canola crush margin to become less attractive.

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The pull back of the last couple of days could reflect a rebalancing between canola and soybeans.

WATCH THIS WEEK’S VIDEO CROP MARKET UPDATE

Generally, there was little crop news to trade on.

The crop market remains a bit on edge over new President Donald Trump’s trade agenda. Mexico’s President Enrique Pena Nieto cancelled a meeting with Trump as tensions rise over the plan to build a wall between the two countries. The White House said today it is proposing a 20 percent tariff on imports from Mexico to raise money to pay for the wall.

Brazil’s early soybean harvest continues. The weather in Argentina this week is drier, allowing flooded fields to dry.

The Buenos Aires Grains Exchange today pegged Argentina’s 2016-17 soy crop at 53.5 million tonnes. It was the exchange’s first forecast of the season.

The Rosario grain exchange last week forecast the crop at 52.9 million tonnes. Last year’s crop was in the range of 55-56 million tonnes.

North Africa’s wheat area got rain last week.

 

 

 

Stock markets were little changed on Thursday but the Dow remained above the 20,000 point level.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index fell 28.32 points, or 0.18 percent, to close at 15,615.52.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 32.40 points, or 0.16 percent, to close at 20,100.91, the S&P 500 lost 1.69 points, or 0.07 percent, to 2,296.68 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.16 points, or 0.02 percent, to 5,655.18.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up $1.03 to US$53.78 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US76.31 cents, down from 76.48 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.3104.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2017       520.30       -2.10       -0.40%

Canola May 2017       527.20       -2.20       -0.42%

Canola Jul 2017       531.20       -2.60       -0.49%

Canola Nov 2017       506.40       +0.30       +0.06%

Canola Jan 2018       510.50       +1.30       +0.26%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2017       237.00       +1.00       +0.42%

Milling Wheat May 2017       238.00       -1.00       -0.42%

Milling Wheat Jul 2017       239.00       -1.00       -0.42%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2017       302.00       -4.00       -1.31%

Durum Wheat May 2017       305.00       -4.00       -1.29%

Durum Wheat Jul 2017       314.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2017       139.00       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2017       141.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2017       142.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2017       1049.50       -5.75       -0.54%

Soybeans May 2017       1059.00       -5.50       -0.52%

Soybeans Jul 2017       1065.75       -5.25       -0.49%

Soybeans Aug 2017       1062.50       -5.25       -0.49%

Soybeans Sep 2017       1042.50       -3.25       -0.31%

Soybeans Nov 2017       1023.25       -2.25       -0.22%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2017       342.40       -0.90       -0.26%

Soybean Meal May 2017       345.50       -0.80       -0.23%

Soybean Meal Jul 2017       347.50       -0.90       -0.26%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2017       34.47       -0.40       -1.15%

Soybean Oil May 2017       34.74       -0.38       -1.08%

Soybean Oil Jul 2017       34.98       -0.38       -1.07%

 

Corn Mar 2017       363.75       -2.50       -0.68%

Corn May 2017       371.00       -2.50       -0.67%

Corn Jul 2017       378.00       -2.75       -0.72%

Corn Sep 2017       384.25       -2.75       -0.71%

Corn Dec 2017       390.75       -3.00       -0.76%

 

Oats Mar 2017       255.25       -4.75       -1.83%

Oats May 2017       247.25       -2.00       -0.80%

Oats Jul 2017       244.00       -1.50       -0.61%

Oats Sep 2017       239.25       -1.50       -0.62%

Oats Dec 2017       232.75       -1.50       -0.64%

 

Wheat Mar 2017       427.00       +2.50       +0.59%

Wheat May 2017       440.50       +2.00       +0.46%

Wheat Jul 2017       455.00       +1.50       +0.33%

Wheat Sep 2017       469.75       +1.25       +0.27%

Wheat Dec 2017       486.75       +0.75       +0.15%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2017       566.75       +9.25       +1.66%

Spring Wheat May 2017       558.50       +5.25       +0.95%

Spring Wheat Jul 2017       558.25       +4.75       +0.86%

Spring Wheat Sep 2017       559.75       +4.50       +0.81%

Spring Wheat Dec 2017       565.75       +4.25       +0.76%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017       440.25       +2.50       +0.57%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017       452.50       +2.75       +0.61%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2017       464.50       +3.00       +0.65%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2017       478.75       +3.00       +0.63%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2017       499.00       +2.75       +0.55%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (P) Feb 2017       118.70       -1.18       -0.98%

Live Cattle (P) Apr 2017       117.58       -1.10       -0.93%

Live Cattle (P) Jun 2017       107.20       -0.90       -0.83%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Jan 2017       131.82       -0.56       -0.42%

Feeder Cattle (P) Mar 2017       127.10       -2.75       -2.12%

Feeder Cattle (P) Apr 2017       126.75       -2.63       -2.03%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Feb 2017       65.85       -1.68       -2.49%

Lean Hogs (P) Apr 2017       67.22       -2.93       -4.18%

Lean Hogs (P) May 2017       72.12       -2.58       -3.45%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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