Nov canola edges higher Tues on bargain buying

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Published: July 2, 2013

In the first day of trade after the long weekend, new crop canola edged a little higher on bargain buying following steep losses the previous week.

November canola closed up $2.10 after falling $21.10 last week.

Gains were limited by generally good growing weather in Western Canada, although development is behind the normal pace and there are pockets where soils are too wet. Hot today and Wednesday in much of the Prairies with implications for heat blast on flowering fields, but cooler temperatures and showers are forecast for late in the week.

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Good growing weather is also the norm in the United States, but bargain buying lifted new crop corn and wheat slightly. New crop soybeans edged a little lower.

Trade was relatively light with American traders squaring up positions ahead of the July 4 holiday south of the border.

Crop conditions are improving in the U.S. As of June 30 corn and soybeans were rated 67 percent good to excellent, up from 65 percent the previous week, said the USDA.

Moderate temperatures and occasional rainfall over the next two weeks will boost growth for newly sown U.S. corn and soybeans, an agricultural meteorologist said on Tuesday.

“It looks good the next couple of weeks. It will be cool until Friday then warm to the 80s (degrees Fahrenheit) to low 90s, and everybody will get some rain,” Andy Karst, a meteorologist for World Weather Inc., told Reuters.

Based on current weather forecasts, a record large 13.391 billion bushel U.S. corn crop may be produced this year and a record 3.198 billion bu. soybean crop is possible, according to a Reuters story quoting an MDA Weather Services meteorologist.

The USDA weekly crop progress report said hot and dry conditions in the southern U.S. Plains helped advance the winter wheat harvest, with 43 percent of the crop cut by Sunday, up from 20 percent a week earlier but behind the five-year average of 52 percent.

USDA said 68 percent of the U.S. spring wheat crop was rated good to excellent, down from 70 percent a week earlier. Ratings dropped sharply in Idaho and Montana.

Ninety-three percent of the spring wheat crop had emerged, compared with the five-year average of 99 percent.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Jul 2013       600.30       -9.50       -1.56%

Canola Nov 2013       536.90       +2.10       +0.39%

Canola Jan 2014       541.90       +3.10       +0.58%

Canola Mar 2014       545.30       +5.30       +0.98%

Canola May 2014       545.20       +6.30       +1.17%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2013       301.90       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       294.90       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2013       299.40       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2013       244.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2013       194.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2013       199.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2013       1573       +2.5       +0.16%

Soybeans Aug 2013       1433.5       -2.75       -0.19%

Soybeans Sep 2013       1293.75       -2.5       -0.19%

Soybeans Nov 2013       1242.5       -0.75       -0.06%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1248.5       -0.75       -0.06%

Soybeans Mar 2014       1250.25       -0.25       -0.02%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2013       487       +2.2       +0.45%

Soybean Meal Aug 2013       432.9       unch       0.00%

Soybean Meal Sep 2013       395.3       +0.1       +0.03%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2013       46.92       +0.07       +0.15%

Soybean Oil Aug 2013       46.83       +0.01       +0.02%

Soybean Oil Sep 2013       46.4       -0.01       -0.02%

 

Corn Jul 2013       672.75       +17.25       +2.63%

Corn Sep 2013       533       +1.5       +0.28%

Corn Dec 2013       502.75       +1.5       +0.30%

Corn Mar 2014       514.75       +1.75       +0.34%

Corn May 2014       522.5       +1.75       +0.34%

 

Oats Jul 2013       390.25       -5       -1.27%

Oats Sep 2013       351.25       -5.25       -1.47%

Oats Dec 2013       335.25       -7.5       -2.19%

Oats Mar 2014       341.25       -4.75       -1.37%

Oats May 2014       343.5       -4.75       -1.36%

 

Wheat Jul 2013       649.5       +3.75       +0.58%

Wheat Sep 2013       658.25       +3.25       +0.50%

Wheat Dec 2013       671.25       +2       +0.30%

Wheat Mar 2014       685       +2.25       +0.33%

Wheat May 2014       694.25       +1.25       +0.18%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2013       757       -21.5       -2.76%

Spring Wheat Sep 2013       770.75       -0.75       -0.10%

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       779.75       +0.5       +0.06%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       794.75       +1.5       +0.19%

Spring Wheat May 2014       802.75       +3.25       +0.41%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2013       674       -2.75       -0.41%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013       690.75       unch       0.00%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       712.25       +0.75       +0.11%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       726.5       +0.75       +0.10%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       734       +0.5       +0.07%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose $1.61 at $99.60 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 94.97 cents US, down from 95.13 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0530 Cdn.

The U.S. Department of Commerce said U.S. factory orders rose by a seasonally adjusted 2.1 percent in May, compared to expectations for an increase of two percent. Markets were also supported by strong June U.S. car sales data.

However, Canada’s manufacturing growth slowed in June, pulling back from a sharp gain in May.

But early gains lagged when indexes hit technical barriers and U.S. markets closed a little lower in light trade ahead of the July 4 Independence Day holiday. Markets will close early Wednesday and all day Thursday.

Falling bullion prices weighed on gold mining stocks, but the TSX composite closed higher with support from oil company stocks, unofficially closing up 49.27 points or 0.41 percent at 12,178.38.

In other early tallies —

Dow Jones industrial average dropped 42.70 points, or 0.29 percent, to 14,932.26.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index shed 0.98 points, or 0.06 percent, to 1,613.98.

The Nasdaq Composite Index dipped 1.09 points, or 0.03 percent, to 3,433.40.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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