Midwest weather worry drives crop futures higher again

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: July 13, 2016

Corn and soybeans saw some good gains on futures markets Wednesday and canola also rose.

The trade is focused on forecasts for temperatures in the mid to upper 30s C next week in the U.S. Midwest and Plains.

That could stress crops.

And the smaller corn crop in Brazil and hopes that American corn exporters will be able to capture more business supported corn.

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In Western Canada, there is mostly dry weather in Saskatchewan today allowing farmers to check out the impact from the heavy rain in many areas at the start of the week.

Drier weather is expected in Saskatchewan over the next several days and the extended outlook to next week also looks fairly dry and hotter.

Alberta though looks like it could get thunderstorms today and into the start of the weekend.

Today Chicago wheat edged higher on short covering but Minneapolis spring wheat dipped slightly.

Wheat will have major difficulties rallying much because of the big yields coming from the U.S. winter wheat crop and the large world supplies.

Stock markets took a bit of a breather after a couple of strong gains this week. Still the Dow and S&P 500 climbed into new record high territory, riding fairly upbeat readings of the U.S. economy.

Today the Bank of Canada kept interest rates steady. It trimmed its 2016 gross domestic product forecast to 1.3 percent from the 1.7 percent forecast in April.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US77.13 cents, up from 76.83 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2965.

Oil fell following the U.S. weekly report on crude inventories. They fell 2.5 million barrels but the market expected a three million barrel decline.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York fell $2.05 to US$44.75 per barrel.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 16.13 points, or 0.11 percent, at 14,493.80.

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 24.45 points, or 0.13 percent, to 18,372.12; the S&P 500 ticked up 0.29 points, or 0.01 percent, to 2,152.43 and the Nasdaq Composite fell 17.09 points, or 0.34 percent, to 5,005.73.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 2016   482.20   +6.80   +1.43%

Canola Jan 2017   489.50   +7.50   +1.56%

Canola Mar 2017   495.80   +8.00   +1.64%

Canola May 2017   499.80   +7.60   +1.54%

Canola Jul 2017   503.60   +7.70   +1.55%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2016   211.00   -2.00   -0.94%

Milling Wheat Dec 2016   215.00   -2.00   -0.92%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2016   274.00   -1.00   -0.36%

Durum Wheat Dec 2016   277.00   -1.00   -0.36%

 

Barley Oct 2016   158.50   unch   0.00%

Barley Dec 2016   158.50   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2016   1128.00   +20.75   +1.87%

Soybeans Aug 2016   1122.75   +20.50   +1.86%

Soybeans Sep 2016   1112.75   +20.00   +1.83%

Soybeans Nov 2016   1105.25   +18.25   +1.68%

Soybeans Jan 2017   1104.00   +17.50   +1.61%

Soybeans Mar 2017   1081.75   +14.25   +1.33%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2016   388.50   +10.20   +2.70%

Soybean Meal Aug 2016   388.10   +9.40   +2.48%

Soybean Meal Sep 2016   386.40   +8.90   +2.36%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2016   30.65   -0.06   -0.20%

Soybean Oil Aug 2016   30.73   -0.08   -0.26%

Soybean Oil Sep 2016   30.86   -0.08   -0.26%

 

Corn Jul 2016   365.75   +16.00   +4.57%

Corn Sep 2016   362.00   +9.75   +2.77%

Corn Dec 2016   369.75   +9.50   +2.64%

Corn Mar 2017   377.25   +8.50   +2.31%

Corn May 2017   382.00   +8.25   +2.21%

 

Oats Jul 2016   237.75   +1.25   +0.53%

Oats Sep 2016   209.75   +3.00   +1.45%

Oats Dec 2016   208.00   +2.25   +1.09%

Oats Mar 2017   212.25   +1.50   +0.71%

Oats May 2017   216.75   +1.50   +0.70%

 

Wheat Jul 2016   426.25   +2.25   +0.53%

Wheat Sep 2016   439.75   +1.25   +0.29%

Wheat Dec 2016   463.00   +2.00   +0.43%

Wheat Mar 2017   482.00   +2.50   +0.52%

Wheat May 2017 494.00   +2.75   +0.56%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   487.75   unch   0.00%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   502.50   unch   0.00%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   517.25   -0.25   -0.05%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   531.75   -0.50   -0.09%

Spring Wheat May 2017   541.25   -0.50   -0.09%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   407.75   unch   0.00%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   422.50   -0.50   -0.12%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   448.25   unch   0.00%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   465.00   unch   0.00%

Hard Red Wheat May 2017   475.75   unch   0.00%

 

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound

Live Cattle (P) Aug 2016   111.45   +2.55   +2.34%

Live Cattle (P) Oct 2016   110.35   +1.45   +1.33%

Live Cattle (P) Dec 2016   112.15   +1.38   +1.25%

 

Feeder Cattle (P) Aug 2016   139.28   +0.68   +0.49%

Feeder Cattle (P) Sep 2016   138.53   +0.88   +0.64%

Feeder Cattle (P) Oct 2016   137.70   +1.10   +0.81%

 

Lean Hogs (P) Jul 2016   80.18   +0.23   +0.29%

Lean Hogs (P) Aug 2016   79.20   +0.03   +0.04%

Lean Hogs (P) Oct 2016   67.55   -0.20   -0.30%

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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