March canola gains $2 on week, awaits stocks report Tuesday

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Published: January 31, 2014

A late session rally pushed canola futures higher Friday, resulting in a $2 per tonne gain on the week in the March contract and a $2.10 gain in the new crop November contract.

There was no new significant market moving news so a lot of the trade Friday in canola was month end short covering and adjusting ahead of the Statistics Canada Dec. 31 stocks report due Tuesday Feb. 4.

On the day, March canola settled at $430.20, up $4.20 and November closed at $464.40, up $3.80.

The loonie at noon was up about 0.4 cent US, but was still below 90 cents.

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U.S. grains: Corn futures edge up, soybeans sag on improving US crop ratings

Chicago Board of Trade corn futures extended slight gains on Tuesday as short covering and bargain buying continued to support a rebound from contract lows reached during the previous session.

Support today came from rising old crop soybeans, lifted by strong U.S. exports of soybeans and soy meal this year.

Friday’s bull-spreading rally in soybeans saw March futures’ premium to May futures hit 14.5 cents, indicating immediate demand for the beans, Reuters reported.

Gains in deferred months were limited by the bumper South American soybean crop, which is moving closer toward harvest. Indeed harvest has begun in parts of Brazil and the first shipments of new crop were loaded at port this week.

So far there has been little shifting of demand to Brazil from the U.S. but the threat hangs over the market.

Reuters reported farmers in Brazil’s top-soybean-producing state Mato Grosso are reporting soy harvest yields well above what they had expected, which if the trend continues, will result in a record crop and make Brazil the world’s top producer of the oilseed.

Soy oil rose today on short covering.

Winters snows storms this weekend and in the middle of next week are expected to disrupt U.S. grain movement. However, the snow will be welcome in dry areas of the southern and central U.S. Plains, which received little moisture this winter.

Winter weather was also an issue in the Black Sea area. Russia halted grains exports from the Black Sea port of Novorossiisk today due to windy weather while Ukraine’s national railway has imposed temporary restrictions on cargo deliveries to the Black Sea port of Odessa due to snowdrifts, Reuters reported.

Corn ended higher with spill over support from the good weekly U.S. export numbers reported on Thursday.

Corn rose 2.8 percent in January, rebounding slightly from the steep decline last fall.

Stock markets were lower on continuing concern about losses in emerging markets and on weak quarterly results from Amazon, which fell 11 percent today, and toy maker Mattel Inc., which fell 13 percent.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Mar 2014       430.20       +4.20       +0.99%

Canola May 2014       440.40       +4.50       +1.03%

Canola Jul 2014       449.00       +4.20       +0.94%

Canola Nov 2014       464.40       +3.80       +0.83%

Canola Jan 2015       469.90       +3.80       +0.82%

 

Milling Wheat Mar 2014       179.00       +3.00       +1.70%

Milling Wheat May 2014       182.00       +1.00       +0.55%

Milling Wheat Jul 2014       185.00       +1.00       +0.54%

 

Durum Wheat Mar 2014       245.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat May 2014       249.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2014       250.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Mar 2014       126.50       unch       0.00%

Barley May 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2014       128.50       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Mar 2014       1282.75       +7.75       +0.61%

Soybeans May 2014       1268.5       +7.5       +0.59%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1252       +6       +0.48%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1210.5       +5       +0.41%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1144.5       +5.5       +0.48%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1104.5       +7.25       +0.66%

 

Soybean Meal Mar 2014       426.1       +0.9       +0.21%

Soybean Meal May 2014       411.1       +0.5       +0.12%

Soybean Meal Jul 2014       400.5       -0.3       -0.07%

 

Soybean Oil Mar 2014       37.64       +0.57       +1.54%

Soybean Oil May 2014       37.93       +0.55       +1.47%

Soybean Oil Jul 2014       38.25       +0.55       +1.46%

 

Corn Mar 2014       434       +0.5       +0.12%

Corn May 2014       439.5       unch       0.00%

Corn Jul 2014       444       +0.5       +0.11%

Corn Sep 2014       446.25       +0.25       +0.06%

Corn Dec 2014       450       -0.25       -0.06%

 

Oats Mar 2014       405.75       -6.25       -1.52%

Oats May 2014       361.25       -4.25       -1.16%

Oats Jul 2014       331.75       -9       -2.64%

Oats Sep 2014       308       unch       0.00%

Oats Dec 2014       292       +0.25       +0.09%

 

Wheat Mar 2014       555.75       +2.25       +0.41%

Wheat May 2014       558.25       +2       +0.36%

Wheat Jul 2014       561.5       +1.75       +0.31%

Wheat Sep 2014       570       +1.75       +0.31%

Wheat Dec 2014       582.75       +2.25       +0.39%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       604       +6.75       +1.13%

Spring Wheat May 2014       599.25       +3.5       +0.59%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       607.5       +3       +0.50%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       616       +2.5       +0.41%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       628.75       +3.25       +0.52%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       615.5       +4.75       +0.78%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       611       +3.75       +0.62%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014       602.75       +2.5       +0.42%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2014       612.5       +2.5       +0.41%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2014       625.75       +2.75       +0.44%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped 74 cents at $97.49 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 89.94 cents US, up from 89.52 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.1119 Cdn.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 40.34 points, or 0.29 percent, at 13,694.94.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 149.76 points or 0.94 percent, to end at 15,698.85.

The S&P 500 lost 11.60 points or 0.65 percent, to finish at 1,782.59.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 19.248 points or 0.47 percent, to close at 4,103.877.

For the week, the TSX composite fell 0.17 percent, the Dow fell 1.1 percent, the S&P 500 dipped 0.4 percent and the Nasdaq slipped 0.6 percent.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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