Improved Midwest growing prospects pressure crop futures, including canola

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Published: April 22, 2013

Canola was modestly down at the close Monday as the grains complex sold off amidst improving weather for the U.S. Midwest states.

Canola and spring wheat futures fell less than soybeans and Chicago and Kansas City wheats, a relative strength some traders attributed to the continuing lateness of spring in the northern plains and Canadian prairies, which is hurting the outlook for northern crops like canola, spring wheat and oats. .

Chicago oats futures were the strongest crop Monday, gaining almost a dime as virtually every other crop fell.

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Chicago Board of Trade corn futures extended slight gains on Tuesday as short covering and bargain buying continued to support a rebound from contract lows reached during the previous session.

But plenty of moisture and predictions of improving seeding prospects have taken some of the worry out of overall crops markets and eliminated some of the premium enjoyed by crop prices since the Midwest drought began late last spring. The anxiety that the 2012 drought would last well into the 2013 crop growing season is fading.

Meat markets were depressed for much of Monday, as a U.S. Department of Agriculture report found almost six percent more cattle placed on feed in March than in the same month one year before. Hogs fell in sympathy. Much of the early losses were recovered during the session.

Monday saw a recovery of optimism in the equity and some commodity markets, with gold and silver gaining on the day, following a week of bloody mayhem for the precious metals. Gold, which fell below $1,400 per ounce and had some analysts predicting a greater slump, rebounded by more than $20 per ounce on Monday.

Stock markets were higher too.

Few repercussions could be seen in equity or commodity markets from the Luis Suarez biting incident.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola May 2013       637.00       -3.00       -0.47%

Canola Jul 2013       620.50       -3.90       -0.62%

Canola Nov 2013       555.50       -7.00       -1.24%

Canola Jan 2014       555.90       -6.90       -1.23%

Canola Mar 2014       550.30       -6.70       -1.20%

 

Milling Wheat May 2013       292.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Jul 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       294.00       unch       0.00%

 

Durum Wheat May 2013       303.60       -7.20       -2.32%

Durum Wheat Jul 2013       303.90       -9.90       -3.15%

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       296.90       -2.20       -0.74%

 

Barley May 2013       243.50       unch       0.00%

Barley Jul 2013       244.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2013       194.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2013       1417.25       -11       -0.77%

Soybeans Jul 2013       1364.25       -18.25       -1.32%

Soybeans Aug 2013       1309.5       -19       -1.43%

Soybeans Sep 2013       1243       -15.25       -1.21%

Soybeans Nov 2013       1202.75       -10.25       -0.85%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1210.75       -10       -0.82%

 

Soybean Meal May 2013       410       -2.4       -0.58%

Soybean Meal Jul 2013       398.1       -4.4       -1.09%

Soybean Meal Aug 2013       375.8       -5.2       -1.36%

 

Soybean Oil May 2013       48.62       -0.54       -1.10%

Soybean Oil Jul 2013       48.59       -0.59       -1.20%

Soybean Oil Aug 2013       48.5       -0.58       -1.18%

 

Corn May 2013       645.75       -6.25       -0.96%

Corn Jul 2013       623.5       -9.5       -1.50%

Corn Sep 2013       556       -16       -2.80%

Corn Dec 2013       533       -14       -2.56%

Corn Mar 2014       543.75       -13.5       -2.42%

 

Oats May 2013       400.5       +8.5       +2.17%

Oats Jul 2013       392.25       +9.25       +2.42%

Oats Sep 2013       367.5       -0.75       -0.20%

Oats Dec 2013       363.5       -0.75       -0.21%

Oats Mar 2014       368       -0.75       -0.20%

 

Soft red winter

Wheat May 2013       702.25       -6.75       -0.95%

Wheat Jul 2013       702.5       -9       -1.26%

Wheat Sep 2013       710.25       -7.75       -1.08%

Wheat Dec 2013       724.25       -7.25       -0.99%

Wheat Mar 2014       737.5       -7       -0.94%

 

Minneapolis hard red spring

Spring Wheat May 2013       818.75       -6.75       -0.82%

Spring Wheat Jul 2013       803       -3.25       -0.40%

Spring Wheat Sep 2013       796       -4       -0.50%

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       803       -5       -0.62%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       818       -4.25       -0.52%

 

Kansas City hard red winter

KCBT Red Wheat May 2013       739.5       -6.5       -0.87%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2013       742.5       -8       -1.07%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2013       754.75       -7       -0.92%

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       771.75       -6.5       -0.84%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       784.25       -6.5       -0.82%

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose 75 cents at $88.76 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 97.44 cents US, up slightly from 97.43 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0263 Cdn.

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Ed White

Ed White

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