ICE Canada canola futures fall as U.S. rains pressure oilseeds

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Published: August 15, 2017

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WINNIPEG (Reuters) — ICE Canada canola futures dropped on Tuesday, dragged lower by rains that were favorable to the U.S. soybean crop.

Canola’s losses were more modest than those of soybeans for much of the session due to concerns about low yields in the western Canadian canola crop, but finished with similar declines, a trader said.

November canola lost $7.80 to $494.30 per tonne, touching the contract’s lowest price since July 26. It finished below several key moving averages.

The November-January canola spread traded 425 times.

Chicago Board of Trade November soybeans slipped as rains in the Midwest looked to increase yield potential.

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NYSE MATIF November rapeseed eased, and Malaysian October palm oil dipped.

CBOT corn tumbled to a 10-month low.

Some CBOT wheat and Kansas City wheat futures dropped to life-of-contract lows on technical selling and as a stronger dollar threatened to make U.S. crop supplies more expensive for global buyers.

Corn, soybeans and wheat declined to session lows at midday, with most-active CBOT December corn dropping below its support level from Monday of $3.70 before settling down 7-3/4 cents to $3.68-1/2 per bushel.

CBOT November soybean futures finished 14 cents lower at $9.24-1/4 per bushel, lowest since June 30. CBOT September wheat was off 11-1/2 cents at $4.29-1/2, settling above its earlier lifetime low of $4.28.

Investment funds were relatively heavy sellers of 13,000 corn futures contracts, 10,000 soy contracts and 7,500 wheat contracts, traders said.

“It looks like a national down day,” independent consultant Sid Love said of declines in many agriculture commodities. “With the dollar up, you put pressure on grains right out of the box.”

Prices for U.S. crops had been under pressure from U.S. Department of Agriculture data released late on Monday showing better-than-expected corn crop conditions and following agency data on Thursday predicting a record-large U.S. soybean crop and the third-biggest corn harvest.

Most analysts expected cuts in production estimates due to relatively hot and dry weather during the growing season.

Rains were falling in parts of Nebraska and Iowa and the storm system was forecast to move east, likely increasing yield potential for corn and soybeans and further weighing on prices.

“Weather forecasters have a fairly corn-friendly outlook for the next week or so,” said Tobin Gorey of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. “And corn crop conditions for last week were a little better, according to the USDA’s survey.”

The National Oilseed Processors Association’s monthly report showed a slightly larger-than-expected U.S. soybean crush in July. However, the data showing stronger domestic demand for soybeans gave little traction to prices.

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were down four cents US$47.55 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US78.39 cents, down from 78.57 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2757.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne
Canola Nov 17   494.30s   -7.80   -1.55%
Canola Jan 18   499.20s   -7.60   -1.50%
Canola Mar 18   502.50s   -7.50   -1.47%
Canola May 18   504.80s   -6.30   -1.23%

Canola Jul 18   506.40s   -6.30   -1.23%

Milling Wheat Oct 17   254.00s   -8.00   -3.05%
Milling Wheat Dec 17   257.00s   -8.00   -3.02%
Milling Wheat Mar 18   264.00s   -7.00   -2.58%

Durum Wheat Oct 17   335.00s   unch   unch
Durum Wheat Dec 17   336.00s   unch   unch
Durum Wheat Mar 18   311.00s   unch   unch

Barley Oct 17   145.00s   unch   unch
Barley Dec 17   141.00s   unch   unch

Barley Mar 18   141.00s   unch   unch

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

Chicago
Soybeans Sep 17   921-6s   -11-0   -1.18%
Soybeans Nov 17   924-2s   -14-0   -1.49%
Soybeans Jan 18   932-4s   -14-2   -1.51%
Soybeans Mar 18   940-6s   -14-4   -1.52%
Soybeans May 18   948-0s   -15-0   -1.56%

Soybean Meal Sep 17   295.8s   -2.9   -0.97%
Soybean Meal Oct 17   297.3s   -2.9   -0.97%

Soybean Meal Dec 17   299.4s   -3.3   -1.09%

Soybean Oil Sep 17   32.71s   -0.71   -2.12%
Soybean Oil Oct 17   32.83s   -0.71   -2.12%
Soybean Oil Dec 17   33.04s   -0.73   -2.16%

Corn Sep 17   355-2s   -7-4   -2.07%
Corn Dec 17   368-4s   -7-6   -2.06%
Corn Mar 18   380-2s   -8-0   -2.06%
Corn May 18   386-6s   -8-0   -2.03%
Corn Jul 18   392-2s   -8-2   -2.06%

Oats Sep 17   258-2s   -3-2   -1.24%

Oats Dec 17   256-6s   -4-2   -1.63%
Oats Mar 18   260-0s   -3-6   -1.42%
Oats May 18   263-2s   -3-2   -1.22%
Oats Jul 18   264-6s   -3-2   -1.21%

Wheat Sep 17   429-4s   -11-4   -2.61%
Wheat Dec 17   456-0s   -11-6   -2.51%
Wheat Mar 18   477-2s   -10-6   -2.20%
Wheat May 18   491-0s   -11-6   -2.34%
Wheat Jul 18   501-6s   -11-6   -2.29%

Minneapolis
Spring Wheat Sep 17   658-2s   -11-6   -1.75%

Spring Wheat Dec 17   670-4s   -13-4   -1.97%
Spring Wheat Mar 18   671-6s   -14-6   -2.15%
Spring Wheat May 18   663-2s   -14-4   -2.14%
Spring Wheat Jul 18   655-4s   -12-6   -1.91%

Kansas City
Hard Red Wheat Sep 17   426-4s   -10-2   -2.35%
Hard Red Wheat Dec 17   454-0s   -10-2   -2.21%
Hard Red Wheat Mar 18   472-0s   -10-0   -2.07%
Hard Red Wheat May 18   486-6s   -9-6   -1.96%
Hard Red Wheat Jul 18   504-4s   -9-0   -1.75%

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound, Pit trade

Live Cattle  Aug 17   110.050s   +1.000   +0.92%
Live Cattle  Oct 17   109.050s   +2.450   +2.30%
Live Cattle  Dec 17   111.475s   +2.675   +2.46%

Feeder Cattle  Aug 17   145.350s   +3.050   +2.14%
Feeder Cattle  Sep 17   146.750s   +3.975   +2.78%
Feeder Cattle  Oct 17   146.300s   +3.975   +2.79%

Lean Hogs  Oct 17   70.525s   +1.350   +1.95%
Lean Hogs  Dec 17   64.700s   +1.200   +1.89%
Lean Hogs  Feb 18   68.525s   +0.850   +1.26%

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