How dry is it? May 4, 2016

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Published: May 4, 2016

Seeding is underway across the prairies provinces, but soil moisture levels have some farmers concerned. | Photo by Robert Makowsky ‏@robmakowsky

 

Lower than average precipitation last winter followed by a early and hot spring has Prairie producers on their fields seeding early.

However there are concerns over drier than normal soil moisture levels, and the short term forecast has hot and dry weather for most Prairie regions this week. However a shift to cooler weather by Monday May 9 could bring showers and that is indicated in the seven day accumulated moisture forecast.

The following map from the U.S. National Weather Service shows the five-day accumulated precipitation forecast issued Wednesday afternoon.

5-day forecast
5-day forecast

Here is the seven-day accumulated precipitation forecast, also issued Wednesday afternoon.

7-day forecast
7-day forecast

Looking a little further into the future, the following map from the U.S. Environmental Modeling Center at NCEP is produced from the mean of 16 forecast members

It displays its precipitation prediction for May 18-24 and for May 25-31. It shows a normal to low chance of precipitation in the Prairie region.

wk3.wk4_20160503.NA

The following map is from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, and it displays the moisture accumulation April 1 to May 3 compared to normal.

April 1-May 3, % of normal
April 1-May 3, % of normal

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The following map from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada displays the percent of average precipitation since Nov. 5.

Nov5_May2

Also from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, the following map shows the percent of average precipitation received on the Prairies since Feb. 3.

Feb3_May2

 

About the author

Robin Booker

Robin Booker

Robin Booker is the Editor for The Western Producer. He has an honours degree in sociology from the University of Alberta, a journalism degree from the University of Regina, and a farming background that helps him relate to the issues farmers face.

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