Harvest pressures canola down to six week low

Reading Time: 3 minutes

Published: September 23, 2013

Canola was under pressure again today as the combines roll along in Canada and harvest pace picks up in the United States.

Soybeans were pressured by rain in the Midwest over the past few days that could help fill some late developing crops.

The nearby canola contract hit a six week low, closing at $478.10 per tonne, down $5.90.

After falling last week, canola is looking for technical strength and might not find it until it tests the November contract low of $472, set back on Aug. 6. Fundamental pressure is coming from expectations of a record shattering harvest in Western Canada.

Read Also

Photo: Geralyn Wichers

U.S. livestock: Hog futures hit contract highs on shock herd decline

Chicago | Reuters – Lean hog futures stormed to contract highs at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange on Friday as smaller-than-expected…

Harvest in Western Canada will likely be delayed if Environment Canada is correct and we get rain Wednesday and Thursday, with the largest amounts expected in Saskatchewan, particularly the northeast part of the grain belt and the Cypress Hills region.

The grain side of the crop market did a little better than the oilseed side today, with wheat rising and pulling corn along for the ride.

Chicago wheat futures rose 1.1 percent on short covering and on strong export demand.

U.S. wheat is pouring out of the country at a torrid pace, filling demand in China and Brazil. However, the bumper spring wheat harvest in North America and good wheat crops in the former Soviet Union and Europe cap will keep a cap on any hope of a sustained and robust wheat rally.

After the markets closed, the USDA reported seven percent of the U.S. corn crop is harvested, up from four percent last week but behind the five-year average pace of 16 percent.

The condition of the corn crop also improved slightly, to 55 percent good-to-excellent, up from 53 percent last week.

The soybean crop condition was little changed, with the good to excellent rating staying at 50 percent.

Three percent of the soybean crop is in the bin, compared to the five-year average of nine percent.

As for the spring wheat crop, 93 percent is harvested.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Nov 2013       478.10       -5.90       -1.22%

Canola Jan 2014       487.80       -6.00       -1.22%

Canola Mar 2014       495.70       -6.30       -1.25%

Canola May 2014       501.80       -6.10       -1.20%

Canola Jul 2014       507.60       -5.70       -1.11%

 

Milling Wheat Oct 2013       227.00       unch       0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2013       232.00       -1.00       -0.43%

Milling Wheat Mar 2014       237.00       -2.00       -0.84%

 

Durum Wheat Oct 2013       259.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2013       267.00       unch       0.00%

Durum Wheat Mar 2014       273.00       unch       0.00%

 

Barley Oct 2013       158.30       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2013       161.30       unch       0.00%

Barley Mar 2014       163.30       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Nov 2013       1307.75       -7.5       -0.57%

Soybeans Jan 2014       1310.5       -7.5       -0.57%

Soybeans Mar 2014       1295       -5.25       -0.40%

Soybeans May 2014       1275       -2.25       -0.18%

Soybeans Jul 2014       1267.5       -3       -0.24%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1253       -1.75       -0.14%

 

Soybean Meal Oct 2013       411.1       -2.3       -0.56%

Soybean Meal Dec 2013       409.2       -2.4       -0.58%

Soybean Meal Jan 2014       408.6       -2.5       -0.61%

 

Soybean Oil Oct 2013       41.97       -0.12       -0.29%

Soybean Oil Dec 2013       42.24       -0.1       -0.24%

Soybean Oil Jan 2014       42.5       -0.08       -0.19%

 

Corn Dec 2013       453.25       +2.25       +0.50%

Corn Mar 2014       466       +2.25       +0.49%

Corn May 2014       474.25       +2.25       +0.48%

Corn Jul 2014       480.75       +2       +0.42%

Corn Sep 2014       485.25       +1.75       +0.36%

 

Oats Dec 2013       309.5       +0.75       +0.24%

Oats Mar 2014       308.75       +1.75       +0.57%

Oats May 2014       309       +1       +0.32%

Oats Jul 2014       302.25       +1       +0.33%

Oats Sep 2014       308.25       +1       +0.33%

 

Wheat Dec 2013       653.5       +7.25       +1.12%

Wheat Mar 2014       664       +7       +1.07%

Wheat May 2014       670       +7.25       +1.09%

Wheat Jul 2014       663       +5.5       +0.84%

Wheat Sep 2014       668.5       +6       +0.91%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Dec 2013       698.75       -1       -0.14%

Spring Wheat Mar 2014       710.5       -2       -0.28%

Spring Wheat May 2014       718       -1.5       -0.21%

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       722.75       -2.75       -0.38%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       727       -1.75       -0.24%

 

Kansas City

KCBT Red Wheat Dec 2013       697.75       +5       +0.72%

KCBT Red Wheat Mar 2014       701.75       +4.5       +0.65%

KCBT Red Wheat May 2014       704.25       +4.5       +0.64%

KCBT Red Wheat Jul 2014       694       +5       +0.73%

KCBT Red Wheat Sep 2014       702.75       +5       +0.72%

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York dropped $1.16 at $103.59 US per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 97.25 cents US, up from 97.21 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0283 Cdn.

Stock markets continued to endlessly ruminate over what the U.S. Federal Reserve might or might not do regarding its bond-buying stimulus program. Last week the Fed decided to carry on with the stimulus at least for another months but today a member of the Fed said that it might yet scale back the program later this year.

Investors are also keeping an eye on the Oct. 1 deadline for the U.S. Congress to avoid a government shutdown as lawmakers negotiate ahead of the end of the fiscal year.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed up 4.71 points, or 0.04 percent, at 12,811.18.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 49.71 points, or 0.32 percent, at 15,401.38.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 8.07 points, or 0.47 percent, at 1,701.84.

The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 9.44 points, or 0.25 percent, at 3,765.29.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

explore

Stories from our other publications