Good weather weakens canola and other crop futures

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Published: June 12, 2014

After a strong start Thursday, canola faded to close lower, weighed down by generally good growing conditions in Canada and the United States Midwest.

Some of the early strength came from rising vegetable oil values, propelled by rising crude oil. It was lifted by worries about Islamic fundamentalists wresting parts of northern Iraq from government authority.

But both canola and soybeans then fell on good growing weather.

Saskatchewan Agriculture today said the province’s farmers had seeded 93 percent of their crops, ahead of the five-year average of 87 percent and ahead of the 10-year average of 90 percent. Crops are generally in good condition but have delayed development.

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Southern Alberta has been a bit light on rain in the past month, but 10-30 millimetres are expected on Friday and there is a chance of more rain early next week.

U.S. soybean futures fell 1.9 percent to their lowest since March 24, pressured by technical selling after the price fell below a support level and expectations of plentiful global supplies, traders said.

More rain is expected in the Midwest this week, helping to keep crops in good shape.

Corn futures rose slightly, readjusting from the previous day’s loss.

Chicago and Minneapolis wheat continued to fall on expectations of large world wheat crops. Kansas City hard red winter wheat edged higher. Farmers are worried that recent rain on thin, short drought reduced crops will spur weed growth, making it hard to harvest.

Farmers in Argentina are harvesting their corn. The Buenos Aires Grains Exchange today increased its estimate of the crop to 25 million tonnes, up from a previous estimate of 24 million. Last year’s crop was 27 million, according to the exchange’s statistics.

 

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

 

Canola Jul 2014       454.40       -3.90       -0.85%

Canola Nov 2014       450.50       -3.20       -0.71%

Canola Jan 2015       456.70       -2.80       -0.61%

Canola Mar 2015       459.70       -2.90       -0.63%

Canola May 2015       461.70       -2.90       -0.62%

 

Milling Wheat Jul 2014       201.00      unch      0.00%

Milling Wheat Oct 2014       202.00      unch      0.00%

Milling Wheat Dec 2014       206.00      unch      0.00%

 

Durum Wheat Jul 2014       239.00      unch      0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2014       230.00      unch      0.00%

Durum Wheat Dec 2014       232.00      unch      0.00%

 

Barley Jul 2014       135.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Oct 2014       125.00       unch       0.00%

Barley Dec 2014       127.00       unch       0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans Jul 2014       1415.25       -30.25       -2.09%

Soybeans Aug 2014       1360.25       -22.5       -1.63%

Soybeans Sep 2014       1250.75       -11       -0.87%

Soybeans Nov 2014       1212.25       -8.5       -0.70%

Soybeans Jan 2015       1218.75       -8.5       -0.69%

Soybeans Mar 2015       1224.75       -7.75       -0.63%

 

Soybean Meal Jul 2014       469.2       -13.1       -2.72%

Soybean Meal Aug 2014       446.1       -9.7       -2.13%

Soybean Meal Sep 2014       418.9       -4.3       -1.02%

 

Soybean Oil Jul 2014       38.58       +0.16       +0.42%

Soybean Oil Aug 2014       38.68       +0.13       +0.34%

Soybean Oil Sep 2014       38.69       +0.08       +0.21%

 

Corn Jul 2014       444       +3       +0.68%

Corn Sep 2014       440       +2.5       +0.57%

Corn Dec 2014       443.75       +2       +0.45%

Corn Mar 2015       454.5       +1.75       +0.39%

Corn May 2015       461.75       +2       +0.44%

 

Oats Jul 2014       344.5       -1.75       -0.51%

Oats Sep 2014       332.25       -1.5       -0.45%

Oats Dec 2014       329       +3.25       +1.00%

Oats Mar 2015       323.75       +4.75       +1.49%

Oats May 2015       321.25       +4.75       +1.50%

 

Wheat Jul 2014       585.25       -4       -0.68%

Wheat Sep 2014       597       -4.5       -0.75%

Wheat Dec 2014       621       -5.25       -0.84%

Wheat Mar 2015       640       -6.5       -1.01%

Wheat May 2015       651.75       -6.75       -1.03%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Jul 2014       682       -2       -0.29%

Spring Wheat Sep 2014       690       -1.5       -0.22%

Spring Wheat Dec 2014       701.5       -1       -0.14%

Spring Wheat Mar 2015       710.75       -0.75       -0.11%

Spring Wheat May 2015       715       -1.5       -0.21%

 

Kansas City

KC HRW Wheat Jul 2014       705.5       +1.25       +0.18%

KC HRW Wheat Sep 2014       710.25       +1.25       +0.18%

KC HRW Wheat Dec 2014       720       +0.25       +0.03%

KC HRW Wheat Mar 2015       724.5       +0.25       +0.03%

KC HRW Wheat May 2015       722.5       +0.25       +0.03%

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York rose $2.13 at $106.53 US per barrel on the violence in Iraq.

The Canadian dollar at noon was 92.16 cents US, up from 92.02 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was $1.0851 Cdn.

U.S. economic data was disappointing. May retail sales failed to meet expectations and first-time applications for unemployment benefits increased last week.

That news and the Iraq situation weighed on Wall Street, but the stronger oil price helped lift the energy-heavy Toronto Stock Exchange composite.

In early, unofficial tallies —

The TSX composite rose 17.51 points or 0.12 percent to 14,909.63

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 110.01 points or 0.65 percent, to end at 16,733.87.

The S&P 500 lost 13.81 points or 0.71 percent, to finish at 1,930.09.

The Nasdaq Composite dropped 34.30 points or 0.79 percent, to close at 4,297.63.

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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