Falling loonie supports canola futures

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Published: May 4, 2016

Canola futures saw only minor changes Wednesday with old crop down slightly and new crop a little higher.

The loonie fell sharply today — more than a cent — and is down about US2 cents over the past couple of days.

Support from the weaker loonie had the canola market in positive territory most of the trading day but there was a slump going into the close.

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The soybean complex closed marginally higher as traders felt the losses on Tuesday were a little overdone and as they watched technical factors.

Wheat in all three markets edged higher on technical buying and corn slightly dipped.

Wheat rose even though the U.S. agricultural attache in Ukraine posted a report pegging the wheat crop there significantly larger than local analysts’ forecasts.

Also, the annual industry tour of the Kansas wheat crop is showing above average yield potential.

Accuweather issued its summer forecast for the U.S.

For the Midwest, it had this to say:

Dryness and heat will be another common theme in the Midwest and northern Plains states, AccuWeather long-range forecaster Paul Pastelok said.

Heat will develop late spring and early summer across these areas and tighten its grip throughout the season.

“Actually we are seeing evidence of this in parts of the region already,” Pastelok said. “If the rest of the spring works out as planned, then these areas may fall into a drought with frequent heat waves during the summer.”

Indianapolis, Indiana, Chicago and Minneapolis could enter a minor to moderate drought, he said.

 

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 13 cents to US$43.78 per barrel.

The Canadian dollar at noon was US77.62 cents, down from 78.83 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar at noon was C$1.2884.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index closed down 75.68 points, or 0.55 percent, at 13,632.00.

The Dow Jones industrial average ended down 99.65 points, or 0.56 percent, to 17,651.26, the S&P 500 lost 12.25 points, or 0.59 percent, to 2,051.12 and the Nasdaq Composite finished 37.59 points, or 0.79 percent, lower at 4,725.64

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola May 2016   495.70   -1.90   -0.38%

Canola Jul 2016   501.50   -2.10   -0.42%

Canola Nov 2016   500.50   +1.70   +0.34%

Canola Jan 2017   504.00   +2.00   +0.40%

Canola Mar 2017   504.30   +1.50   +0.30%

 

Milling Wheat May 2016   237.00   +2.00   +0.85%

Milling Wheat Jul 2016   235.00   +2.00   +0.86%

Milling Wheat Oct 2016   230.00   +2.00   +0.88%

 

Durum Wheat May 2016   303.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Jul 2016   298.00   unch   0.00%

Durum Wheat Oct 2016   293.00   unch   0.00%

 

Barley May 2016   172.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Jul 2016   174.00   unch   0.00%

Barley Oct 2016   174.00   unch   0.00%

 

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound

 

Chicago

Soybeans May 2016   1024.5   +3   +0.29%

Soybeans Jul 2016   1034   +4   +0.39%

Soybeans Aug 2016   1036   +4   +0.39%

Soybeans Sep 2016   1024   +5   +0.49%

Soybeans Nov 2016   1015.5   +5.25   +0.52%

Soybeans Jan 2017   1016.5   +5.5   +0.54%

 

Soybean Meal May 2016   343   +3.5   +1.03%

Soybean Meal Jul 2016   345   +3.2   +0.94%

Soybean Meal Aug 2016   343.2   +3   +0.88%

 

Soybean Oil May 2016   32.2   +0.07   +0.22%

Soybean Oil Jul 2016   32.47   +0.06   +0.19%

Soybean Oil Aug 2016   32.59   +0.05   +0.15%

 

Corn May 2016   373.25   -5   -1.32%

Corn Jul 2016   376.75   -3   -0.79%

Corn Sep 2016   379   -2.5   -0.66%

Corn Dec 2016   385   -2   -0.52%

Corn Mar 2017   393.75   -1.75   -0.44%

 

Oats May 2016   183   -3.75   -2.01%

Oats Jul 2016   195   -4   -2.01%

Oats Sep 2016   206.75   -2.75   -1.31%

Oats Dec 2016   217   -2   -0.91%

Oats Mar 2017   227.75   -1   -0.44%

 

Wheat May 2016   460.5   +0.75   +0.16%

Wheat Jul 2016   471.25   +0.5   +0.11%

Wheat Sep 2016   481.5   +0.25   +0.05%

Wheat Dec 2016   498.75   unch   0.00%

Wheat Mar 2017   515.25   -0.25   -0.05%

 

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat May 2016   534.75   +0.5   +0.09%

Spring Wheat Jul 2016   541   +4.75   +0.89%

Spring Wheat Sep 2016   546.75   +2.5   +0.46%

Spring Wheat Dec 2016   557   +2.25   +0.41%

Spring Wheat Mar 2017   565.5   +2.75   +0.49%

 

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat May 2016   444   +2   +0.45%

Hard Red Wheat Jul 2016   457.75   +2   +0.44%

Hard Red Wheat Sep 2016   474.5   +2.25   +0.48%

Hard Red Wheat Dec 2016   499.5   +2.75   +0.55%

Hard Red Wheat Mar 2017   515.25   +3   +0.59%

 

 

About the author

D'Arce McMillan

Markets editor, Saskatoon newsroom

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